Mixed-Catastrophe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$64

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-06 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 67% +$8

Other

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$3	82	+82	Down	$-3	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-11 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-11 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-12 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-10 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-10 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-22 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-18 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-22 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-22 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	05-26 00:49
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	07-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$2	9	+9	Down	+$7	05-12 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	06-01 02:54
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	07-04 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-12 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	06-02 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-22 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-16 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-16 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	$-2	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-18 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-17 02:19
world cup will argentina play portugal 20260623182251496	1	$1	17	+17	open	—	07-06 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:29:38	world cup will argentina play portugal 20260623182251496	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7776ec…
07-05 21:30:26	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2cbb3e…
07-04 01:56:29	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdcabdd…
06-02 22:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x00b2d0…
06-01 02:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x64401c…
05-26 00:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfb3ce8…
05-22 22:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x03f489…
05-22 22:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x737cd0…
05-22 22:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb3bc90…
05-22 22:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5e2ea6…
05-18 20:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7fe491…
05-18 20:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x47212e…
05-17 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3af737…
05-17 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x466c4a…
05-16 22:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2d7fe6…
05-16 22:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc384fe…
05-16 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcdefa3…
05-12 21:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0ef8f1…
05-12 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x00e15d…
05-12 21:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x610228…
05-12 21:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7851e0…
05-12 00:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7f04d2…
05-11 23:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9e9c99…
05-11 02:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x209b5b…
05-11 02:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x149963…
05-11 02:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xe1977d…
05-10 03:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x462a1e…
05-10 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x3b557f…
05-08 23:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe6bbfe…