Warm-Kebab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$578

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

127

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$6.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-528

Sports

1% 0% $-50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$284	540	0	+540	Down	$-284	05-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	14	$209	152	152	+0	Up	+$49	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$209	132	132	+0	Down	+$52	05-09 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$200	212	0	+212	Up	$-200	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$195	256	256	+0	Up	+$35	05-09 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$160	326	0	+326	Down	$-160	05-10 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$160	292	0	+292	Up	$-160	05-10 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$154	148	148	+0	Down	$-6	05-10 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$139	111	111	+0	Down	+$79	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$137	156	117	+39	Down	+$16	05-09 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	14	$122	75	75	+0	Up	+$22	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$121	82	82	+0	Down	+$41	05-12 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$118	82	82	+0	Down	+$38	05-09 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$115	117	80	+37	Down	+$32	05-09 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$110	87	87	+0	Down	+$30	05-10 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	15	$110	87	87	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$107	78	78	+0	Down	+$27	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$105	93	93	+0	Down	+$25	05-10 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$105	76	76	+0	Up	+$25	05-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	11	$100	75	75	+0	Down	+$20	05-09 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$100	71	71	+0	Up	+$20	05-10 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$93	53	53	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	9	$87	85	85	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	$-80	05-09 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$80	128	0	+128	Down	+$48	05-10 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$80	170	0	+170	Up	$-80	05-09 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$79	88	88	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$66	86	33	+53	Down	$-14	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$62	42	42	+0	Down	+$18	05-12 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xbc4a80…
05-12 18:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x230f31…
05-12 18:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc24c8b…
05-12 18:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x61af30…
05-12 18:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e9e92…
05-12 18:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3bf017…
05-12 15:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcb275e…
05-12 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	50¢	$40	0x7dd1d2…
05-12 15:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x9a9988…
05-12 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x2db92e…
05-12 15:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0xc8fd91…
05-12 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xbe38ac…
05-12 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x806a64…
05-12 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x569f1a…
05-12 15:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x31f488…
05-12 15:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x87837f…
05-12 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa6de52…
05-12 15:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x4902ae…
05-12 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xc5d86e…
05-12 15:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x3147ff…
05-12 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xcdbdcd…
05-10 09:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x5aeee7…
05-10 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	128	62¢	$80	0x8a974c…
05-10 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x198695…
05-10 08:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x249a29…
05-10 08:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x278f9a…
05-10 08:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	540	53¢	$284	0x9d92c6…
05-10 08:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	292	55¢	$160	0x7ee256…
05-10 08:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	148	50¢	$74	0xf0737a…
05-10 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	326	49¢	$160	0x805765…
05-10 08:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x53bd9b…
05-10 08:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0xc5a7cb…
05-10 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x0d4b0d…
05-10 08:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xab61dc…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0xed9c9c…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa327b7…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x9cbcbc…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x8734ca…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x679ba0…
05-10 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x511a00…
05-10 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x7b3354…
05-10 08:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x69ff57…
05-10 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xe68b0e…
05-10 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x3a9675…
05-10 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0x3a617f…
05-10 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xfd66d0…
05-10 08:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x83f00e…
05-10 07:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x95e2f3…
05-10 07:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb36e9a…
05-10 07:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	93	70¢	$65	0xee4190…
05-10 07:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xfdb290…
05-10 07:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa7352c…
05-10 07:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x895ae4…
05-10 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd5c287…
05-10 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x5bda1a…
05-10 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x33fd78…
05-10 07:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0x29cb3d…
05-10 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xdf5643…
05-10 07:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x2371b7…
05-10 04:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x7d34a9…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xb81c40…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xb3e09e…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xaabd22…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x9adce9…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x8f64b1…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x814d87…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5fded6…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x59fe33…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x552517…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x503747…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x2c321b…
05-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x1073a7…
05-10 04:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	152	53¢	$80	0xe7183b…
05-10 04:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x3c3293…
05-10 04:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x76ec49…
05-09 20:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xefeab1…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0xfa9606…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xcd4e82…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc4de24…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb4a18e…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4e5e34…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x4169b2…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x3e11f4…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x26eb76…
05-09 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x09e30f…
05-09 19:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	41	62¢	$25	0x832094…
05-09 19:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xb574ea…
05-09 19:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf696ba…
05-09 19:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x131712…
05-09 19:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x45b22b…
05-09 19:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xdb23f7…
05-09 19:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd92259…
05-09 19:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9139cb…
05-09 19:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	78	85¢	$67	0x1e5758…
05-09 19:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x541294…
05-09 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xdb4839…
05-09 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	93	50¢	$47	0x4fdc7f…
05-09 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x3bbc43…
05-09 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	128	40¢	$51	0xb879ba…
05-09 19:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	256	31¢	$80	0x0683a1…