Ample-Pagoda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-05 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$8	19	9	+10	Down	$-4	05-04 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$6	15	3	+11	Down	+$0	05-04 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$5	8	3	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-02 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-02 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-04 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$3	50	0	+50	Down	$-3	05-04 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-04 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-04 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-05 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x557246…
05-05 15:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x249da0…
05-05 15:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb36466…
05-05 14:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9f3d48…
05-05 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xccbc7c…
05-05 11:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1365db…
05-05 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcf01a0…
05-05 11:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x68bc76…
05-05 11:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x82ef5c…
05-05 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x248efc…
05-05 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9f7911…
05-05 11:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x58d3cd…
05-05 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc2bf1…
05-05 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x2e63ee…
05-05 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x46a6d9…
05-05 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeddf29…
05-05 10:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x59e258…
05-05 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x965be2…
05-05 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8630d9…
05-05 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x73cead…
05-05 00:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x53b99e…
05-05 00:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9ddfd6…
05-04 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa60402…
05-04 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaa3340…
05-04 23:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa89094…
05-04 23:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa13f18…
05-04 23:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x89951b…
05-04 23:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x0ef211…
05-04 23:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x65ef5a…
05-04 21:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6787a9…
05-04 21:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa4bdcc…
05-04 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x50cfee…
05-04 20:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb57b1c…
05-04 20:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2ac291…
05-04 20:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x291ea3…
05-04 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc73cbd…
05-04 20:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa8c0f6…
05-04 20:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xba2d2b…
05-04 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3bba6b…
05-04 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdeaf4a…
05-04 20:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f83df…
05-04 18:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xccd69f…
05-04 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd95491…
05-04 18:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xcaf037…
05-04 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc3b9e4…
05-02 21:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x742c27…
05-02 15:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6621de…
05-02 15:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x710468…
05-02 15:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe2bd7d…
05-02 15:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xba5c71…
05-02 15:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe1affd…
05-02 15:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xac6ed3…
05-02 15:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfa335f…
05-02 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08abef…
05-02 15:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x08237f…
05-02 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4c5c69…
05-02 15:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xec7cf0…
05-02 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3e522d…
03-17 20:48:33	btc updown 5m 1773780300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x440703…
03-17 20:43:09	btc updown 5m 1773780000	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1b8db2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	45	$25.5K	2,019	05-05 15:08
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	43	$37.1K	1,296	05-05 15:11
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	43	$26.1K	1,276	05-05 15:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	43	$10.1K	2,871	05-05 15:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	43	$9.57K	1,509	05-05 15:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	43	$9.08K	2,563	05-05 15:09
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	43	$8.18K	1,452	05-05 15:08
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	43	$7.80K	1,385	05-05 15:09