Far-Off-Wasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 66% $-289

Other

2% 50% $-27

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	7	$2.6K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$2.4K	1,303	1,303	+0	Down	$-32	05-12 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$1.7K	1,272	719	+553	open	—	05-14 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$897	800	285	+514	open	—	05-14 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$632	375	375	+0	Down	+$22	05-12 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$585	594	0	+594	open	—	05-14 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$510	630	0	+630	open	—	05-14 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$500	997	0	+997	open	—	05-14 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$364	281	281	+0	open	—	05-14 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$263	266	0	+266	open	—	05-14 09:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	7	$251	216	216	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$216	164	164	+0	Up	$-36	05-12 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$213	120	120	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$211	113	113	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$204	220	132	+88	Up	$-5	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	05-14 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$200	350	0	+350	open	—	05-14 12:00
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$191	147	147	+0	open	—	05-14 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$174	125	125	+0	open	—	05-14 09:27
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	2	$165	161	161	+0	Under	$-35	05-13 20:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$130	138	34	+103	Down	$-90	05-12 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$105	194	0	+194	Up	$-105	05-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$100	162	0	+162	Up	$-100	05-12 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	05-12 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-14 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-13 08:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$85	101	0	+101	open	—	05-14 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$85	142	0	+142	open	—	05-14 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$85	93	0	+93	open	—	05-14 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	350	57¢	$200	0xc027a8…
05-14 11:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x0f21fc…
05-14 11:58:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x419a24…
05-14 11:58:29	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x0263e2…
05-14 11:58:20	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	62¢	$91	0x9f6cf1…
05-14 11:58:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x6e2430…
05-14 11:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	997	50¢	$500	0x4324fb…
05-14 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	553	90¢	$500	0x626257…
05-14 11:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	635	86¢	$549	0x6af9cf…
05-14 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	635	79¢	$500	0x691e1c…
05-14 11:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	84	69¢	$58	0x784c16…
05-14 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	84	54¢	$45	0x5632b6…
05-14 11:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	804	98¢	$788	0xba175a…
05-14 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xcd974b…
05-14 11:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	689	73¢	$500	0xddbae1…
05-14 11:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	784	66¢	$519	0x39f366…
05-14 11:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	167	70¢	$116	0xe386d7…
05-14 11:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	784	64¢	$500	0x619cd8…
05-14 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	167	51¢	$85	0x6cf482…
05-14 11:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	142	60¢	$85	0x53ad54…
05-14 11:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	97	94¢	$91	0x2fd393…
05-14 11:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0x45c48a…
05-14 11:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	185	56¢	$103	0x47b792…
05-14 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x4969fb…
05-14 09:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	125	71¢	$89	0x321b7c…
05-14 09:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	68¢	$85	0xec52b4…
05-14 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	266	99¢	$263	0x26c365…
05-14 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xda9279…
05-14 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x6e2d9c…
05-14 09:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0xeed8ea…
05-14 09:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0x5a8be4…
05-14 08:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xfc869e…
05-14 08:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	160	79¢	$127	0x189eff…
05-14 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	160	53¢	$85	0x7f3521…
05-14 08:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0x3e0486…
05-14 08:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	125	68¢	$85	0x5dcf61…
05-14 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xb0d45a…
05-14 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0x7afda0…
05-14 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x06d7f8…
05-14 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0x03d7e8…
05-14 08:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0x995c1f…
05-14 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	147	58¢	$85	0x262a31…
05-14 08:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7dcd31…
05-14 08:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x2f95c7…
05-14 08:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x68dcc6…
05-14 08:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe0eba9…
05-14 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x48ce33…
05-14 08:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xf0e34d…
05-14 08:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x22061f…
05-14 08:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x23a634…
05-14 08:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9b2f67…
05-14 08:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x438a92…
05-14 08:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x81ddcb…
05-14 08:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x11f699…
05-14 08:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xeec27b…
05-14 08:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x621c49…
05-14 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xfbccdb…
05-14 08:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x69b189…
05-14 08:10:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x4abaff…
05-14 08:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x487213…
05-14 08:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x6e783d…
05-14 08:05:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	63	41¢	$26	0x1782bc…
05-14 08:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x0747fc…
05-14 08:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c801a…
05-14 07:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0x53b103…
05-14 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9ee740…
05-14 07:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x62023b…
05-14 07:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x90b291…
05-14 07:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0xf74d19…
05-14 07:53:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x19b457…
05-14 07:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x157976…
05-14 07:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x94f74e…
05-14 07:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd39c57…
05-14 07:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x357caf…
05-14 07:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe7248b…
05-14 07:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x09c335…
05-14 07:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x7a991b…
05-14 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x46d0c0…
05-14 07:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x248334…
05-14 07:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa5629c…
05-14 07:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xe59fd3…
05-13 22:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x68041b…
05-13 22:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x2081f0…
05-13 22:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5e07ed…
05-13 22:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xd7087d…
05-13 22:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x66e274…
05-13 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x0c5e08…
05-13 22:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x662f02…
05-13 22:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x221f81…
05-13 22:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xa23415…
05-13 22:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xdac8fa…
05-13 22:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$4	0x505e4d…
05-13 22:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7a40c1…
05-13 22:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x74eb42…
05-13 22:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x019709…
05-13 22:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x30ac0e…
05-13 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xe0e351…
05-13 22:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x842200…
05-13 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x9fa64d…
05-13 22:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xf0209d…