Oval-Strand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-18 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 50% $-8

Other

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 15	2	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	01-15 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$29	20	10	+9	Down	$-0	05-07 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-07 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-07 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$7	8	3	+5	Down	$-4	05-08 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-07 20:29
bitcoin up or down on january 30	1	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	01-29 20:21
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	1	$3	26	0	+26	open	—	01-28 19:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	01-27 21:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2	55	0	+55	open	—	04-11 11:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 13:19
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-28 19:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-28 19:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	03-13 11:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	77	0	+77	open	—	05-18 19:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 18:03
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	01-03 16:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-11 11:38
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$0	0	250	-250	open	—	01-15 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:15:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xbfde67…
05-08 09:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x059c02…
05-08 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x94c23a…
05-08 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb013d2…
05-08 09:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xcccab2…
05-08 09:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x85dd78…
05-08 08:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xd8a42e…
05-08 08:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x637e25…
05-08 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd8763d…
05-08 08:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcf2b74…
05-07 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x53c92e…
05-07 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x56b59f…
05-07 20:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x279cf4…
05-07 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x071b61…
05-07 19:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x28f4e0…
05-07 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x0418d4…
05-07 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3f6f4…
05-07 19:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xea3eb1…
05-07 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x603b6a…
05-07 19:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02497e…
05-07 18:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8a7685…
04-11 11:39:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xa3f809…
04-11 11:38:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x180274…
04-10 18:03:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xf0bd9f…
04-10 18:03:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0x30b64f…
03-22 13:19:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x009e23…
03-13 11:51:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xdc15ca…
03-13 11:50:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf99e7d…
01-29 20:21:02	bitcoin up or down on january 30	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x89f53a…
01-28 19:44:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xfecaac…
01-28 19:44:22	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcb7d21…
01-28 19:44:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xaaf849…
01-27 21:08:17	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x1063a3…
01-15 17:29:38	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xe0956c…
01-15 17:28:52	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe79e52…
01-14 18:13:54	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xbbde04…
01-03 16:53:51	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xee2b25…