Fickle-Skin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$277

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$34	23	23	+0	Down	+$12	05-10 16:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 04:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$16	33	33	+0	Up	$-14	05-11 05:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 15:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	6	$14	117	7	+110	Down	$-4	05-09 10:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$13	17	17	+0	Up	$-5	05-09 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 10:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-10 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Down	$-10	05-11 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 11:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 10:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$8	30	0	+30	Up	$-8	05-11 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 10:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-09 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	Down	$-5	05-11 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$3	19	0	+19	Down	$-3	05-10 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	$-3	05-10 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$3	14	0	+14	Up	$-3	05-10 15:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 10:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2	56	0	+56	Down	$-2	05-10 15:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$2	33	0	+33	Up	$-2	05-11 04:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-11 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$2	36	0	+36	Up	$-2	05-09 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x540773…
05-11 05:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa0bf2b…
05-11 05:03:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xbfd0b5…
05-11 05:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xe39704…
05-11 04:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x59e510…
05-11 04:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5536e4…
05-11 04:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1ab6b9…
05-11 04:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xf104d9…
05-11 04:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x57ac5b…
05-11 04:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3bdcf8…
05-11 04:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3a29e1…
05-11 04:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x8a86e3…
05-11 04:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc16487…
05-11 04:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xda67aa…
05-10 16:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x6bd97e…
05-10 16:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x8aff6d…
05-10 16:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x32d3ee…
05-10 16:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6e29ca…
05-10 16:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe6a62e…
05-10 16:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x87f02e…
05-10 15:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x92f690…
05-10 15:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x827947…
05-10 15:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0c9361…
05-10 15:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$5	0x0db2b8…
05-10 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfbddee…
05-10 15:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x332601…
05-10 15:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x986c32…
05-10 15:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xc5b3cc…
05-10 15:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1dc801…
05-10 15:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xef3acd…
05-10 15:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x85dd96…
05-10 14:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc143ff…
05-10 14:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c34d1…
05-10 14:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x91026a…
05-10 14:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x63ebce…
05-10 14:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7893f4…
05-09 11:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x04d407…
05-09 11:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x06147e…
05-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb621a2…
05-09 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x660dae…
05-09 11:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x3f1801…
05-09 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2666f8…
05-09 10:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa55aee…
05-09 10:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad24f7…
05-09 10:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xca8e69…
05-09 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbad2cd…
05-09 10:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x89c4e5…
05-09 10:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7f9602…
05-09 10:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe5eed6…
05-09 10:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x113796…
05-09 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ec63c…
05-09 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x507ac6…
05-09 10:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x29f962…
05-09 10:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x320c72…
05-09 10:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd5ccd8…
05-09 10:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xb1e760…
05-09 10:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a3195…
05-09 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xcc6776…
05-09 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb27434…