Bad-Pathway 0x4954ad…b3ac42
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
42.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,057
lifetime
Volume
$22.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$151
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-01 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
33% 20% $-27
Crypto
29% — —
Sports
21% 100% +$3
Politics
16% 0% $-16
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -46 $-33 84¢ $-39 $-6 05-31 02:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -37 $-31 92¢ $-34 $-2 05-31 02:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 $-18 86¢ $-18 $-0 06-28 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +15 $11 74¢ $11 $-0 07-02 18:20
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Under +9 $5 100¢ $9 +$4 05-31 23:10
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -21 $-5 41¢ $-9 $-4 05-31 02:54
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -9 $-6 83¢ $-7 $-1 05-31 02:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 05-31 02:56
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -59 $-4 8¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 02:54
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-3 75¢ $-4 $-1 05-31 02:53
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-5 36¢ $-3 +$2 05-31 02:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-4 32¢ $-2 +$2 05-31 02:54
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -3 $-2 47¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 02:52
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1 $-1 70¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 17:07
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -1 $-0 72¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 02:11
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -1 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 02:09
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 64¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 02:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 04:28
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 41¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 14:26
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 78¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 03:15