Salty-Disadvantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$8.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-27 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

48% 0% $-1

Other

29% — —

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$377	194	194	+0	open	—	03-07 12:41
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$369	194	194	+0	open	—	02-07 18:32
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$287	147	147	+0	open	—	02-23 18:15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$238	122	122	+0	No	$-0	03-26 18:43
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$232	120	120	-0	open	—	03-06 21:09
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$212	114	114	-0	open	—	02-12 15:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$210	109	109	+0	open	—	03-03 02:25
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	02-23 18:08
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	4	$197	102	102	+0	open	—	02-12 15:43
will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	5	$194	99	99	-0	open	—	02-22 18:29
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	5	$186	97	97	+0	open	—	03-10 16:37
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$182	94	94	+0	open	—	02-22 18:20
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$179	98	98	+0	open	—	02-07 18:22
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$178	92	92	+0	open	—	02-16 00:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	03-19 01:12
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$150	78	78	+0	open	—	02-23 18:11
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$143	75	75	+0	No	$-0	03-18 05:52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$141	73	73	+0	open	—	03-24 08:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	02-16 00:47
will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	5	$128	66	66	+0	open	—	02-23 18:18
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	02-23 18:19
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 14:44
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	02-10 05:53
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	02-07 18:26
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	02-10 05:45
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	01-11 13:03
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	02-07 05:47
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	02-03 18:13
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	01-13 08:49
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$103	56	56	+0	open	—	02-10 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 19:26:43	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb81ad2…
07-27 13:26:27	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd17b7…
07-05 16:19:53	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0x5b39ea…
07-05 12:19:13	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xffa522…
06-14 16:08:51	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xc29070…
06-14 10:05:42	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbb05b5…
06-14 10:05:18	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xfe9304…
03-27 07:56:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xe5854c…
03-27 02:56:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x3485e2…
03-26 18:43:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x2d37ed…
03-26 11:41:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x447176…
03-26 11:40:07	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x82c496…
03-26 07:39:37	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6771d3…
03-26 07:34:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x90a2f1…
03-26 01:33:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x0a227b…
03-26 01:30:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x7db775…
03-25 20:30:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xd77f43…
03-24 08:30:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xfc2284…
03-23 05:20:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xd2075d…
03-23 00:07:43	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x4638c8…
03-22 20:05:05	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xb0dd01…
03-22 20:02:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xe60385…
03-22 13:01:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x4baf8d…
03-21 15:44:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xca33e9…
03-21 07:43:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xf76728…
03-20 23:31:53	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x9e27ca…
03-20 16:30:31	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x88c5a8…
03-20 16:29:47	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2b3fa5…
03-19 23:11:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x29c7dd…
03-19 15:10:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x43b893…
03-19 15:06:09	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xec1c32…
03-19 08:01:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x53b0e6…
03-19 06:18:13	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x6b2356…
03-19 01:15:23	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x8b78e6…
03-19 01:12:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x2b3193…
03-18 21:10:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x25f2ca…
03-18 21:07:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x495488…
03-18 13:07:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe62da4…
03-18 05:52:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0xc108c1…
03-17 23:46:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x509e8a…
03-15 23:31:27	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x36d01b…
03-15 16:30:57	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd50dab…
03-15 09:23:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xf58e89…
03-15 05:17:43	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0x787418…
03-13 18:14:31	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xc9877c…
03-13 11:28:57	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x820254…
03-13 11:25:05	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x138ca2…
03-13 05:21:15	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x680138…
03-12 22:07:45	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x7a4676…
03-12 14:06:25	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xd8ed28…
03-12 06:56:53	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x546525…
03-12 00:56:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x835aec…
03-12 00:55:15	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x85e242…
03-12 00:48:39	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x92c784…
03-11 20:44:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xcaf62e…
03-11 12:29:49	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x06e056…
03-11 06:26:15	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0x4994e5…
03-11 06:17:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xaac6f8…
03-10 22:08:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x547106…
03-10 16:37:21	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x6f9870…
03-10 08:31:59	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x52fbed…
03-09 20:54:49	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x7ba19f…
03-09 13:51:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xbe20a7…
03-09 13:44:35	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$47	0xe937cd…
03-09 05:39:19	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$47	0xc6d89b…
03-08 12:40:17	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x7c0140…
03-08 08:32:53	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x3476b2…
03-07 12:41:37	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x3c63b2…
03-07 07:39:15	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x233b0d…
03-06 21:09:13	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x1c5300…
03-06 13:04:21	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x7be62b…
03-06 12:57:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x4c7fa5…
03-06 06:45:37	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x2648d2…
03-04 23:56:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xb6c22a…
03-04 17:53:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xd6caa7…
03-03 14:44:03	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x079af4…
03-03 09:42:37	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x8febab…
03-03 02:25:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xcf3d96…
03-03 02:25:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xc16c91…
03-02 01:41:51	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x8ffcbc…
03-02 01:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x317460…
02-27 06:52:40	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xb469be…
02-27 06:52:14	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$37	0x1a849f…
02-27 06:50:32	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x972e73…
02-27 06:49:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x9396c0…
02-23 18:19:42	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x4ccfea…
02-23 18:18:46	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfe6105…
02-23 18:18:24	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xa9bdb8…
02-23 18:16:18	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x7ffcca…
02-23 18:15:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x05d036…
02-23 18:15:32	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x46236c…
02-23 18:15:10	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xb0821a…
02-23 18:14:46	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd092f2…
02-23 18:11:46	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x523d86…
02-23 18:11:30	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x678c2a…
02-23 18:11:06	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x247253…
02-23 18:08:46	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1bf73d…
02-23 18:08:10	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x15c6d6…
02-23 18:07:28	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x96e502…
02-23 18:07:02	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x12a33d…