Detailed-Geranium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

619

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-19 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

92% — —

Crypto

8% 71% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	5	$6.4K	4,111	4,111	+0	open	—	03-22 15:54
lol navi sk 2026 03 30	3	$2.0K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	03-30 17:58
lol jdg omg 2026 03 31	2	$1.5K	1,284	638	+646	open	—	03-31 12:27
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01 game2	1	$500	676	0	+676	open	—	04-01 10:44
cs2 g2 nem 2026 04 01	1	$149	153	0	+153	open	—	04-01 08:53
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$49	33	33	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 20:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-19 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 15:02
btc updown 5m 1781246400	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-12 06:44
btc updown 15m 1781335800	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 07:40
btc updown 15m 1781339400	4	$5	3	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:42
btc updown 15m 1781688600	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$4	15	15	+0	open	—	05-31 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 12:28
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 13:04:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc4876d…
06-19 12:09:14	btc updown 15m 1781870400	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf81aa0…
06-19 12:09:11	btc updown 15m 1781870400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c28a5…
06-17 18:00:11	btc updown 15m 1781719200	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4f030e…
06-17 18:00:10	btc updown 15m 1781719200	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x4df451…
06-17 09:37:38	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3e8595…
06-17 09:37:35	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd5fc63…
06-17 09:33:31	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa09f9e…
06-17 09:33:26	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x34a618…
06-15 06:11:42	btc updown 15m 1781503200	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x912737…
06-15 06:11:34	btc updown 15m 1781503200	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5caa47…
06-13 08:42:07	btc updown 15m 1781339400	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65f205…
06-13 08:42:06	btc updown 15m 1781339400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0dbb95…
06-13 08:39:30	btc updown 15m 1781339400	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x764805…
06-13 08:39:27	btc updown 15m 1781339400	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x459698…
06-13 07:40:18	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x632de9…
06-13 07:40:13	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x717fa1…
06-13 07:38:15	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x567ff7…
06-13 07:38:07	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x346344…
06-12 16:25:06	btc updown 15m 1781280900	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xfb6d45…
06-12 16:25:03	btc updown 15m 1781280900	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf402f8…
06-12 06:44:58	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29e421…
06-12 06:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e3a9b…
06-12 06:43:15	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x6b90cd…
06-12 06:43:09	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1e9266…
06-07 16:46:36	btc updown 15m 1780850700	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x470f03…
06-07 16:46:33	btc updown 15m 1780850700	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc002be…
06-04 19:09:16	btc updown 15m 1780599600	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24a166…
06-03 22:30:36	btc updown 15m 1780525800	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf86534…
06-03 22:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780525800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x491372…
06-03 20:43:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x7eb9ff…
06-03 20:30:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa45b6d…
06-03 13:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x526d8e…
06-03 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e4d80…
06-02 10:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f1751…
06-02 10:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7c0b8d…
06-02 06:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe54e5c…
06-02 06:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xddbf0c…
06-01 17:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcc110a…
06-01 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e0a5b…
06-01 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcb6d19…
06-01 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2cfcef…
05-31 19:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x0d4fa9…
05-31 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcff10b…
05-31 18:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xd9620a…
05-31 18:02:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ea1ee…
05-31 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe4f683…
05-31 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4464a0…
05-31 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x09729b…
05-31 17:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x46bd06…
05-28 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xf523fa…
05-28 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x84dc0f…
05-22 06:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc1edec…
05-22 06:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb0aff…
05-19 13:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x04c3f6…
05-19 13:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd99c7e…
05-19 11:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9d651a…
05-18 20:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xfc6c7e…
05-18 20:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2a8ea6…
05-18 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xb2dec7…
05-18 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c3632…
05-18 19:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x51ab43…
05-18 17:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd3b0e3…
05-18 17:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1a8534…
05-17 17:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x8186ef…
05-17 17:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa8d6f0…
05-17 12:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6fcb7f…
05-17 12:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x563d75…
05-17 09:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb36d88…
05-17 09:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x199891…
05-17 09:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x3d4ce1…
05-17 09:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x718a17…
05-16 20:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5f0ede…
05-16 20:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5b912b…
05-16 11:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd6cdb9…
05-16 11:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x21222d…
05-16 11:44:34	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xa381e5…
05-16 11:35:56	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x665799…
05-16 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x874e79…
05-16 11:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5401b7…
05-15 19:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xd0de3b…
05-15 19:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x57b2da…
05-15 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x87217a…
05-15 06:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x70db7a…
05-15 06:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xca2357…
05-15 06:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xcbd900…
05-15 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x1d14a9…
05-15 06:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xe78bc2…
05-15 06:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x9a9071…
05-15 06:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x8d9a73…
05-15 05:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x840008…
05-15 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x93a2a9…
05-15 05:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x5f6cc0…
05-15 05:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x388e49…
05-15 05:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x1624c8…
05-15 05:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x19d84a…
05-15 05:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd8fffa…
05-15 04:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x743592…
05-15 04:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x6c7baf…
05-15 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4ed8d5…