Vast-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$4.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 48% $-44

Politics

7% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	13	$305	325	0	+325	open	—	05-14 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	11	$275	349	0	+349	open	—	05-14 10:29
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$273	487	487	+0	open	—	05-13 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$246	197	115	+81	open	—	05-14 18:03
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$244	406	406	+0	open	—	05-14 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$216	147	147	+0	open	—	05-14 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$150	208	0	+208	open	—	05-14 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$135	169	0	+169	Up	+$34	05-14 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$132	86	86	+0	Up	+$32	05-13 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	7	$126	2,558	58	+2,500	Down	$-11	05-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$125	242	0	+242	Up	+$117	05-13 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$123	77	77	+0	Up	+$23	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$115	260	260	+0	open	—	05-14 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$105	165	0	+165	open	—	05-14 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$100	616	0	+616	Down	$-100	05-14 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$100	133	0	+133	Up	+$33	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$90	264	0	+264	open	—	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	6	$90	136	0	+136	Up	+$46	05-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$78	414	0	+414	open	—	05-14 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$75	170	0	+170	open	—	05-14 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$75	121	0	+121	open	—	05-14 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$75	107	0	+107	open	—	05-14 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$75	84	0	+84	Up	+$9	05-13 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$63	156	0	+156	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$62	60	9	+51	Up	+$3	05-13 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$62	58	47	+11	Down	+$2	05-13 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$60	279	0	+279	open	—	05-14 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$56	150	0	+150	open	—	05-13 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$55	98	0	+98	open	—	05-14 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$51	336	0	+336	Up	$-51	05-14 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x89c947…
05-14 19:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfd47a3…
05-14 19:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6dd2f9…
05-14 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa8accb…
05-14 18:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa28cd3…
05-14 18:55:20	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$7	0x558b74…
05-14 18:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0e3cfa…
05-14 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdaac61…
05-14 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa09fb9…
05-14 18:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x4b0972…
05-14 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	129	19¢	$25	0x57fdc6…
05-14 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x281439…
05-14 18:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xe4a567…
05-14 18:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9b4c37…
05-14 18:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6b08c2…
05-14 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x64d0d7…
05-14 18:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xa1ed21…
05-14 18:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xbc3ffd…
05-14 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd49e9…
05-14 18:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb08df1…
05-14 18:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7d24bd…
05-14 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xab9a1b…
05-14 18:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x78a0a6…
05-14 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x0058dc…
05-14 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x21fa1a…
05-14 18:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02d445…
05-14 18:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc4733e…
05-14 18:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2490bf…
05-14 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe3e6bb…
05-14 18:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	115	96¢	$111	0xc5be5a…
05-14 18:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x268bca…
05-14 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x1b2474…
05-14 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf4f430…
05-14 17:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x1ecc25…
05-14 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc9933a…
05-14 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8bfb37…
05-14 13:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x21eb47…
05-14 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x17bc1e…
05-14 13:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa11be6…
05-14 13:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x768339…
05-14 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6afb18…
05-14 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe5003b…
05-14 13:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	260	4¢	$10	0x17cf33…
05-14 13:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9b2367…
05-14 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xbaea55…
05-14 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x4e48d8…
05-14 13:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe70935…
05-14 13:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x92469a…
05-14 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xcf4e65…
05-14 12:43:59	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	406	28¢	$114	0x294577…
05-14 12:32:56	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0x04aee2…
05-14 12:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x83726d…
05-14 12:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9aac12…
05-14 12:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3837d8…
05-14 12:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb7ed5d…
05-14 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x2217d5…
05-14 12:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe7ce16…
05-14 12:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x217d55…
05-14 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xc00f0f…
05-14 11:31:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	32¢	$80	0x30497b…
05-14 11:27:37	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xa80320…
05-14 11:20:34	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xeb1187…
05-14 10:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x71b051…
05-14 10:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x75293c…
05-14 10:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x4a7574…
05-14 10:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x18ba20…
05-14 10:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x627520…
05-14 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9aa3ba…
05-14 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5cfe5d…
05-14 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4e5bbb…
05-14 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc07f04…
05-14 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x774533…
05-14 10:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0e9854…
05-14 10:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9fe877…
05-14 10:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ff067…
05-14 10:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x59c4f6…
05-14 10:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x42d957…
05-14 10:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5228eb…
05-14 10:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ac19b…
05-14 10:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xef6692…
05-14 10:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xa4e760…
05-14 10:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x6e385a…
05-14 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x43b9d9…
05-14 10:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x9b5901…
05-14 10:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xbd64f6…
05-14 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x9b25bd…
05-14 10:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x780277…
05-14 10:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x1630db…
05-14 10:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe12782…
05-14 10:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x754e15…
05-14 10:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xff0459…
05-14 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb75b97…
05-14 10:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xdbdcb1…
05-14 10:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x83d808…
05-14 10:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x7d3ff5…
05-14 10:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x080571…
05-14 09:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x720ebe…
05-14 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4d5793…
05-14 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x481c48…
05-14 09:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x51beef…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	64	$70.4K	6,785	05-14 19:09
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	64	$34.2K	8,188	05-14 19:09
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	64	$31.1K	3,842	05-14 19:09
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	64	$29.9K	2,726	05-14 19:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	64	$23.7K	1,075	05-14 19:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	64	$23.3K	1,106	05-14 19:08
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	64	$19.5K	2,608	05-14 19:09
Pessimistic-Harp 0x951b…433e	64	$17.5K	846	05-14 19:06