Serpentine-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-19 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

51% — —

Other

35% 50% +$5

Politics

6% — —

Pop-Culture

4% 60% +$7

Crypto

3% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$60	214	0	+214	open	—	07-11 19:34
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$30	98	0	+98	open	—	06-14 01:41
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	07-19 19:19
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	02-01 01:35
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	02-03 21:48
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	3	$8	14	4	+10	$80k	$-6	03-08 11:14
will trump say hellhole this week february 8	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	02-06 07:01
will trump say tiktok this week february 8	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 07:01
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 lopes win by ko tko	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	02-01 04:58
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	07-19 19:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	03-08 11:16
bra san sao 2026 02 04 san	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-01 21:58
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	07-18 11:37
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 win by ko tko	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-01 01:36
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	07-11 19:34
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	07-11 19:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	02-09 21:30
will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-03 21:51
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 win by submission	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	02-01 01:36
bra gre bot 2026 02 04 gre	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	02-01 22:01
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	02-01 01:39
bra cru cor 2026 02 05 draw	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	02-01 22:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	03-04 21:03
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	74	0	+74	open	—	02-09 21:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 21:03
bra gre bot 2026 02 04 bot	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	02-01 22:00
bra cru cor 2026 02 05 cor	1	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	02-04 20:16
Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	05-13 20:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	03-04 21:02
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-04 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:19:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x55cab3…
07-19 19:19:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7811fe…
07-18 21:48:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6afe37…
07-18 11:37:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdef40b…
07-18 11:37:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xd062da…
07-11 19:34:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfae6c9…
07-11 19:34:50	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa0be3e…
07-11 19:34:19	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0x9ecffb…
06-14 01:41:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc6a79a…
06-14 01:21:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdde12f…
05-15 06:53:13	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6d2866…
05-13 20:13:27	Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x03c15c…
05-13 20:11:02	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x99e8ce…
05-13 20:10:57	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x11a24e…
05-13 20:10:15	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x00b249…
05-13 20:08:37	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x383efd…
05-13 20:08:00	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x54b8c1…
05-09 08:41:40	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x113393…
05-09 08:41:35	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A	Kinoa	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf19262…
05-09 08:41:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x883925…
05-09 08:41:19	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xff0083…
03-08 11:16:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x276786…
03-08 11:14:31	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x3bf94a…
03-04 21:03:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4a4d6a…
03-04 21:03:09	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x029a84…
03-04 21:03:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x52f12f…
03-04 21:02:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1a4c89…
02-09 22:07:55	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa72d3a…
02-09 22:07:47	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5fa9eb…
02-09 21:39:17	btc updown 15m 1770672600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x165352…
02-09 21:31:47	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4ac90f…
02-09 21:31:29	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x97fa3a…
02-09 21:31:21	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x630ce3…
02-09 21:31:11	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x28c850…
02-09 21:31:03	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa7fa66…
02-09 21:30:51	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1b54fe…
02-09 21:27:57	nba mil orl 2026 02 09	Bucks	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x87e716…
02-06 07:01:57	will trump say tiktok this week february 8	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xfc6dc4…
02-06 07:01:49	will trump say hellhole this week february 8	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xdf1a3e…
02-04 20:16:49	bra cru cor 2026 02 05 cor	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xfe983d…
02-03 21:51:30	will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x38bf45…
02-03 21:48:40	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x736445…
02-03 21:48:36	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9fdfa9…
02-03 21:48:30	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa24ba6…
02-03 21:48:22	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x743f19…
02-03 21:48:10	will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d00ef…
02-03 21:43:32	will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3c0f0c…
02-01 22:14:04	will trump say hellhole this week february 8	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe56473…
02-01 22:13:36	will trump say tiktok this week february 8	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x29908e…
02-01 22:12:10	earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 player engagement 1 times	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2b609b…
02-01 22:01:52	bra gre bot 2026 02 04 gre	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5b326d…
02-01 22:01:14	bra cru cor 2026 02 05 draw	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf94838…
02-01 22:00:24	bra gre bot 2026 02 04 bot	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9f1d7c…
02-01 21:59:30	bra fla int 2026 02 04 draw	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c88ea…
02-01 21:59:02	bra bra cam 2026 02 04 cam	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3aaaab…
02-01 21:58:30	bra san sao 2026 02 04 san	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9d1a76…
02-01 04:58:48	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 lopes win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8f1226…
02-01 01:39:10	will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd1b0a9…
02-01 01:36:54	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x81b7ed…
02-01 01:36:44	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 win by submission	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9cf596…
02-01 01:36:20	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 lopes win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc24d2c…
02-01 01:35:52	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Lopes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6472dc…
02-01 01:35:44	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbff58c…