Icy-Derivative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-11 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$122	123	88	+35	Up	+$17	05-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$102	75	75	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$92	151	62	+89	Down	$-67	05-10 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$89	134	74	+60	Up	$-51	05-11 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$87	121	91	+30	Up	$-2	05-10 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$87	121	97	+24	Up	+$13	05-10 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$80	84	52	+32	Up	$-9	05-10 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$78	92	67	+25	Down	+$14	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$73	43	43	+0	Up	+$13	05-10 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$68	122	87	+35	Down	+$13	05-09 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$65	68	32	+36	Down	+$1	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$65	84	43	+41	Up	+$16	05-09 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$61	77	14	+63	Down	+$14	05-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$60	51	51	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$56	70	34	+36	Up	+$12	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$45	36	36	+0	open	—	05-02 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$43	55	30	+24	Down	+$8	05-10 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$40	118	118	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$32	30	30	+0	Up	$-8	05-10 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$30	87	87	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Up	+$9	05-10 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$27	69	69	+0	Up	$-13	05-10 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$27	44	44	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$26	29	29	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$25	105	105	+0	Up	$-15	05-10 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$25	35	22	+13	Down	+$5	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$24	47	47	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$23	151	151	+0	Up	$-7	05-09 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$22	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$21	78	78	+0	Down	$-9	05-09 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xaa086f…
05-11 01:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	74	26¢	$19	0x030abb…
05-11 01:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xbb9090…
05-10 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0x2626e1…
05-10 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x0ea11f…
05-10 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0xdd25f4…
05-10 17:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x3cbafc…
05-10 17:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2e8b05…
05-10 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x4128c7…
05-10 17:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xcb755c…
05-10 17:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x487938…
05-10 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xda8d8b…
05-10 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x7a358f…
05-10 17:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6b45ad…
05-10 17:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3eb46d…
05-10 17:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4b0db1…
05-10 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x8dc059…
05-10 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x044411…
05-10 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x512220…
05-10 17:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe95eca…
05-10 16:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x0872b9…
05-10 16:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe54cc5…
05-10 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	52¢	$15	0xd33619…
05-10 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe23cac…
05-10 16:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb4138a…
05-10 16:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x16971f…
05-10 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6aaa9c…
05-10 16:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	67	48¢	$32	0x393134…
05-10 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0x401f8f…
05-10 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0xa4cf97…
05-10 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x0b8d94…
05-10 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x529221…
05-10 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xd42ebb…
05-10 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xff2a94…
05-10 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	50¢	$20	0x3759f3…
05-10 16:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0xc87385…
05-10 16:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0xc30377…
05-10 16:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x20b1e0…
05-10 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xcbb8ff…
05-10 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x30ffd5…
05-10 16:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x3d4db0…
05-10 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0ff031…
05-10 16:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xc7873e…
05-10 05:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x84f14b…
05-10 05:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x37beab…
05-10 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x992f11…
05-10 05:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x330921…
05-10 05:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x59d968…
05-10 05:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb2eaa6…
05-10 05:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	65	35¢	$23	0x1abd84…
05-10 05:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4892bf…
05-10 05:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x3d9a74…
05-10 05:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x9a58c2…
05-10 05:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x3a8dc6…
05-10 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x0b12df…
05-10 05:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xecc7ef…
05-10 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0xb96f3d…
05-10 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x5ed9af…
05-10 05:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xa75c59…
05-10 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5ad0a4…
05-10 05:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x1dd625…
05-10 05:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdf428b…
05-10 04:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x53cd70…
05-10 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0xd7008c…
05-10 04:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xecd6f3…
05-10 04:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x369d25…
05-10 03:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	41	16¢	$6	0x4191da…
05-10 03:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x69042b…
05-10 03:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xffc80b…
05-10 03:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x290b74…
05-10 03:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x54637e…
05-10 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x12e4ff…
05-10 03:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7d2ce2…
05-10 03:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0x9e3ec6…
05-10 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x60ede1…
05-09 16:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xad92f7…
05-09 16:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb219a6…
05-09 16:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x8b280e…
05-09 16:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0xfd53ca…
05-09 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x014af3…
05-09 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x64832a…
05-09 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0b7dc7…
05-09 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc2b2de…
05-09 08:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3c0130…
05-09 08:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xf1d597…
05-09 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5867b9…
05-09 08:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x628601…
05-09 08:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0x4fbddd…
05-09 08:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x473b59…
05-09 08:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x5401db…
05-09 08:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0x7b672e…
05-09 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe51c86…
05-09 08:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0x73635c…
05-09 08:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0da69a…
05-09 08:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x904980…
05-09 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbaa15a…
05-09 08:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0x763c7c…
05-09 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xed1400…
05-09 07:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xc6fb41…
05-09 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xc94467…