Gummy-Pick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

165

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-14 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 52% $-66

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$19	36	0	+36	Down	$-19	05-09 18:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$15	769	769	+0	open	—	04-04 07:59
f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	2	$14	21	21	+0	open	—	03-15 05:54
f1 chinese grand prix winner hamilton 2026 03 15	3	$13	107	81	+26	open	—	03-15 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	Down	$-11	05-12 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	Down	$-11	05-12 05:44
btc updown 5m 1772973300	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 12:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	Down	+$7	05-12 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	Up	$-11	05-12 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-09 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-12 02:09
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 33c	1	$10	918	0	+918	open	—	04-12 04:34
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 34c	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-13 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-12 03:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-12 10:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$9	16	0	+16	Up	$-9	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-12 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-12 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	$-9	05-11 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-10 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	Up	$-9	05-11 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-12 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	$-9	05-11 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-12 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	+$6	05-12 04:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-10 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$9	15	0	+15	Down	+$6	05-12 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1422e1…
05-13 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xe93ab3…
05-13 23:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3cf662…
05-13 21:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5f37be…
05-13 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x1f92a2…
05-13 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x04067e…
05-13 19:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa040fd…
05-13 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x3e39d4…
05-13 18:54:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xfaf99b…
05-13 18:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbdde9d…
05-13 18:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb9d695…
05-13 17:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd4bc6a…
05-13 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x09ca1c…
05-13 17:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xd9725b…
05-13 16:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbd1706…
05-13 15:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x78b8fc…
05-13 15:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1655af…
05-13 13:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2b53a8…
05-13 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbff57e…
05-13 13:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb831db…
05-13 13:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa5c63a…
05-13 12:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x48731f…
05-13 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x581733…
05-13 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3fdc5e…
05-13 11:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x55818f…
05-13 11:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ad9c2…
05-13 11:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x9296bb…
05-13 10:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x25fa82…
05-13 10:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x875ecd…
05-13 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x7c1205…
05-13 07:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6cd4b1…
05-13 07:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2e0487…
05-12 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd6ce39…
05-12 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x1ba699…
05-12 21:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9765b5…
05-12 19:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd9ad60…
05-12 19:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x99d0e9…
05-12 19:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc6fb7d…
05-12 19:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0fe1b6…
05-12 19:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x4d586c…
05-12 19:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0c1178…
05-12 19:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe7fe3a…
05-12 19:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xce641b…
05-12 19:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x792e31…
05-12 19:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe905d4…
05-12 18:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7ac039…
05-12 18:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x2db20d…
05-12 18:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xe3454c…
05-12 17:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xbe73b2…
05-12 17:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb846ba…
05-12 17:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xab98f2…
05-12 17:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5b6fb3…
05-12 17:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3769c9…
05-12 16:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x57a660…
05-12 16:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa40db9…
05-12 16:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3da533…
05-12 16:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x33e4a8…
05-12 16:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2fb342…
05-12 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x7865cc…
05-12 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x56a106…
05-12 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf876f3…
05-12 15:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x48cf60…
05-12 15:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x2720d7…
05-12 15:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x870d31…
05-12 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x9585bf…
05-12 14:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x7c691b…
05-12 14:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfbf95b…
05-12 14:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x86e8bc…
05-12 14:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xfdd5d7…
05-12 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xd2a136…
05-12 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa0fdbe…
05-12 13:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x4a7908…
05-12 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x78980f…
05-12 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x40c98c…
05-12 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9af5ee…
05-12 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf79bc4…
05-12 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x867172…
05-12 12:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xfb55bf…
05-12 12:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x09599a…
05-12 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xd4476f…
05-12 11:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x536197…
05-12 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x19857c…
05-12 10:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x3093f6…
05-12 10:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x2b9b67…
05-12 10:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xb2133e…
05-12 10:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xa3fe35…
05-12 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x74f9b0…
05-12 09:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xe6bc05…
05-12 09:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xb5d380…
05-12 09:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x6d9435…
05-12 08:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x8125cf…
05-12 08:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x3a8899…
05-12 06:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe335c3…
05-12 06:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8d476f…
05-12 06:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8d2cf7…
05-12 06:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x3efbe2…
05-12 06:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x1f3d89…
05-12 05:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x15f404…
05-12 05:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6484d7…
05-12 05:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x2b3feb…