Urban-Octagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-28 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 69% +$5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	2	$92	71	71	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
btc updown 15m 1783693800	1	$70	88	0	+88	open	—	07-10 14:36
btc updown 15m 1784556900	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	07-20 14:22
btc updown 15m 1784524500	1	$70	152	0	+152	open	—	07-20 05:10
btc updown 15m 1784295000	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	07-17 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 14:11
btc updown 15m 1784033100	1	$70	84	0	+84	open	—	07-14 12:50
btc updown 15m 1785162600	1	$70	84	0	+84	open	—	07-27 14:35
btc updown 15m 1783783800	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	07-11 15:37
btc updown 15m 1784555100	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	07-20 13:53
btc updown 15m 1783606500	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	07-09 14:20
btc updown 15m 1783519200	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	07-08 14:10
btc updown 15m 1783604700	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	07-09 13:53
btc updown 15m 1784043000	1	$70	78	0	+78	open	—	07-14 15:35
btc updown 15m 1783600200	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	07-09 12:42
btc updown 15m 1784572200	1	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	07-20 18:42
btc updown 15m 1783610100	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	07-09 15:28
btc updown 15m 1775655900	2	$45	54	0	+54	open	—	04-08 13:57
btc updown 15m 1780571700	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-04 11:22
btc updown 15m 1781724600	1	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 19:37
btc updown 15m 1780573500	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-04 11:52
btc updown 15m 1780522200	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-03 21:37
btc updown 15m 1780611300	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-02 14:41
btc updown 15m 1780587000	1	$35	49	0	+49	open	—	06-04 15:37
btc updown 15m 1780728300	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-06 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	06-03 00:10
btc updown 15m 1780589700	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-04 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-03 16:07
btc updown 15m 1782322200	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-24 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 14:25:01	eth updown 15m 1785248100	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa90ae3…
07-28 13:52:31	eth updown 15m 1785246300	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x98e74e…
07-27 14:35:06	btc updown 15m 1785162600	Down	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x4ffbed…
07-27 14:07:10	eth updown 15m 1785160800	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x479851…
07-22 14:08:07	eth updown 15m 1784728800	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0acdec…
07-20 20:40:51	eth updown 15m 1784579400	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf564b3…
07-20 18:42:55	btc updown 15m 1784572200	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x5ce727…
07-20 16:41:33	eth updown 15m 1784565000	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x158248…
07-20 14:22:04	btc updown 15m 1784556900	Down	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x753927…
07-20 13:53:22	btc updown 15m 1784555100	Down	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x120199…
07-20 05:10:09	btc updown 15m 1784524500	Down	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x8a1774…
07-17 13:41:42	btc updown 15m 1784295000	Down	BUY	81	87¢	$70	0x31dc2f…
07-17 02:24:39	eth updown 15m 1784255400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80ede5…
07-16 08:22:08	eth updown 15m 1784189700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe07152…
07-15 20:10:01	eth updown 15m 1784145600	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7d8cf0…
07-15 13:41:58	eth updown 15m 1784122200	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe3c1ca…
07-15 13:09:55	eth updown 15m 1784120400	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0fbe44…
07-14 15:35:11	btc updown 15m 1784043000	Up	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x0f9828…
07-14 13:38:01	eth updown 15m 1784035800	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd1d0d0…
07-14 12:50:14	btc updown 15m 1784033100	Up	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x487a10…
07-11 15:37:31	btc updown 15m 1783783800	Down	BUY	79	88¢	$70	0x76a50c…
07-10 14:37:11	eth updown 15m 1783693800	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbf17ff…
07-10 14:36:05	btc updown 15m 1783693800	Down	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0xd66948…
07-09 15:28:56	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x1d26be…
07-09 14:20:14	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Down	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0xdc8b62…
07-09 13:53:22	btc updown 15m 1783604700	Up	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x7a449d…
07-09 12:42:53	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd25c8e…
07-08 14:22:17	eth updown 15m 1783520100	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0c97e1…
07-08 14:10:16	btc updown 15m 1783519200	Up	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xe1397c…
07-08 08:37:17	btc updown 15m 1783499400	Down	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x0b2068…
07-07 15:08:22	btc updown 15m 1783436400	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xf71526…
07-07 14:23:07	btc updown 15m 1783433700	Up	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x734199…
07-07 14:07:05	btc updown 15m 1783432800	Up	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xec8982…
07-07 13:54:26	eth updown 15m 1783431900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xabeb25…
07-07 13:52:17	btc updown 15m 1783431900	Up	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x6074e6…
07-07 13:39:01	eth updown 15m 1783431000	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x748c99…
07-07 13:37:04	btc updown 15m 1783431000	Down	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x82155b…
07-06 16:08:23	eth updown 15m 1783353600	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x150cb2…
07-06 16:07:05	btc updown 15m 1783353600	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x5ee813…
07-06 15:52:04	eth updown 15m 1783352700	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe8dfe5…
07-06 14:37:29	btc updown 15m 1783348200	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x7f3800…
07-06 14:24:14	eth updown 15m 1783347300	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8c8d33…
07-06 14:24:04	btc updown 15m 1783347300	Up	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x007379…
07-06 13:38:44	eth updown 15m 1783344600	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd64646…
07-06 13:38:31	btc updown 15m 1783344600	Down	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x700645…
07-02 19:56:07	btc updown 15m 1783021500	Down	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0x28a044…
07-02 15:37:05	btc updown 15m 1783006200	Down	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0xccddc2…
07-02 14:39:47	eth updown 15m 1783002600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xee4dd5…
07-02 14:39:17	btc updown 15m 1783002600	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x70faf9…
07-02 14:10:59	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xfcd31a…
07-02 14:08:37	eth updown 15m 1783000800	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x786843…
07-02 13:54:08	eth updown 15m 1782999900	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x457fac…
07-02 12:37:56	btc updown 15m 1782995400	Up	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0x9a84b8…
07-02 09:53:04	btc updown 15m 1782985500	Up	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x6da973…
07-01 15:22:20	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x2894d1…
07-01 14:54:20	eth updown 15m 1782917100	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbec272…
07-01 14:52:32	btc updown 15m 1782917100	Up	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x24f4d8…
07-01 14:37:10	btc updown 15m 1782916200	Down	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x1170fe…
07-01 14:37:07	eth updown 15m 1782916200	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe0d863…
07-01 14:24:50	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Down	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0xd26ce9…
07-01 14:07:04	btc updown 15m 1782914400	Down	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x9487f9…
07-01 13:37:37	btc updown 15m 1782912600	Up	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x85a01b…
07-01 13:37:11	eth updown 15m 1782912600	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x483482…
07-01 01:22:04	btc updown 15m 1782868500	Up	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x2f2e90…
06-30 15:39:04	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Down	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x34d519…
06-30 15:07:26	btc updown 15m 1782831600	Down	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0x59effe…
06-30 15:07:08	eth updown 15m 1782831600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdd9678…
06-30 14:23:14	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Up	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0xf893b6…
06-30 14:11:07	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1475b4…
06-30 13:52:04	eth updown 15m 1782827100	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x703cdd…
06-30 13:52:04	btc updown 15m 1782827100	Up	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x2b50e4…
06-29 17:22:05	eth updown 15m 1782753300	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa6a96f…
06-29 15:53:40	eth updown 15m 1782747900	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaa2414…
06-29 15:52:17	btc updown 15m 1782747900	Up	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xcd2715…
06-29 15:24:02	btc updown 15m 1782746100	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xfd103e…
06-29 14:52:53	btc updown 15m 1782744300	Up	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x119a1a…
06-29 14:38:19	btc updown 15m 1782743400	Up	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xf3d665…
06-29 14:37:05	eth updown 15m 1782743400	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x945ca8…
06-29 14:22:14	btc updown 15m 1782742500	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa4b9b5…
06-29 14:22:11	eth updown 15m 1782742500	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfeb89c…
06-29 13:52:46	btc updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x9789ac…
06-29 13:52:32	eth updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5fbf3d…
06-29 13:38:47	eth updown 15m 1782739800	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7acd3f…
06-29 13:37:16	btc updown 15m 1782739800	Down	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xbc351d…
06-29 12:52:08	btc updown 15m 1782737100	Down	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xbc9d08…
06-29 12:52:07	eth updown 15m 1782737100	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf0a6fe…
06-29 12:22:47	btc updown 15m 1782735300	Down	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0xb2a159…
06-29 00:37:37	btc updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x133192…
06-28 22:53:47	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xba9dc0…
06-28 22:37:50	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Down	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0xd7c98d…
06-26 20:09:41	eth updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xed4115…
06-26 16:22:10	btc updown 15m 1782490500	Down	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x299247…
06-26 16:22:08	eth updown 15m 1782490500	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa0cc0f…
06-26 16:09:20	btc updown 15m 1782489600	Down	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x8dc218…
06-26 16:07:08	eth updown 15m 1782489600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x06cca6…
06-26 15:37:04	btc updown 15m 1782487800	Up	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xf2753b…
06-26 15:37:04	eth updown 15m 1782487800	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x798f5c…
06-26 15:07:19	eth updown 15m 1782486000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbb969b…
06-26 15:07:05	btc updown 15m 1782486000	Up	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xf62ea5…
06-26 14:56:04	eth updown 15m 1782485100	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5d7586…