Frugal-Core — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-23 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Politics

12% 0% $-1

Sports

7% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes		-8	$-1	15¢	$-1	+$0	06-14 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	04-12 18:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$35	97	0	+97	open	—	04-13 15:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$24	18	17	+0	open	—	04-12 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 04:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$11	8	7	+0	open	—	04-30 04:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	3	$9	12	8	+4	open	—	04-13 15:20
btc updown 5m 1775861400	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 22:51
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-10 22:53
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-16 19:53
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-23 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 18:51
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 18:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	1	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-11 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-10 21:03
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 18:55
btc updown 5m 1776018900	2	$3	29	27	+2	open	—	04-12 18:39
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	$-3	04-10 22:45
fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 olm	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 22:44
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-11 16:49
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-10 22:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	04-11 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	05-10 21:02
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 04:05
btc updown 5m 1776021900	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776019200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 18:45
btc updown 5m 1776022200	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-12 19:34
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	$-2	04-12 19:25
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 16 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 23:15
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 spread home 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-11 16:52
will trump say jesus this week april 19	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-10 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 19:40:38	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5c454…
06-16 19:53:47	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd5bd3a…
06-14 16:38:12	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xe07197…
05-10 21:03:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfcba88…
05-10 21:02:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xdc66cb…
05-10 20:58:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x120986…
05-10 20:57:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x578f30…
04-30 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8de196…
04-30 04:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdfa272…
04-30 04:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xa12391…
04-30 04:05:04	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2888a5…
04-16 18:58:26	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe2a0e3…
04-16 17:05:30	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4bea42…
04-15 18:55:04	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x48ee98…
04-15 18:54:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x74da63…
04-15 18:53:32	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7191a7…
04-15 18:52:52	btc updown 5m 1776279000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfda3ab…
04-15 18:52:20	xauusd up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x545507…
04-15 18:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x403159…
04-13 15:33:19	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc4a943…
04-13 15:25:11	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x38e539…
04-13 15:23:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x679562…
04-13 15:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x94caa5…
04-13 15:21:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x89be27…
04-13 15:21:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc85724…
04-13 15:20:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x77aaae…
04-13 15:20:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x141126…
04-12 19:34:53	btc updown 5m 1776022200	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xdec8bb…
04-12 19:32:31	btc updown 5m 1776022200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0a822f…
04-12 19:28:25	btc updown 5m 1776021900	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x01cc66…
04-12 19:27:29	btc updown 5m 1776021900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x543da7…
04-12 19:25:05	Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x360564…
04-12 19:23:37	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0ab4a6…
04-12 19:12:15	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa5cb10…
04-12 19:11:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x046d20…
04-12 18:56:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x1906a1…
04-12 18:56:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xb41635…
04-12 18:55:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x3cacea…
04-12 18:48:43	btc updown 5m 1776019500	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe33e3e…
04-12 18:45:17	btc updown 5m 1776019200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x50dcb2…
04-12 18:44:57	btc updown 5m 1776019200	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x926fed…
04-12 18:39:31	btc updown 5m 1776018900	Down	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xcf9779…
04-12 18:38:23	btc updown 5m 1776018900	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1e6753…
04-12 18:02:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 13 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x639154…
04-12 18:02:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 12 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa3b25e…
04-11 16:52:03	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 spread home 2pt5	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x264ed1…
04-11 16:49:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd68248…
04-11 16:49:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf84ebf…
04-11 16:49:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x98f77f…
04-11 16:49:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x98df88…
04-11 16:48:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x26a2a1…
04-11 11:04:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x518da2…
04-11 11:03:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9cdbc1…
04-11 10:59:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9bd8f4…
04-11 10:59:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5b480c…
04-11 10:51:31	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x0cddcf…
04-11 10:51:23	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x040fd9…
04-11 09:53:41	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a71fb…
04-11 09:53:01	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9abe94…
04-11 09:52:49	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x10efc8…
04-11 09:51:09	btc updown 5m 1775900700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b8f87…
04-10 23:25:45	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x52c8aa…
04-10 23:25:21	will trump attend ufc 327	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc6cc1a…
04-10 23:24:35	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x093d98…
04-10 23:24:25	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd743a8…
04-10 23:21:51	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Charles Radtke	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbdd40f…
04-10 23:20:13	will trump dance during ufc 327	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfc9330…
04-10 23:19:07	will trump say jesus this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3f964c…
04-10 23:18:41	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd0ae1e…
04-10 23:18:03	will trump say transgender this week april 19	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x11295d…
04-10 23:15:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 16 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x63f629…
04-10 23:15:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 14 2026	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x79dcbb…
04-10 23:15:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 11 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0f80a6…
04-10 23:08:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x039cc3…
04-10 23:05:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x874581…
04-10 23:01:17	will bernie or mamdani say immigrant or immigration during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa817dd…
04-10 23:01:03	will bernie or mamdani say iran during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x67bde7…
04-10 22:57:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd98201…
04-10 22:56:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc69511…
04-10 22:53:31	nba det cha 2026 04 10	Hornets	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x49c71e…
04-10 22:51:45	btc updown 5m 1775861400	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9d5aa1…
04-10 22:45:15	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb150c4…
04-10 22:45:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3939a2…
04-10 22:44:41	fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 olm	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2cab88…
04-10 22:42:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x541389…
04-10 22:42:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x249f22…