Incomplete-Brother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-12 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 70% +$15

Politics

25% — —

Other

24% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+143	$10	8¢	$11	+$1	07-12 07:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$17	16	7	+9	Up	$-3	05-11 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$15	23	10	+13	Down	$-5	05-11 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$15	24	24	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 09:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-18 11:56
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$10	400	0	+400	open	—	01-26 09:15
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 16:29
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	1	$10	528	0	+528	open	—	05-10 17:52
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	04-10 16:20
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$10	64	0	+64	open	—	03-18 12:09
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10	143	0	+143	open	—	07-12 07:34
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-10 16:37
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	1	$7	70	0	+70	open	—	04-10 16:44
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	04-19 16:06
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-18 11:55
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-19 16:22
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-19 16:04
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-18 11:55
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	1	$5	386	0	+386	open	—	04-19 16:20
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	03-25 14:17
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	1	$5	99	0	+99	open	—	04-19 16:07
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	1	$5	58	0	+58	open	—	03-25 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 07:34:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x43076e…
05-11 09:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x335123…
05-11 09:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8fd916…
05-11 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe44bce…
05-11 09:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xba398c…
05-11 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x94f4fd…
05-11 09:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x9c717f…
05-11 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x239122…
05-11 09:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xd7df77…
05-11 09:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x574f73…
05-11 09:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2b50c9…
05-11 09:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe6a93…
05-11 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xd587c6…
05-11 09:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xccdea6…
05-11 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xbabb20…
05-11 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x02999a…
05-11 09:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xf6c154…
05-11 09:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6fd4a0…
05-10 18:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xbd9bfc…
05-10 18:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe5dae7…
05-10 18:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x65aca9…
05-10 18:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x720f3c…
05-10 17:52:58	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$10	0x707e61…
04-19 16:22:50	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa63a5a…
04-19 16:20:02	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$5	0x38a27d…
04-19 16:07:24	Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x9b7d10…
04-19 16:06:10	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf199e3…
04-19 16:04:28	Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1d8a45…
04-10 16:44:53	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xd88615…
04-10 16:37:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x42706d…
04-10 16:29:29	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe0e583…
04-10 16:20:17	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x95c578…
03-25 14:18:41	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xf43fa9…
03-25 14:17:51	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x277c89…
03-18 12:09:17	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x24d5f8…
03-18 11:56:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x7ce214…
03-18 11:55:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf12d85…
03-18 11:55:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5c5c15…
01-26 09:15:59	si hit 150 high jan 2026	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xbbb387…