Defiant-Thigh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$232

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-07 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 50% $-14

Other

19% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$21	37	36	+1	open	—	04-26 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	05-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$18	25	25	+0	Up	$-12	05-07 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	Down	+$2	05-07 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-30 18:58
btc updown 5m 1776704400	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	04-26 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-07 16:48
btc updown 5m 1776704100	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 17:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-21 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-06 13:52
btc updown 5m 1776600600	3	$9	8	3	+5	open	—	04-19 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$5	12	12	+0	Up	$-5	05-07 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$4	12	12	+0	Up	$-4	05-07 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776598200	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-19 11:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 15:15
btc updown 5m 1776598500	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-19 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 15:09
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	$-1	05-06 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 15:42
btc updown 5m 1776704700	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-20 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x89ea7d…
05-07 17:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbcfd3e…
05-07 17:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xafa6a2…
05-07 17:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x73145c…
05-07 17:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6952f5…
05-07 17:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xf47c54…
05-07 17:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0404cc…
05-07 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6578ce…
05-07 17:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x31f2ce…
05-07 16:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x3d7beb…
05-07 16:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xd1a2b4…
05-07 16:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x869b0e…
05-06 13:52:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x5286ea…
05-06 13:52:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xac2c58…
05-06 13:14:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x1e0c6f…
05-06 13:14:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8bb800…
05-04 13:34:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x29d3f8…
04-30 19:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9ae775…
04-30 18:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x6d9817…
04-30 18:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xab5d92…
04-30 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x77122b…
04-30 18:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6efa8c…
04-30 18:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x660b4f…
04-30 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x438110…
04-30 18:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb95d0e…
04-29 04:58:52	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x5da9a0…
04-28 21:32:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x744c79…
04-28 21:32:00	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd25738…
04-26 16:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xcaecdb…
04-26 16:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x291828…
04-26 16:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc7a9f4…
04-26 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae8e9c…
04-26 16:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x08ac92…
04-26 16:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdb4cf3…
04-26 16:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcdd7fd…
04-26 15:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x342ae7…
04-26 15:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6cd70…
04-26 15:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8609f1…
04-26 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe915a1…
04-26 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x037dd3…
04-26 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb9cfb9…
04-26 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x87afeb…
04-26 15:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd82ad9…
04-26 15:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3286e3…
04-26 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x54219f…
04-26 09:32:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x452f69…
04-21 03:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4a7657…
04-20 17:09:38	btc updown 5m 1776704700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa497e0…
04-20 17:05:30	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1bd8cd…
04-20 17:04:02	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2c9087…
04-20 17:00:32	btc updown 5m 1776704100	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x09e27f…
04-20 16:58:28	btc updown 5m 1776704100	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfbffdc…
04-19 12:15:40	btc updown 5m 1776600600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbcb840…
04-19 12:14:58	btc updown 5m 1776600600	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0d9917…
04-19 12:11:58	btc updown 5m 1776600600	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf5cc44…
04-19 12:06:14	btc updown 5m 1776600300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2c05a3…
04-19 11:41:02	btc updown 5m 1776598500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22d274…
04-19 11:37:00	btc updown 5m 1776598500	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaee2c0…
04-19 11:35:36	btc updown 5m 1776598200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92fb24…
04-19 11:33:14	btc updown 5m 1776598200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd87e58…
04-19 11:32:00	btc updown 5m 1776598200	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1a0056…
04-19 11:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8ebccf…