Funny-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$119

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$14	10	8	+2	Up	+$2	05-06 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	$-5	05-06 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-06 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$3	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-06 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-06 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-05 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd5d981…
05-07 17:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2b0b4e…
05-07 12:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99a862…
05-07 11:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd3f831…
05-07 11:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x376b6a…
05-07 11:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xce496b…
05-07 10:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6a4cb1…
05-06 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x492d13…
05-06 22:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdac861…
05-06 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8e508b…
05-06 21:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb43285…
05-06 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x63641d…
05-06 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9889f7…
05-06 21:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x941d9d…
05-06 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfbaec2…
05-06 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2425ae…
05-06 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf414c6…
05-06 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x69b182…
05-06 19:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc254ab…
05-06 19:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x648609…
05-06 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x390b36…
05-06 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x93e9ea…
05-06 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9f9ea9…
05-06 13:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x325c98…
05-06 13:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c116f…
05-06 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3d0be6…
05-06 13:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x52b10d…
05-06 13:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8221e3…
05-06 09:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3dfb77…
05-06 09:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9f704…
05-06 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaec790…
05-05 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe8f7ea…
05-05 21:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9751ab…
05-05 21:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x658d14…
05-05 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb35273…
05-05 21:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe91223…
05-05 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd9419b…
05-05 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x011ba3…
05-05 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4e7128…
05-05 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2f1c80…
05-05 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ffa55…
05-05 20:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1c0e8a…
05-05 19:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x4e1df9…
05-05 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea4f02…
05-05 19:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x1d2a78…
05-05 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x75a4af…
05-05 17:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1b13a2…
05-05 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ec46d…
05-05 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x269c78…