Knowledgeable-Insectarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-12 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 59% $-12

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 00:19
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	6	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 16:15
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 16:45
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 16:55
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:04
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 00:00
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-08 23:03
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	4	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 09:46
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:50
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 17:40
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 01:04
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:03
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-08 23:30
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 01:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$3	9	0	+9	Down	$-3	05-09 18:31
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-12 00:07
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$2	12	2	+10	Up	$-2	05-12 01:15
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 17:25
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:36
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 11:02
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:32
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:07
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:16
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:29
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 20:29:36	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x77a2ad…
05-12 20:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3b747…
05-12 17:02:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x18086a…
05-12 16:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7153ba…
05-12 16:45:58	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0daff0…
05-12 16:43:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb32c54…
05-12 16:42:42	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6c03c1…
05-12 16:42:41	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x34b114…
05-12 15:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xa25090…
05-12 15:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x93cdb1…
05-12 15:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x29a56f…
05-12 15:21:46	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8507b9…
05-12 01:27:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf0166c…
05-12 01:23:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x149370…
05-12 01:21:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa41d6a…
05-12 01:20:50	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7cde70…
05-12 01:20:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb06992…
05-12 01:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xbb01e7…
05-12 01:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd97d3d…
05-12 01:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb38e83…
05-12 01:11:28	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x05d3a9…
05-12 01:10:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9e7164…
05-12 01:07:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb67a5f…
05-12 01:06:19	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x051e38…
05-12 01:03:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ae165…
05-12 01:02:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xebc9b2…
05-12 01:01:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x8b0901…
05-12 01:00:50	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2e83f0…
05-12 00:36:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa92db9…
05-12 00:34:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa7aedc…
05-12 00:32:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4d4725…
05-12 00:31:17	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9a133b…
05-12 00:29:25	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc0d56…
05-12 00:27:19	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x19778b…
05-12 00:16:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x711a64…
05-12 00:16:30	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2172e8…
05-12 00:13:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc91738…
05-12 00:07:50	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x33e61b…
05-11 23:55:17	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x223dcb…
05-09 18:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4a3d1b…
05-09 18:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd0e9be…
05-09 18:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa01acc…
05-09 18:26:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b45d9…
05-09 18:26:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x549c0f…
05-09 18:21:58	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1fe3a3…
05-09 18:19:57	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8a69fd…
05-09 18:19:56	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xcb0f41…
05-09 18:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc81130…
05-09 17:50:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x72d668…
05-09 17:50:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x724f0b…
05-09 17:49:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc3d890…
05-09 17:40:14	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x802aad…
05-09 17:38:38	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x2d4f42…
05-09 17:38:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1b1c6f…
05-09 17:35:22	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb1222…
05-09 17:25:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcdee7c…
05-09 17:21:15	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x63a992…
05-09 17:19:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7a4654…
05-09 17:18:00	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa7ba63…
05-09 17:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x373689…
05-09 17:14:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x71be1d…
05-09 17:04:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02b030…
05-09 17:02:00	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x079444…
05-09 16:55:24	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeea3fd…
05-09 16:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3877d5…
05-09 16:45:15	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x42276c…
05-09 16:44:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1292a7…
05-09 16:39:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4b9c4f…
05-09 16:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdeea61…
05-09 16:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x258edb…
05-09 16:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfc4a0a…
05-09 15:48:31	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x39fe1e…
05-09 14:12:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x2f0ea7…
05-09 14:05:13	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb326ba…
05-09 14:03:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf4e495…
05-09 14:03:03	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x351e87…
05-09 14:01:52	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x42c4d5…
05-09 13:10:11	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xc3e383…
05-09 13:04:03	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd66857…
05-09 11:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x390577…
05-09 11:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1f8aac…
05-09 09:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x58b899…
05-09 09:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdfa4e4…
05-09 09:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x5744b3…
05-09 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd00382…
05-09 01:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x85ce8e…
05-09 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x01c809…
05-09 00:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc11423…
05-09 00:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ee27d…
05-08 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0d060c…
05-08 23:30:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa9f12b…
05-08 23:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf2730d…
05-08 23:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a1e58…
05-08 23:03:07	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3d3218…
05-08 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x69680a…
05-08 23:00:35	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x994f3a…