Defensive-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$694

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-20 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	No	+$4	05-12 22:44
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	No	+$4	05-12 11:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	1	$1.8K	1,823	0	+1,823	No	+$4	05-12 02:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	1	$1.8K	1,815	0	+1,815	No	+$4	05-11 01:44
bitcoin above 72k on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	open	—	03-09 02:23
ethereum above 1700 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	03-08 01:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	03-07 01:33
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	03-06 02:10
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	03-05 01:21
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	open	—	03-04 01:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	03-03 06:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	open	—	03-02 01:01
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,131	0	+1,131	open	—	03-01 07:41
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	02-28 00:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	02-27 00:35
bitcoin above 58k on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	02-25 00:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	02-24 03:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	02-23 05:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,109	0	+1,109	open	—	02-22 01:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-21 00:35
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	02-20 00:53
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	open	—	02-19 00:45
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	02-18 01:53
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	02-16 02:07
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	02-15 02:30
xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	02-14 13:56
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-30 08:02
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:01
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 09:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-11 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:00:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9efd02…
05-14 01:51:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,849	0¢	$4	0x403bf6…
05-12 22:44:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,830	100¢	$1,826	0x2719e2…
05-12 11:45:35	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,825	100¢	$1,821	0x9092ad…
05-12 02:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,823	100¢	$1,819	0xac20b4…
05-11 01:44:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,815	100¢	$1,811	0xbe6248…
05-09 02:21:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,830	0¢	$4	0x053285…
05-07 02:32:41	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,075	0¢	$4	0x5f4685…
05-06 02:29:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0x54d8bc…
05-03 06:10:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,080	0¢	$6	0x7d8251…
04-14 02:55:47	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1ea7b3…
03-30 08:02:32	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xf7df97…
03-14 01:49:25	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	Yes	BUY	2,175	0¢	$4	0xc7896f…
03-09 02:23:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 9	No	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,147	0xb06819…
03-08 01:55:39	ethereum above 1700 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,147	100¢	$1,144	0x3d7410…
03-07 01:33:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,146	100¢	$1,143	0x804bae…
03-06 02:10:49	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,140	0xafb2e6…
03-05 01:21:43	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	No	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,137	0x31ba7e…
03-04 01:06:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	1,137	100¢	$1,135	0xfe9e9f…
03-03 06:54:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,134	100¢	$1,132	0xa96c30…
03-02 01:01:35	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,131	0xa2905f…
03-01 07:41:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,131	100¢	$1,128	0xf802c1…
02-28 00:49:01	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,124	0x68d956…
02-27 00:35:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,121	0xdfcc4a…
02-25 00:18:24	bitcoin above 58k on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,119	100¢	$1,116	0x2f2bc3…
02-24 03:36:30	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,111	0x80c6ae…
02-23 05:17:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,109	0xa818aa…
02-22 01:30:28	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,105	0x1fab6b…
02-21 00:35:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,103	0x99bad8…
02-20 00:53:08	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,099	0x13c7a9…
02-19 00:45:38	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,094	0xe02668…
02-18 01:53:33	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,094	100¢	$1,089	0x639f5e…
02-16 02:07:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 16	No	BUY	1,085	99¢	$1,078	0x134a77…
02-15 02:30:05	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,079	99¢	$1,071	0x38c574…
02-14 13:56:13	xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0x625979…
02-11 01:25:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,110	1¢	$8	0xc3e4e5…
02-06 02:20:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,109	0¢	$3	0xe99f1e…
02-02 12:06:38	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f4b36…
02-01 08:09:06	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0x50779f…
01-31 11:01:16	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x554666…
01-29 11:47:58	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19605f…
01-28 09:56:55	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00a1ff…
01-27 10:01:51	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09dd54…
01-27 01:47:27	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$2	0xa61a65…
01-26 10:53:27	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd23412…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…