Minor-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$445

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-30 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

63% 83% +$383

Crypto

26% 45% $-828

Sports

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$625	794	0	+794	Up	+$169	05-05 11:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$511	794	0	+794	Down	$-511	05-07 15:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	1	$500	908	0	+908	No	$-500	05-06 10:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$487	971	0	+971	Up	+$483	05-04 13:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	5	$403	237	237	+0	Up	+$71	05-07 15:14
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$340	443	0	+443	Up	+$103	05-06 16:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	2	$316	200	200	+0	Yes	+$68	05-06 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$171	411	0	+411	Down	$-171	05-05 10:43
nba min mia 2026 01 03	2	$165	105	105	+0	open	—	01-04 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$100	144	0	+144	Down	$-100	05-05 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$100	122	0	+122	Up	$-100	05-05 08:59
nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	2	$80	44	44	+0	open	—	01-04 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$76	57	57	+0	Up	+$26	05-05 08:24
nba bos lac 2026 01 03	1	$61	117	0	+117	open	—	01-03 17:28
nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	2	$59	98	0	+98	open	—	01-04 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$54	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 04:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$49	169	0	+169	open	—	01-30 11:06
nfl dal nyg 2026 01 04	1	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	01-04 19:17
nba atl tor 2026 01 03	1	$35	55	0	+55	open	—	01-04 00:34
nba hou dal 2026 01 03	1	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	01-04 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	$-25	05-05 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	05-05 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Up	$-25	05-08 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	+$18	05-05 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Up	+$20	05-08 04:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-30 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 04:52:59	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x00449c…
05-08 04:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x33c856…
05-08 04:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x830d7e…
05-08 04:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xabfb34…
05-08 04:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfe0acd…
05-08 04:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xac1560…
05-07 15:24:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	250	70¢	$175	0xa6cf87…
05-07 15:24:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0x7a803f…
05-07 15:22:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x92d219…
05-07 15:14:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x88eb68…
05-07 11:18:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	203	60¢	$122	0x19ba58…
05-07 11:18:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xc51f93…
05-07 09:56:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0ecfe7…
05-07 09:56:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xeabf44…
05-07 09:56:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	132	70¢	$92	0x6a6c89…
05-07 09:10:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x9c60de…
05-06 16:14:16	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	443	77¢	$340	0x1a16b7…
05-06 16:09:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xdcf6d2…
05-06 10:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	908	55¢	$500	0x8dbb59…
05-06 09:04:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x3e509a…
05-05 11:36:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	794	79¢	$625	0x46db56…
05-05 10:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x864ec7…
05-05 10:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	165	43¢	$71	0x0c73cb…
05-05 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x5c6968…
05-05 08:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x3dd8f4…
05-05 08:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x1eca70…
05-05 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x76f780…
05-05 08:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	57	90¢	$51	0x68f4bf…
05-05 08:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x617a02…
05-05 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x0591fb…
05-04 13:19:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	971	50¢	$487	0x27c0cb…
01-30 11:06:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	169	29¢	$49	0x831cb3…
01-04 19:45:13	nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	Bengals	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0x3d3125…
01-04 19:17:23	nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	Bengals	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x7273b3…
01-04 19:17:03	nfl dal nyg 2026 01 04	Cowboys	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x1696ff…
01-04 05:37:55	nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	Warriors	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x47dd85…
01-04 00:35:53	nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	Warriors	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xecb12e…
01-04 00:35:11	nba hou dal 2026 01 03	Rockets	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xf71e1d…
01-04 00:34:39	nba atl tor 2026 01 03	Raptors	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x3fe655…
01-04 00:34:03	nba min mia 2026 01 03	Timberwolves	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x6f6372…
01-03 17:28:59	nba bos lac 2026 01 03	Clippers	BUY	117	52¢	$61	0x52de7f…
01-03 17:28:39	nba min mia 2026 01 03	Timberwolves	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x06b0d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	12	$30.6K	869	05-31 03:05
Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c	11	$894	148	05-08 04:30
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	10	$45.5K	259	05-31 03:04
(anonymous) 0x7e5b…06e8	10	$12.5K	1,439	05-08 04:25
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	10	$8.61K	501	05-08 04:29
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	10	$6.88K	308	05-08 04:29
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	10	$5.98K	532	05-30 23:50
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	10	$5.08K	1,241	05-08 04:29