Stiff-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-10 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$46	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$34	44	44	+0	Up	$-6	05-06 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$27	21	12	+8	open	—	04-26 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$21	24	15	+10	Up	+$1	05-08 10:12
btc updown 5m 1776167700	3	$17	21	10	+11	open	—	04-14 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$16	22	12	+9	Down	$-3	05-07 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	05-07 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$14	15	5	+10	Up	$-2	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$14	16	8	+8	Up	$-0	05-07 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$14	15	11	+5	Down	$-6	05-07 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$11	13	1	+12	Up	+$1	05-07 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$11	12	1	+11	Down	$-0	05-07 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	05-07 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$11	13	13	+0	Up	$-7	05-08 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$10	11	8	+2	Down	$-4	05-08 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	05-07 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-07 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$8	11	2	+9	Down	+$1	05-07 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	Up	+$7	05-07 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$8	9	3	+7	Up	+$0	05-07 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 13:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x79cbd3…
05-10 13:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4680c4…
05-10 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x56f79d…
05-10 12:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5c19fe…
05-10 12:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x1e3f7a…
05-10 12:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb11831…
05-08 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5516cb…
05-08 10:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xca5fa2…
05-08 10:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfc85bd…
05-08 10:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x28a762…
05-08 10:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x6e937a…
05-08 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x37322e…
05-08 10:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeda247…
05-08 10:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x368bf0…
05-08 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3013d3…
05-08 10:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa31571…
05-08 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xbc6c1c…
05-08 10:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x2a7c03…
05-08 10:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xaf9c03…
05-08 10:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfcd4fe…
05-08 10:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a89f9…
05-08 10:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0c5e5f…
05-08 10:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x78356c…
05-08 10:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x898643…
05-08 10:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe14601…
05-08 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x86c28b…
05-08 10:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2d281a…
05-08 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb9f802…
05-08 10:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcc5b4f…
05-08 10:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x20c2ee…
05-08 10:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe4d534…
05-08 10:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x34c393…
05-08 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x811393…
05-08 09:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x669d92…
05-08 09:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd50c42…
05-08 09:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xc9dd13…
05-08 09:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb63576…
05-08 09:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3be22a…
05-08 09:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcc7ebe…
05-07 23:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa0aa3e…
05-07 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6bebcf…
05-07 22:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xeee4dd…
05-07 22:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x06ca11…
05-07 22:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3c7f51…
05-07 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x964914…
05-07 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb618c8…
05-07 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x6df557…
05-07 22:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca7f7e…
05-07 22:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa9d9d3…
05-07 22:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xefe55e…
05-07 22:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xae7285…
05-07 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x4be939…
05-07 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf59999…
05-07 22:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x521ab8…
05-07 22:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdbed84…
05-07 22:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x425189…
05-07 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x21dcd0…
05-07 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x39aee1…
05-07 22:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x06c3b7…
05-07 22:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1d5182…
05-07 22:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe04ad8…
05-07 13:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x87e859…
05-07 13:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x1a95c4…
05-07 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x5b0d54…
05-07 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xf245d9…
05-07 12:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xeadf20…
05-07 12:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4ec50b…
05-07 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1d0b26…
05-07 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xaca8a7…
05-07 11:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbc7d73…
05-07 11:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x29b191…
05-07 11:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x840885…
05-07 11:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x063452…
05-07 11:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x4b280d…
05-07 11:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5af4df…
05-07 11:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa174c7…
05-07 11:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	76¢	$13	0x2117cf…
05-07 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa62e1f…
05-07 11:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa63255…
05-07 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7a7dbc…
05-07 11:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc50b7b…
05-07 11:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8af51f…
05-07 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x27aa2c…
05-07 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x20729d…
05-07 10:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x98857c…
05-07 10:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x65adae…
05-07 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x212102…
05-07 10:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x2a3f31…
05-07 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd96c40…
05-07 10:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x43c8ac…
05-07 10:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a4444…
05-07 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf3ec7f…
05-07 10:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x405de3…
05-06 10:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xc21ffa…
05-06 10:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb68dc2…
05-06 10:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xcc7a96…
05-06 10:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0b70dc…
05-06 10:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x1e81c7…
05-06 10:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xef58c2…
05-06 10:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9c6308…