Fitting-Grabbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-07 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$79	56	55	+1	open	—	05-04 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	7	$69	51	45	+6	Up	+$25	05-13 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$68	50	43	+7	Up	+$25	05-05 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$66	99	12	+87	Down	+$45	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-18 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$48	33	33	+0	open	—	05-26 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$40	57	0	+57	open	—	05-01 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$39	27	27	+0	open	—	05-23 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$38	44	15	+29	open	—	05-17 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$37	27	26	+1	open	—	04-27 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	05-22 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$37	25	24	+1	open	—	04-28 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$34	62	0	+62	open	—	05-01 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	05-29 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$33	79	0	+79	open	—	05-15 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$33	39	12	+27	open	—	05-17 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$32	28	18	+10	open	—	05-23 15:37
btc updown 15m 1776874500	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-22 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$31	21	20	+1	open	—	04-27 08:52
btc updown 15m 1777031100	2	$30	19	19	+1	open	—	04-24 11:59
btc updown 15m 1776873600	2	$30	21	21	+1	open	—	04-22 16:13
btc updown 15m 1780871400	4	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	06-07 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-26 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$29	58	0	+58	open	—	05-04 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	06-02 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-30 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-18 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$25	21	12	+9	open	—	05-26 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 22:36:13	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x2245a4…
06-07 22:33:33	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x836399…
06-07 22:30:18	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x87c40c…
06-07 22:30:15	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x63de15…
06-07 02:30:07	btc updown 15m 1780799400	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x9456a3…
06-07 02:30:06	btc updown 15m 1780799400	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x5ec993…
06-07 01:45:07	btc updown 15m 1780796700	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x24e805…
06-07 01:45:06	btc updown 15m 1780796700	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xeda369…
06-06 20:34:28	btc updown 15m 1780777800	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x262eb2…
06-06 20:31:42	btc updown 15m 1780777800	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x14cd75…
06-06 19:45:07	btc updown 15m 1780775100	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2d0dc4…
06-06 18:15:04	btc updown 15m 1780769700	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x211c13…
06-04 01:00:12	btc updown 15m 1780534800	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x895b07…
06-03 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf1e111…
06-03 09:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2db540…
06-02 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb64078…
06-02 16:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x584239…
06-02 16:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xdd70a5…
06-02 16:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6ff7ba…
06-02 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xf3f6b6…
06-02 14:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x103275…
06-02 11:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf92952…
06-02 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x801f30…
06-01 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x36a0ec…
06-01 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x7b374f…
06-01 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xbdbfb4…
06-01 10:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7ae8f2…
06-01 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbc0915…
06-01 09:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xb070c6…
05-30 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xaabd83…
05-30 10:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5b7905…
05-29 20:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x5a619d…
05-29 20:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa8ab10…
05-27 14:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x37fa8e…
05-26 14:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xfe8890…
05-26 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xd9d9c6…
05-26 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x963138…
05-26 03:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x88457d…
05-26 03:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x885c29…
05-26 03:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x00c676…
05-26 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x2a97d9…
05-26 03:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xc973f1…
05-26 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x68b170…
05-26 02:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x72c1de…
05-24 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xa1329e…
05-24 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x4d513a…
05-24 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xb8dcfa…
05-24 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa350e0…
05-23 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xec6df7…
05-23 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xdac3d0…
05-23 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x55c7bf…
05-23 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x16a43a…
05-23 15:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xe9ae48…
05-23 15:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x647247…
05-23 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xf3c9f9…
05-23 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2448c5…
05-23 15:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x090a9b…
05-23 15:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x999abf…
05-23 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xf49d7f…
05-23 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x6a6ca9…
05-22 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xdff818…
05-22 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xcdb603…
05-22 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x9583f6…
05-22 20:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x73bf60…
05-22 15:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5b5d15…
05-22 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5d94d7…
05-22 02:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x99eb1f…
05-22 02:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x462393…
05-20 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x9e4f29…
05-18 13:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x31a265…
05-18 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x438e92…
05-18 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6ddf94…
05-18 01:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x445593…
05-18 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0x22b336…
05-17 11:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2c560b…
05-17 11:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xdc3d58…
05-17 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x392a6c…
05-17 10:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x75bf49…
05-17 10:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xed5960…
05-17 10:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xdcff79…
05-15 00:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x6c9814…
05-15 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x880549…
05-15 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0x6b7ce5…
05-14 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x91b103…
05-13 00:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x518f0b…
05-13 00:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x07be95…
05-13 00:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9912e4…
05-13 00:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x801d31…
05-13 00:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x471a41…
05-13 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xa8e261…
05-13 00:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x9e4e17…
05-09 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x43f99d…
05-09 17:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xfb1ea2…
05-09 17:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xaa0a4e…
05-09 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x5e3156…
05-09 17:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x074e27…
05-09 17:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xbfc58c…
05-09 17:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x1c74df…
05-05 17:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x11cb28…
05-05 17:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2ee838…