Third-Garlic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$1

Politics

22% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	05-12 05:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$245	123	123	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	05-19 14:10
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	04-20 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	05-23 14:39
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	03-27 14:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	02-28 02:12
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	03-14 09:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$203	107	107	+0	open	—	02-28 23:51
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$123	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$122	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-30 14:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-27 12:57
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-23 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-24 15:39
dota2 xtreme sar1 2026 04 20	1	$121	122	0	+122	open	—	04-20 13:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-19 14:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-16 04:46
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-14 04:44
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	04-13 13:14
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-10 03:26
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-07 23:45
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-06 07:50
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-01 04:55
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-31 05:00
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-30 05:07
bitcoin above 58k on march 29	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-28 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xcab96c…
05-23 14:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x4a25e2…
05-23 02:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xb290ab…
05-19 14:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc12ab0…
05-19 14:10:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x714249…
05-19 13:29:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf0d70f…
05-12 05:23:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x589b02…
05-12 05:05:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x2c90f0…
05-11 01:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x5881b0…
05-08 00:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x21e54c…
05-07 00:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x66cccb…
05-05 06:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xdf94fd…
04-30 14:33:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x9dea0f…
04-27 12:57:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x7c0765…
04-23 15:49:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xf3ce5d…
04-20 13:11:16	dota2 xtreme sar1 2026 04 20	South America Rejects	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x6f7c00…
04-20 13:09:08	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xf0f217…
04-18 06:41:20	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x1209a8…
04-16 04:46:30	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x46aaf0…
04-14 04:44:35	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x12bb9d…
04-13 13:14:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xcbcd5d…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x71161e…
04-11 23:44:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x99a296…
04-10 03:26:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x31cd62…
04-07 23:45:55	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3ac59d…
04-06 07:50:25	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x24a580…
04-01 04:55:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3d11e0…
03-31 05:00:01	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8f785a…
03-30 05:07:02	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x340209…
03-28 16:17:03	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xdc96e2…
03-27 14:44:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0xc3c0ce…
03-27 13:11:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x0e8853…
03-26 13:17:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9be803…
03-24 11:10:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6d9fba…
03-23 12:30:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x71acb0…
03-21 07:19:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x99debd…
03-20 18:24:39	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa8c648…
03-20 04:14:01	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf18ac5…
03-19 00:52:13	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	118	92¢	$108	0xc0d17c…
03-18 03:24:41	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x995078…
03-16 02:15:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa3541a…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x8c86c5…
03-14 09:11:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x12c5f5…
03-14 09:10:15	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x4a297d…
03-12 14:09:25	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xc77b25…
03-10 05:15:39	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x671a01…
03-09 05:25:17	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x359bf9…
03-07 12:04:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x8df575…
03-06 03:51:33	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcede8d…
03-04 01:35:33	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x398729…
03-02 14:16:29	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x9707d8…
03-02 02:12:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11b861…
02-28 23:51:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x5d32f6…
02-28 22:38:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x0d9be4…
02-28 03:32:31	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x3ba8c3…
02-28 02:12:53	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xd672d0…
02-27 10:33:15	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x08f103…
02-27 04:11:12	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9041be…
02-26 10:29:54	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x41e454…
02-25 09:42:18	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x6ffd8f…
02-25 08:46:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8d64cf…
02-24 05:36:52	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x847b34…