Fitting-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-06 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1776096900	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-13 16:25
btc updown 15m 1776096900	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-13 16:25
eth updown 15m 1776085200	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	04-13 13:10
btc updown 15m 1776100500	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-13 17:20
sol updown 15m 1776069000	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	04-13 08:30
eth updown 15m 1776116700	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	04-13 21:50
btc updown 15m 1776077100	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	04-13 10:50
btc updown 15m 1776118500	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	04-13 22:15
eth updown 15m 1776178800	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	04-14 15:00
doge updown 15m 1776067200	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-13 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	8	+8	open	—	04-28 02:30
btc updown 15m 1776106800	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	04-13 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-27 11:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-27 22:20
eth updown 15m 1776106800	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	04-13 19:00
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-27 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-27 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-28 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-27 18:25
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-27 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-27 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	04-28 00:45
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$3	14	+14	open	—	04-28 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-27 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-28 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-27 11:00
eth updown 15m 1776955500	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-23 14:55
eth updown 15m 1776074400	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	04-13 10:05
btc updown 15m 1776221100	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-15 02:50
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-27 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 20:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x32f925…
05-06 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xf98e51…
05-06 17:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xb13490…
05-06 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x3056c3…
05-06 13:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa4dd32…
05-06 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7a8f01…
05-06 07:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x22524b…
05-06 07:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x979a82…
05-06 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3ff30e…
05-06 05:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28d1da…
05-06 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xffab0c…
05-06 03:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7c829e…
05-06 01:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xebb91e…
05-05 22:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xff2be4…
05-05 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x322e60…
05-05 18:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x546471…
05-05 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x967023…
05-05 16:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb0ad30…
05-05 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb08e88…
05-05 14:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa76584…
05-05 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7e35eb…
05-05 11:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x367aae…
05-05 08:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xbcb4e7…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd4c5eb…
05-05 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf0017…
05-05 06:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x3b102e…
05-05 05:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xba95ea…
05-05 03:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4075ac…
05-05 01:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x44de71…
05-05 01:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x191c31…
05-04 23:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x963559…
05-04 21:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xc12b40…
05-04 19:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb5e8eb…
05-04 17:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x101e43…
05-04 16:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xd24077…
05-04 14:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb6949e…
05-04 13:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x26a51b…
05-04 08:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c5232…
05-04 08:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x60d864…
05-04 06:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7761b1…
05-04 02:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xebbc40…
05-04 02:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1f2584…
05-03 23:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40988d…
05-03 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd2ab83…
05-03 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xbbd754…
05-03 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe74562…
05-03 11:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x82cc08…
05-03 09:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcabf5e…
05-03 09:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x590f3b…
05-03 06:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5c90a2…
05-03 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x121899…
05-03 00:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe516bc…
05-03 00:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2b7a4d…
05-02 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x69e907…
05-02 21:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x106c38…
05-02 19:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x62ce42…
05-02 18:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0661fc…
05-02 17:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x3928cb…
05-02 16:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe6cfa1…
05-02 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7a6c5e…
05-02 11:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x68cb65…
05-02 10:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x15f52f…
05-02 09:40:20	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb32bed…
05-02 08:40:10	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb402f9…
05-02 08:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa9ed4…
05-02 07:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x445ae8…
05-02 07:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x88cbb0…
05-02 06:50:10	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x29f1e5…
05-02 05:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb64ed6…
05-02 03:50:12	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x494c4f…
05-02 03:15:12	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0c40d2…
05-02 00:50:20	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xca18ec…
05-02 00:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x60d41d…
05-01 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x987ef9…
05-01 23:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x96c188…
05-01 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc5e202…
05-01 18:30:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xa6d01f…
05-01 18:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x065385…
05-01 18:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbed34c…
05-01 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x7b114c…
05-01 16:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x37d076…
05-01 15:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2e2d4b…
05-01 11:30:32	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2c19e2…
05-01 10:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6abdcd…
05-01 10:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xcce885…
05-01 08:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf8f9f0…
05-01 08:30:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x757106…
05-01 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x691fa2…
05-01 07:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x70ea5b…
05-01 07:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x5c8eb9…
05-01 07:05:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x004754…
05-01 06:20:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$3	0x51db87…
05-01 03:15:10	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe1b426…
05-01 03:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x522669…
05-01 01:50:10	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xf727ff…
05-01 00:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x61c58c…
05-01 00:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x32acbb…
05-01 00:15:32	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x420b1c…
04-30 22:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xfe6826…
04-30 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1f1d83…