Knowing-Dioxide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-01 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Crypto

34% 83% $-0

Tech

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	10	$130	200	200	+0	open	—	06-29 23:05
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	3	$106	136	136	+0	open	—	05-14 14:05
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	25	$92	210	0	+210	open	—	06-30 16:57
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 20:36
btc updown 5m 1773304500	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	03-12 08:40
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	5	$72	570	0	+570	open	—	05-19 13:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	3	$61	91	31	+60	open	—	06-25 19:01
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	3	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 20:57
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	3	$60	40	40	-0	open	—	06-17 21:16
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 23:17
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	6	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	06-30 17:04
btc updown 5m 1773303000	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-12 08:15
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	6	$45	80	80	+0	open	—	07-01 19:39
btc updown 5m 1773307800	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 09:35
btc updown 5m 1773323100	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 13:49
btc updown 5m 1773302400	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 08:05
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	1	$38	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 17:20
fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	3	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	06-27 22:37
btc updown 5m 1773301800	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 07:55
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	1	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	06-24 14:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	1	$30	200	0	+200	open	—	06-30 22:19
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	2	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	06-18 20:59
btc updown 5m 1773303600	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-12 08:24
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	1	$28	50	0	+50	open	—	06-30 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$28	28	7	+21	open	—	05-14 19:24
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	06-25 22:01
btc updown 5m 1773323400	4	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-12 13:54
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	1	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	06-22 19:57
btc updown 5m 1773311700	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 10:39
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	1	$21	80	0	+80	open	—	07-01 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 19:39:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x53712b…
07-01 18:08:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xbbefd7…
07-01 16:38:59	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x4b71f1…
06-30 22:19:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xa79ba7…
06-30 21:43:49	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x00e411…
06-30 17:04:49	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1b806b…
06-30 17:04:35	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf02b84…
06-30 17:04:34	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8e5f57…
06-30 17:04:34	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x83e292…
06-30 17:04:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd09bbb…
06-30 17:04:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x318030…
06-30 16:57:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x5c561b…
06-30 16:56:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdcf8e8…
06-30 16:55:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc9ae43…
06-30 16:54:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5546c2…
06-30 16:53:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x644aa9…
06-30 16:52:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5c8480…
06-30 16:51:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf73221…
06-30 16:50:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8af3d9…
06-30 16:49:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x74c07c…
06-30 16:48:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4329f6…
06-30 16:47:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9bd298…
06-30 16:46:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x34220e…
06-30 16:45:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1131d0…
06-30 16:44:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0eb39c…
06-30 16:43:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x007e04…
06-30 16:42:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x668242…
06-30 16:41:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xed5e40…
06-30 16:40:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7a2e84…
06-30 16:39:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xceec6a…
06-30 16:38:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x151927…
06-30 16:37:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6d5584…
06-30 16:36:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3c9288…
06-30 16:35:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6cc186…
06-30 09:36:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x63ed03…
06-29 23:17:07	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xa5c469…
06-29 23:05:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x532175…
06-29 23:05:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x0c62ad…
06-29 23:05:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa87a3a…
06-29 23:05:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0xaaa0f7…
06-29 22:58:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	77	34¢	$26	0xa27204…
06-29 22:57:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x8b5fae…
06-29 22:47:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xc8c3a9…
06-29 22:33:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x642983…
06-29 22:32:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x34bb46…
06-29 22:31:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0x455b2f…
06-29 17:20:44	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x5b4a19…
06-28 04:36:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xb62028…
06-27 22:37:53	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x38e6a4…
06-27 21:16:32	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9fb921…
06-27 21:16:25	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x556337…
06-26 20:57:47	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x4a5628…
06-26 20:44:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x860e76…
06-26 20:44:07	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x90c3c0…
06-26 20:36:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb5b0af…
06-26 16:49:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x61b109…
06-25 22:01:53	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe4edde…
06-25 20:05:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x72db87…
06-25 19:01:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x04c69b…
06-25 19:00:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0xb8db78…
06-25 19:00:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0xbebba3…
06-24 22:08:29	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x4e55e3…
06-24 14:30:43	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xe5ed34…
06-22 20:44:19	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb6946c…
06-22 19:57:26	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xf5c462…
06-21 18:04:20	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9acb2d…
06-21 17:30:53	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x1b42ba…
06-21 08:18:41	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x702624…
06-21 08:18:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1be201…
06-20 12:17:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x57aba2…
06-18 21:01:10	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x2b1262…
06-18 20:59:41	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3642d4…
06-18 20:37:20	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcd8620…
06-18 20:36:43	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe52ca5…
06-18 18:55:56	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd8afa2…
06-18 14:16:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x81f3ae…
06-18 14:16:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x1a86ae…
06-18 14:15:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x427ffd…
06-17 21:21:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x7e4e86…
06-17 21:18:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1c84a0…
06-17 21:16:28	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x32717b…
06-17 20:52:19	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4d82a3…
06-17 20:16:02	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xefa3d9…
06-17 18:04:07	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xfc3a28…
06-17 17:13:38	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xf6195d…
06-17 17:13:38	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xcb72fc…
06-16 22:06:52	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb6bcc9…
06-16 11:26:42	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7dcd88…
06-15 15:18:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xec709e…
06-15 09:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781514000	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9f5e86…
06-15 08:42:00	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe691a3…
06-14 22:12:49	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x676733…
06-14 21:26:16	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf99055…
06-14 20:31:39	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa8f72d…
06-14 18:46:19	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x2c98ce…
06-12 20:32:45	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe4ccc…
06-12 20:32:24	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0a8d02…
06-12 20:32:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x036699…
06-12 10:19:48	btc updown 5m 1781259300	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe20190…
06-12 10:19:48	btc updown 5m 1781259300	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x0dd65b…