Knowing-Dioxide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$815

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-19 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 83% $-0

Other

26% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	3	$106	136	136	+0	open	—	05-14 14:05
btc updown 5m 1773304500	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	03-12 08:40
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	5	$72	570	0	+570	open	—	05-19 13:48
btc updown 5m 1773303000	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-12 08:15
btc updown 5m 1773307800	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 09:35
btc updown 5m 1773323100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 13:49
btc updown 5m 1773302400	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 08:05
btc updown 5m 1773301800	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 07:55
btc updown 5m 1773303600	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-12 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$28	28	7	+21	open	—	05-14 19:24
btc updown 5m 1773323400	4	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-12 13:54
btc updown 5m 1773311700	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 19:28
btc updown 5m 1773243300	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 15:41
btc updown 5m 1773300000	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 07:25
btc updown 5m 1773299700	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 07:21
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 19:41
btc updown 5m 1773300900	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 07:40
btc updown 5m 1773304800	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 20:43
btc updown 5m 1773301500	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-12 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 20:28
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	01-19 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	23	0	+23	open	—	05-17 20:22
btc updown 5m 1773246600	3	$6	11	7	+4	open	—	03-11 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	7	$6	110	0	+110	open	—	05-17 20:50
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	3	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	03-11 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 13:48:21	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	3¢	$6	0x92a05f…
05-19 13:09:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0e3947…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf2e070…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xe1c641…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8a1e92…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x846958…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6bb067…
05-17 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x2e84d8…
05-17 20:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe25735…
05-17 20:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x4ac0ce…
05-17 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x96e57c…
05-17 20:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xee3083…
05-17 20:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xcb1038…
05-17 20:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xfcf456…
05-17 20:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5f9360…
05-17 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x8ef623…
05-17 20:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf2aecc…
05-17 20:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfd7ed9…
05-17 20:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x271971…
05-17 13:43:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x76ed71…
05-17 06:52:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xb6e2ec…
05-17 06:29:04	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xf6705b…
05-14 19:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x359c69…
05-14 19:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4ab02f…
05-14 19:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0bb35e…
05-14 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xa6b425…
05-14 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe5b9ad…
05-14 14:05:14	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	135	61¢	$82	0x8b6b28…
05-14 14:05:14	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x06bada…
05-05 17:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10ca1d…
05-05 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x225f71…
05-04 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6800d…
05-04 20:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8af2fc…
05-04 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe8b9d…
05-04 20:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x13e496…
05-04 20:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xc6f3d0…
05-04 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x024302…
05-04 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xccf6d8…
05-04 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7acff…
05-03 17:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xa7ad19…
05-03 17:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4dad02…
05-03 17:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd1d725…
05-03 17:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3dcaa…
05-03 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7c6c57…
05-02 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc8a104…
05-02 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b24b3…
04-26 22:23:40	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	17¢	$23	0x403c51…
03-15 20:39:57	oscars bingo	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xf49196…
03-15 20:14:47	btc updown 5m 1773605400	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x922881…
03-15 19:57:33	btc updown 5m 1773604500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x037283…
03-15 19:54:13	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96a11e…
03-15 19:52:19	will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3e28ae…
03-15 19:51:25	oscars bingo	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ef5ac…
03-15 19:43:09	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xdb0199…
03-12 13:54:37	btc updown 5m 1773323400	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbc4d27…
03-12 13:53:13	btc updown 5m 1773323400	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xaee580…
03-12 13:50:39	btc updown 5m 1773323400	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xc09652…
03-12 13:50:21	btc updown 5m 1773323400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x82c21a…
03-12 13:49:57	btc updown 5m 1773323100	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb9cdd4…
03-12 13:49:45	btc updown 5m 1773323100	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x012f11…
03-12 10:39:47	btc updown 5m 1773311700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x047c27…
03-12 10:39:25	btc updown 5m 1773311700	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x951012…
03-12 10:38:41	btc updown 5m 1773311700	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x485244…
03-12 10:38:15	btc updown 5m 1773311700	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfea9fa…
03-12 09:35:17	btc updown 5m 1773307800	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8755ff…
03-12 09:34:15	btc updown 5m 1773307800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5848ac…
03-12 08:44:47	btc updown 5m 1773304800	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x00ef3f…
03-12 08:40:01	btc updown 5m 1773304500	Up	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x19bbdf…
03-12 08:39:03	btc updown 5m 1773304500	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4bef1e…
03-12 08:24:07	btc updown 5m 1773303600	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5c38bc…
03-12 08:15:01	btc updown 5m 1773303000	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x3af4b1…
03-12 08:14:37	btc updown 5m 1773303000	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xd335f2…
03-12 08:07:55	btc updown 5m 1773302700	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6a00b3…
03-12 08:06:27	btc updown 5m 1773302700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfac9e8…
03-12 08:05:27	btc updown 5m 1773302400	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5385e3…
03-12 08:04:39	btc updown 5m 1773302400	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xa65685…
03-12 08:04:39	btc updown 5m 1773302400	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x0617a0…
03-12 07:55:39	btc updown 5m 1773301800	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaeafd0…
03-12 07:54:55	btc updown 5m 1773301800	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6e8dc1…
03-12 07:48:59	btc updown 5m 1773301500	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x7efb4e…
03-12 07:48:59	btc updown 5m 1773301500	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x0ff4b7…
03-12 07:40:21	btc updown 5m 1773300900	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc4fe26…
03-12 07:39:41	btc updown 5m 1773300900	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcfc700…
03-12 07:25:33	btc updown 5m 1773300000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e9b4d…
03-12 07:24:17	btc updown 5m 1773300000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6007e0…
03-12 07:21:47	btc updown 5m 1773299700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x506981…
03-12 07:18:57	btc updown 5m 1773299700	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x417e26…
03-11 19:41:21	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x95f812…
03-11 19:36:57	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xac5952…
03-11 19:36:43	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x752ffd…
03-11 19:36:41	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x5150d6…
03-11 18:53:17	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xef9066…
03-11 16:33:33	btc updown 5m 1773246600	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd10034…
03-11 16:33:09	btc updown 5m 1773246600	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xa67c2d…
03-11 16:31:29	btc updown 5m 1773246600	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xaf74aa…
03-11 15:41:09	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6edcae…
03-11 15:39:05	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec5e72…
03-11 15:35:29	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x250248…
01-20 20:44:30	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2b12a…
01-19 17:34:20	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x05ce22…