Sarcastic-Shoestring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$314

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-13 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

90% 50% +$25

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$70	50	50	+0	Up	+$30	05-11 20:32
spx up or down on april 13 2026	3	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 20:01
spx up or down on april 10 2026	4	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	04-10 20:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	2	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 20:04
spx up or down on april 14 2026	3	$17	36	16	+20	open	—	04-14 12:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-27 20:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$15	259	259	+0	open	—	04-13 07:38
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 20:19
spx up or down on april 23 2026	1	$7	19	0	+19	open	—	04-23 13:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 13:31
will trump attend ufc 327	2	$7	90	0	+90	open	—	04-11 10:52
spx up or down on april 17 2026	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 12:30
btc updown 5m 1775807100	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 07:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-24 12:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 08:11
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-10 07:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-04 13:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-10 07:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-07 13:29
btc updown 5m 1776058200	2	$5	11	10	+1	open	—	04-13 05:34
spx up or down on april 15 2026	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-15 12:37
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 07:20
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-10 07:34
bitcoin above 74k on april 10	1	$2	74	0	+74	open	—	04-10 07:39
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 07:35
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	1	$2	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:04:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb84187…
05-13 13:31:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2595a1…
05-11 20:32:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x152166…
05-11 13:26:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x338efc…
05-07 13:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb0fe70…
05-04 13:36:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0f58d9…
04-30 20:19:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x71dd63…
04-30 13:36:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb90c5f…
04-29 13:31:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4af5db…
04-29 13:29:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x19f813…
04-28 20:01:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf2299b…
04-28 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x4f170a…
04-27 20:01:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x842eed…
04-27 13:30:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7ebad5…
04-24 12:52:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x338ac0…
04-23 13:17:44	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xb6b92d…
04-17 12:30:10	spx up or down on april 17 2026	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x5c55b5…
04-17 08:14:04	spx up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xefe4f2…
04-15 12:37:38	spx up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x7cc650…
04-14 12:33:03	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x465d16…
04-14 12:31:21	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xfcdba9…
04-14 10:35:17	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xb91e7a…
04-13 20:01:01	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x71725f…
04-13 13:40:11	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x5bef27…
04-13 08:57:21	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xaf3701…
04-13 07:38:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	259	3¢	$8	0xd612bc…
04-13 05:34:21	btc updown 5m 1776058200	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x5e8939…
04-13 05:31:49	btc updown 5m 1776058200	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3cce1b…
04-11 10:52:35	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xabb206…
04-10 20:03:57	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x512701…
04-10 13:42:11	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb7727f…
04-10 12:56:07	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xf01645…
04-10 12:43:45	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa6c9c2…
04-10 08:13:53	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x815c63…
04-10 08:11:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x9b1412…
04-10 08:10:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xca48ef…
04-10 07:50:27	btc updown 5m 1775807100	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x851d8b…
04-10 07:46:09	btc updown 5m 1775807100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x15b2e9…
04-10 07:41:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x512c7e…
04-10 07:39:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x24caa7…
04-10 07:35:33	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc319fe…
04-10 07:34:47	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x03727d…
04-10 07:20:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x370bc9…
04-10 07:17:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x1bdfd3…
04-10 07:15:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x288196…
04-10 07:13:09	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x857d9c…
04-10 07:07:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x04d647…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	20	$1.93M	3,518	05-13 18:22
Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6	16	$1.68K	104	05-11 17:03
Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa	16	$508	176	05-13 16:36
Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471	15	$28.2K	382	05-13 16:17
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	15	$16.1K	805	05-13 13:25
Charming-Diffuse 0xf259…7592	15	$3.85K	130	05-13 18:00
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4	14	$463.9K	2,253	05-13 16:04
Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d	14	$66.2K	1,211	05-13 16:22