Dutiful-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$740

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-17 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

55% 60% +$60

Other

38% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?	2	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	05-02 14:14
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$80	57	57	+0	Joshua Van	+$34	05-10 03:45
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	3	$79	60	60	+0	open	—	03-08 05:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$53	72	70	+2	open	—	04-08 02:17
bra fla bah 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	2	$46	36	36	+1	open	—	04-20 00:14
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$45	35	35	+0	Sean Brady	+$16	05-10 02:04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 15:35
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	1	$25	65	0	+65	open	—	04-20 18:39
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$24	386	110	+276	open	—	04-15 20:48
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$23	0	26	-26	open	—	05-03 01:24
cs2 furia mouz 2026 04 15	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 00:29
Will Daniel Santos win by KO or TKO?	1	$20	63	0	+63	open	—	05-16 23:13
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	1	$17	49	0	+49	open	—	05-03 17:08
will trump say fake news during address to the nation	1	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	04-01 20:49
fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	03-28 21:32
lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	04-16 00:36
Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score	1	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 13:39
Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?	3	$13	78	0	+78	open	—	05-16 23:17
fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	1	$12	39	0	+39	open	—	03-31 20:06
will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	04-01 20:54
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-17 02:16
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	04-19 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776728400	1	$9	24	0	+24	open	—	04-20 23:43
lib gar fla 2026 04 08 fla	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	04-09 01:27
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?	1	$7	35	0	+35	No	$-7	05-10 02:09
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$6	29	0	+29	Sean Strickland	+$23	05-10 03:48
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 oliveira win by ko tko	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-08 05:10
btc updown 5m 1772982000	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-08 15:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 20	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	04-20 14:52
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	Cavaliers	$-5	05-13 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:39:20	Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x34c343…
05-17 02:16:15	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1e3e72…
05-16 23:17:48	Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xbaa83b…
05-16 23:13:31	Will Daniel Santos win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x857318…
05-16 23:11:30	Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xb37fa9…
05-16 23:09:44	Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xca8338…
05-13 22:34:20	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd102e5…
05-10 03:48:23	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xca5650…
05-10 03:45:35	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xc8bd1e…
05-10 02:59:30	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x5cedc8…
05-10 02:56:44	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x56fa3f…
05-10 02:09:48	Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xcd3de0…
05-10 02:04:45	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x5e8d17…
05-10 01:53:49	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xcbd2a9…
05-03 17:08:30	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	49	36¢	$17	0x6ca55a…
05-03 01:24:04	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xe0c12c…
05-02 15:35:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6de80e…
05-02 14:16:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x96a307…
05-02 14:14:12	Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x23dd0b…
05-02 05:12:24	Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x9a17d8…
04-20 23:43:20	btc updown 5m 1776728400	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x4f9802…
04-20 23:33:46	btc updown 5m 1776727800	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe3a98e…
04-20 18:39:32	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x1e70ab…
04-20 14:54:36	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xa01ffc…
04-20 14:52:32	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4c78a7…
04-20 00:14:32	bra fla bah 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	CR Flamengo	SELL	36	88¢	$31	0xcba5e1…
04-19 21:39:44	bra fla bah 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	CR Flamengo	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x54a0c7…
04-19 15:19:18	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x27e375…
04-16 00:36:20	lib flu cir 2026 04 15 flu	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x36ed41…
04-16 00:29:40	cs2 furia mouz 2026 04 15	FURIA	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7dc791…
04-15 21:00:34	cs2 furia mouz 2026 04 15	FURIA	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe3568a…
04-15 20:48:40	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0xef28a7…
04-15 19:09:30	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x4f68b5…
04-10 22:19:15	btc updown 5m 1775859300	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2ecc25…
04-10 15:59:53	btc updown 5m 1775836500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5e4783…
04-09 01:27:43	lib gar fla 2026 04 08 fla	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x7d40d7…
04-08 14:41:45	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	159	4¢	$7	0x74b078…
04-08 02:24:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x0c94d6…
04-08 02:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x704980…
04-02 09:37:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x75d59f…
04-01 20:54:51	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf29106…
04-01 20:49:59	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x71b1de…
03-31 20:06:29	fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0xeb085b…
03-28 21:32:02	fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x816eb6…
03-28 21:28:12	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x100893…
03-08 15:01:33	btc updown 5m 1772982000	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x11ec9f…
03-08 14:48:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x5fbb8f…
03-08 05:10:15	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 oliveira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xab0e32…
03-08 05:07:49	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xe35719…
03-08 00:16:45	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x072058…
03-07 21:34:47	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0ae689…