Second-Hand-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$313

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-21 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	3	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	3	$18	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	13	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-20 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	33	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	25	$18	10	8	+2	Up	$-0	05-11 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	10	$17	10	7	+3	open	—	05-14 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	32	$16	9	7	+2	open	—	05-20 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	15	$11	9	2	+7	open	—	05-20 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-14 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	4	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-18 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-11 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-21 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-21 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-11 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-21 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-18 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-12 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	8	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	28	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	24	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-18 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-17 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcf41ac…
05-21 18:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x781456…
05-21 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd3aaf8…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb58b8c…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa32e0b…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7ddbda…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x797a15…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x750651…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6e6e3a…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6368a5…
05-21 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5d05cc…
05-21 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xdb706c…
05-21 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x334c84…
05-21 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x061898…
05-21 18:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf72866…
05-21 18:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xeb54f8…
05-21 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xeb5017…
05-21 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xdd01e7…
05-21 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5418e2…
05-21 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x27e677…
05-21 18:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xdaa4eb…
05-21 18:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xd7a8c6…
05-21 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb4f172…
05-21 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x8ff14b…
05-21 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5cb09d…
05-21 18:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x455b5c…
05-21 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb1300f…
05-21 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x8e45fe…
05-21 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x19fc6d…
05-21 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6ec7e5…
05-21 18:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x084ab0…
05-21 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb9e4eb…
05-21 17:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd29fc8…
05-21 17:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7c1d47…
05-21 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x176f94…
05-21 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f316f…
05-21 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x124a6d…
05-21 13:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa48b83…
05-21 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x865ff8…
05-21 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb0e436…
05-21 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xab317d…
05-21 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0e8ee1…
05-21 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe04175…
05-21 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x88100a…
05-21 13:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xbe61b7…
05-21 13:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x940d2f…
05-21 13:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x435d6f…
05-21 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd29b36…
05-21 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x8fa0be…
05-21 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x8d4e46…
05-21 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x61fd47…
05-21 13:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x74b625…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd712ae…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd52a10…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x99a8da…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x538031…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x413957…
05-21 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x314562…
05-21 13:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xea748f…
05-21 13:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x62b279…
05-21 13:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7cb979…
05-21 10:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6cba60…
05-20 20:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd356d5…
05-20 20:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3014fa…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf105da…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdf6479…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdd50ea…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb58a18…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xac7b28…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa9a937…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x89f0b8…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7ad70b…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x798613…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6ede31…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6668d1…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5e7ea9…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5675c7…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x51c17f…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x513078…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2fbe0a…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x28882c…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x27004f…
05-20 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1165af…
05-20 20:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc75135…
05-20 20:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x16d82a…
05-20 20:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbcc1e9…
05-20 20:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x88447f…
05-20 20:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf431e4…
05-20 20:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9c7907…
05-20 20:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0a049e…
05-20 20:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0162d7…
05-20 20:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ed344…
05-20 20:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2cd864…
05-20 20:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c4f15…
05-20 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd404fe…
05-20 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb5acde…
05-20 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x33466f…
05-20 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9d9906…
05-20 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8e02e8…
05-20 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x76b991…