Expert-Minimum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$4.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-19 04:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	36	$483	326	319	+7	open	—	04-27 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$370	385	162	+223	open	—	04-27 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$351	383	120	+263	open	—	04-27 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	18	$316	186	172	+14	open	—	04-28 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$300	342	0	+342	Up	+$42	05-07 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$190	205	0	+205	open	—	04-28 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$184	150	105	+45	open	—	04-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$159	165	0	+165	Up	+$6	05-06 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$150	163	0	+163	open	—	04-26 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$137	160	0	+160	Up	+$23	05-06 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$125	142	0	+142	Down	+$17	05-07 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$103	66	64	+2	open	—	04-27 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	05-07 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$100	123	0	+123	Up	+$23	05-06 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	04-27 16:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$91	96	0	+96	open	—	04-26 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$88	109	0	+109	open	—	05-19 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$84	89	0	+89	open	—	05-19 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$80	155	0	+155	open	—	04-26 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	05-19 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$72	81	0	+81	open	—	04-26 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$60	68	0	+68	Down	$-0	05-06 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$53	63	0	+63	open	—	04-26 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$8	05-07 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	05-19 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$44	54	0	+54	open	—	04-26 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	$-25	05-07 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 04:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	109	81¢	$88	0x7640f8…
05-19 03:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0xb8408a…
05-19 03:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xe1fd1d…
05-19 03:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x7dd200…
05-19 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa593a6…
05-19 03:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x31b038…
05-19 03:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe8beeb…
05-19 03:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x12f346…
05-19 03:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x88d273…
05-19 03:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9d4a05…
05-19 03:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe972dd…
05-19 03:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1f05ff…
05-07 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x45e3ed…
05-07 04:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x14c9ed…
05-07 04:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x0a88ce…
05-07 04:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8cbe1e…
05-07 04:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xb3e860…
05-07 04:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x527584…
05-07 04:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x38af8d…
05-07 04:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd5fa96…
05-07 04:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9db79e…
05-06 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	165	96¢	$159	0x6f9739…
05-06 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x7d8ba7…
05-06 20:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8d4127…
05-06 20:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf5621f…
05-06 20:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xabaaca…
05-06 20:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0xbcf9a6…
05-06 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0e1581…
05-06 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x24524a…
05-06 20:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc8c901…
05-06 20:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x715f54…
04-28 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x99e88c…
04-28 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x43c771…
04-28 14:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xf84f4e…
04-28 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfbc79d…
04-28 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa66d7…
04-28 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4ff7b2…
04-28 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x47c3bd…
04-28 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x29605a…
04-28 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0b6a03…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xca2a72…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc55af6…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xb1270f…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa0c97a…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x705949…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5be9a5…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4ff6a3…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4706af…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x30c096…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x1fca02…
04-28 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x061068…
04-28 14:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	183	82¢	$150	0x446823…
04-28 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x60f7cc…
04-28 09:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x943be2…
04-28 05:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	205	93¢	$190	0xe44da2…
04-27 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0xe0d486…
04-27 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	383	67¢	$255	0x8624ca…
04-27 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xbf3146…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xfb68b6…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd8a6b0…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc2dbc7…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xa3c1b3…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x9e5eed…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x97dde0…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8ab6c9…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3f74b1…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	64	80¢	$51	0x34b622…
04-27 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x223ef7…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xfbe220…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf87f2c…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xefed62…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xdee70d…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xcda895…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xcb61ea…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xb8a5d8…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9c1859…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x9b7d8d…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x90c9bd…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x872578…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x856bc8…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x840dfb…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x794506…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x75147d…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x682c05…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x675b54…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x49f1f0…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x481b1f…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2c831c…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x2b3da5…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x113f83…
04-27 17:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x078f38…
04-27 17:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x810efb…
04-27 17:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	326	70¢	$228	0xb4eda5…
04-27 16:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0x7aec7d…
04-27 16:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	67¢	$44	0x182727…
04-27 16:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	219	59¢	$129	0x9b7b76…
04-27 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf74509…
04-27 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	58	80¢	$47	0xcfabb8…
04-27 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xaade39…
04-27 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x759390…