Nervous-Disclaimer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-17 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 0% $-1

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$45	27	21	+7	open	—	05-17 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	05-17 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	05-17 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	05-17 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-17 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-17 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-17 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$13	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$13	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 07:15
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	3	$13	17	6	+11	No	$-1	05-11 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 07:51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$10	20	0	+20	Spirit	$-10	05-11 16:08
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$8	29	0	+29	open	—	05-11 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 08:14
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-11 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-17 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-17 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-17 09:23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-11 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf3f5c…
05-17 10:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d41fb…
05-17 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc75325…
05-17 09:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1e2729…
05-17 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b9e8e…
05-17 09:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbad4ac…
05-17 09:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x7b1716…
05-17 09:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x553fbb…
05-17 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfd28b4…
05-17 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2cfbdf…
05-17 09:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0e9b1a…
05-17 09:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2eb128…
05-17 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb2efd4…
05-17 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2f8a27…
05-17 08:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0a0c03…
05-17 08:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x7ceceb…
05-17 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x2fc4be…
05-17 08:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1d34bb…
05-17 08:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x08849e…
05-17 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0042a2…
05-17 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xcac44f…
05-17 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x56c02d…
05-17 08:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xa7d95e…
05-17 08:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6b25c5…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8b673b…
05-17 08:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x4a2f29…
05-17 08:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xdeded1…
05-17 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x6c536e…
05-17 07:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x71e1e6…
05-17 07:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf6eeef…
05-17 07:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1c4e3b…
05-17 07:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x636648…
05-17 07:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x719753…
05-17 07:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe7f646…
05-17 07:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x06b2ee…
05-17 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5fd663…
05-17 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x27a3e6…
05-17 07:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x86bf09…
05-17 07:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x64bdd2…
05-17 07:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x905a55…
05-17 07:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3db0c0…
05-17 06:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcdc53c…
05-11 16:08:25	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe46b30…
05-11 15:18:38	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xce3284…
05-11 11:46:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa35ad6…
05-11 11:38:32	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x2de9ba…
05-11 11:37:38	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xa1a2f0…
05-11 11:19:23	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa334f5…
05-11 11:17:29	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb7fc2d…
05-11 10:27:29	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7e3e27…