Arid-Hat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$114

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-11 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 36% +$14

Other

14% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$24	31	31	+0	Up	+$16	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$10	13	7	+5	Down	+$2	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 16:59
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$7	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 16:46
btc updown 5m 1783803600	3	$7	19	3	+15	open	—	07-11 21:02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	95	0	+95	open	—	05-12 21:30
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	07-11 20:58
crint can zaf 2026 02 09	1	$5	117	0	+117	open	—	02-09 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$4	177	0	+177	open	—	05-20 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$4	129	0	+129	Up	$-4	05-12 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-2	05-13 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-20 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$3	31	0	+31	Down	$-3	05-13 11:28
btc updown 5m 1783803900	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	Up	$-2	05-10 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	24	0	+24	Up	$-2	05-10 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-12 22:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$0	0	14	-14	open	—	07-11 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 21:07:55	btc updown 5m 1783803900	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xb0a192…
07-11 21:05:17	btc updown 5m 1783803900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb136dc…
07-11 21:02:11	btc updown 5m 1783803600	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x871ca5…
07-11 21:01:04	btc updown 5m 1783803600	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x04bc71…
07-11 21:00:46	btc updown 5m 1783803600	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x61eac6…
07-11 20:58:17	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0660cc…
07-11 08:48:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x1e2317…
05-20 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xff360a…
05-20 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x957cbe…
05-20 00:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd0bcc0…
05-20 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x591ddb…
05-20 00:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x508062…
05-20 00:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ff3ae…
05-20 00:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27d20d…
05-13 13:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x64a0b9…
05-13 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x20a6a6…
05-13 13:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe7c6c7…
05-13 13:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x45f788…
05-13 13:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x32755d…
05-13 12:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x88a270…
05-13 11:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7a0a11…
05-13 11:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb35dce…
05-13 11:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd252bd…
05-13 11:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3df36f…
05-13 11:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf2d462…
05-12 22:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ad9bb…
05-12 21:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d097a…
05-12 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5c308b…
05-12 21:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa07c3a…
05-12 21:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0xe18d7d…
05-12 21:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa72b0f…
05-12 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8f63a4…
05-12 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x93b760…
05-12 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x12fa0b…
05-12 21:30:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x83b2e3…
05-11 19:30:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x691c21…
05-10 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xb788c8…
05-10 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe15a48…
05-10 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x899234…
05-10 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x23bad7…
05-10 16:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb01ea9…
05-10 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2a07bb…
05-10 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xebbb2a…
05-10 16:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7f8e6…
05-10 16:46:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd9dd7d…
02-09 10:45:37	crint can zaf 2026 02 09	Canada	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0xa27415…