Modest-Legacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-24 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-1

Sports

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$967	485	485	+0	No	$-1	04-21 14:20
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$812	407	407	+0	open	—	03-28 13:11
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$810	405	405	+0	open	—	03-15 18:09
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$806	403	403	+0	open	—	03-14 23:17
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$787	395	395	+0	open	—	03-29 23:47
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$754	378	378	+0	open	—	04-14 03:41
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$492	246	246	+0	open	—	03-13 16:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$484	242	242	+0	open	—	03-21 02:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$480	240	240	+0	open	—	03-18 16:34
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	02-21 19:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$474	238	238	+0	open	—	03-02 03:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$467	234	234	+0	open	—	02-22 20:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	04-15 23:43
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$446	223	223	+0	open	—	03-19 05:23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	03-04 16:16
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	03-18 03:44
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$434	217	217	+0	open	—	04-10 12:46
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$430	216	216	+0	open	—	04-15 12:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$424	213	213	+0	open	—	03-16 06:54
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	211	211	+0	open	—	04-05 03:16
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	03-11 15:26
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	02-26 06:50
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$404	202	202	+0	No	$-0	04-06 10:22
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$388	195	195	+0	open	—	02-11 22:44
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	02-14 22:05
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	03-21 15:38
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	04-08 15:08
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$362	182	182	+0	No	$-0	04-19 02:34
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	04-07 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 10:40:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc76f47…
06-24 10:39:35	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x26bb17…
04-22 02:59:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x196ddf…
04-21 16:11:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x7d3232…
04-21 14:20:04	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xd516cf…
04-21 07:30:50	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xeeb8ec…
04-19 02:34:46	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$181	0xed2018…
04-18 15:39:28	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xfd9b51…
04-17 17:01:12	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0x9cb21d…
04-16 13:22:26	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x2b0fd5…
04-15 23:43:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0xf23ebb…
04-15 20:05:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x1971b8…
04-15 12:00:18	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x5d14b5…
04-15 03:49:18	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x650f34…
04-14 03:41:41	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0xbda1d1…
04-13 23:18:47	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x8efaac…
04-13 17:20:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x7949a4…
04-13 11:18:07	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x72bbf8…
04-10 12:46:29	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xf878f9…
04-08 22:44:35	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xf777ed…
04-08 15:08:01	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x8555b3…
04-08 11:52:13	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xb41342…
04-07 15:04:39	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x9eb3bf…
04-07 12:25:33	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x60c92e…
04-06 10:22:47	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x3d54ca…
04-06 03:35:57	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x73524c…
04-06 03:35:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x2a85c2…
04-05 21:38:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xbbb2b0…
04-05 03:16:31	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xde3ea8…
04-04 22:26:43	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x28714f…
04-01 11:35:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x1fcbd2…
04-01 07:08:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xf35673…
04-01 03:24:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$164	0xcff51e…
03-31 23:02:21	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0xe96395…
03-31 12:28:05	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf65b6e…
03-31 08:07:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x270aab…
03-29 23:47:54	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x917aec…
03-29 19:26:40	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x77f70f…
03-29 19:26:20	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x288e5e…
03-29 15:05:40	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x574572…
03-28 13:11:03	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x8f8500…
03-28 08:52:19	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x47dc6c…
03-28 04:19:45	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0xcd331f…
03-22 00:42:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x4dd4f3…
03-21 15:38:13	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xdef006…
03-21 09:12:05	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x9667cb…
03-21 02:40:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0x94d78a…
03-20 20:09:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x0c80c4…
03-19 18:00:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x84215c…
03-19 11:40:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xb34dbe…
03-19 05:23:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x31e0c3…
03-18 22:57:23	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xdd1caf…
03-18 16:34:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x51e879…
03-18 10:05:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x443512…
03-18 03:44:23	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xa5a4ef…
03-17 21:22:27	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xa93a4e…
03-16 06:54:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0x4ccdbd…
03-16 00:31:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x4eb1d3…
03-15 18:09:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x152993…
03-15 11:54:39	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xb6acae…
03-14 23:17:59	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x19871d…
03-14 17:02:19	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x702247…
03-13 16:03:35	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x272b14…
03-13 08:31:27	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xcb9008…
03-12 23:11:49	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0xdbf0cf…
03-12 03:54:57	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x5b937b…
03-11 21:41:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x036b53…
03-11 15:26:59	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xe6795b…
03-11 09:04:21	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x2dff5a…
03-10 19:10:11	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Trail Blazers	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x59ccda…
03-10 19:09:37	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	76ers	BUY	48	59¢	$28	0xbd30d7…
03-08 18:40:09	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 2 8	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x613b4e…
03-07 12:00:35	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xdf1d14…
03-07 12:00:03	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xf470d4…
03-05 15:39:23	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0x015591…
03-05 15:38:53	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Warriors	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0xc09a20…
03-04 16:16:57	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x19f041…
03-04 09:45:55	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xa84d52…
03-03 21:16:27	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0xbcb426…
03-03 21:15:57	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x415184…
03-02 10:39:47	nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	Clippers	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x44e635…
03-02 10:39:01	nba bos mil 2026 03 02	Bucks	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa2cdb5…
03-02 10:38:33	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0xb03806…
03-02 03:22:43	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xf2f080…
03-02 03:22:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0xa3a899…
03-01 20:44:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x03ecb4…
03-01 13:59:35	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x8aa219…
03-01 01:58:37	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xe25114…
02-28 10:41:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x18e77b…
02-26 06:50:28	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x338a5c…
02-25 14:13:34	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x97515e…
02-25 08:27:32	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Bucks	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5a8b0a…
02-22 20:52:02	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x834e72…
02-22 20:51:40	bitcoin above 74k on february 23	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86584e…
02-22 20:51:22	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$233	0x1bd935…
02-22 17:14:34	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xfa2860…
02-21 19:52:40	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x7ddbe9…
02-21 03:58:14	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x955818…
02-14 22:05:19	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x3c9f41…
02-13 23:02:15	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x837641…