Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$793

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-05 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

81% 40% $-804

Other

12% 80% +$11

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$0	02-25 02:38
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	$-1	02-25 02:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$796	812	0	+812	Yes	$-796	02-25 02:39
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$679	340	340	+0	No	$-1	02-24 00:28
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$401	402	0	+402	No	+$1	02-25 02:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-25 02:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$200	210	0	+210	open	—	07-05 13:56
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$199	199	0	+199	No	+$0	02-25 02:39
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	01-10 01:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	04-18 13:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$94	100	0	+100	No	+$6	04-19 18:34
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-24 01:12
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	03-07 06:25
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	01-10 01:19
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$57	58	0	+58	Yes	+$1	01-10 01:19
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-24 01:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	03-07 06:25
will trump drink water during the state of the union	5	$41	25	45	-20	No	$-8	02-24 01:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	03-22 03:31
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-07 06:24
trump out as president by march 31	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	03-07 06:25
bikinis back on x by january 31	4	$38	100	100	+0	No	$-2	01-10 01:15
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	02-24 01:12
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$21	100	100	+0	No	$-1	01-10 01:15
another us strike on venezuela on january 12	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-10 01:17
kash patel out by march 31	2	$9	100	100	+0	No	$-1	02-24 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 13:56:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xf783a8…
04-19 18:34:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9184c0…
04-18 13:52:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x04faa9…
03-22 03:31:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xb408a2…
03-07 06:25:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb177bb…
03-07 06:25:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x659879…
03-07 06:25:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9165af…
03-07 06:24:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xfbabc2…
02-25 02:39:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	612	98¢	$600	0x89e130…
02-25 02:39:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd854ff…
02-25 02:39:24	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x76f192…
02-25 02:39:04	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0x7c7145…
02-25 02:38:30	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xcefecd…
02-25 02:38:22	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$698	0x1d76fe…
02-24 01:12:34	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1e1522…
02-24 01:12:14	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6d61f8…
02-24 01:12:08	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e1199…
02-24 01:11:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x788519…
02-24 01:11:00	will trump drink water during the state of the union	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x5130e7…
02-24 01:10:46	kash patel out by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x79f472…
02-24 01:06:16	will trump drink water during the state of the union	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe0c424…
02-24 00:59:46	will trump drink water during the state of the union	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd69ecb…
02-24 00:49:14	will trump drink water during the state of the union	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xf0b9de…
02-24 00:36:50	kash patel out by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x74ff28…
02-24 00:36:18	will trump drink water during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2a4a3e…
02-24 00:28:40	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xe856af…
02-06 03:02:49	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x129648…
02-06 03:02:39	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x8afce3…
02-06 03:02:25	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x1f06fd…
01-10 01:19:24	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x6d2533…
01-10 01:19:02	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xfcfc7f…
01-10 01:17:44	another us strike on venezuela by january 10	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x99504f…
01-10 01:17:06	another us strike on venezuela on january 12	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8db723…
01-10 01:15:26	bikinis back on x by january 31	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x7d8975…
01-10 01:15:12	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x42eb7d…
01-10 00:56:50	bikinis back on x by january 31	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x3d36a8…
01-10 00:54:08	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x0350ba…
01-10 00:47:02	bikinis back on x by january 31	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x09c9f5…
01-10 00:45:30	bikinis back on x by january 31	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x10daab…