Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-26 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Other

42% — —

Politics

6% 50% $-92

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$1.3K	668	668	+0	open	—	04-13 21:41
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$1.1K	576	522	+54	open	—	03-21 20:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	04-07 23:20
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	17	$817	376	476	-100	open	—	03-13 04:59
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$792	370	470	-100	open	—	03-27 11:08
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$732	646	96	+550	open	—	01-14 07:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$597	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 07:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$597	303	303	+0	open	—	05-13 08:10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	8	$513	217	307	-90	open	—	02-24 01:39
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$513	515	0	+515	open	—	01-28 11:49
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$505	510	0	+510	open	—	03-24 01:40
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	5	$463	240	240	+0	open	—	03-13 11:59
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$456	230	230	+0	open	—	01-17 00:03
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$451	460	0	+460	open	—	01-06 09:19
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$358	110	250	-140	open	—	02-27 11:17
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$288	150	150	+0	open	—	04-04 22:29
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	21	$279	300	0	+300	open	—	03-10 08:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$271	140	140	+0	No	+$1	05-08 06:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$269	140	140	+0	open	—	05-17 00:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	03-18 14:18
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	03-07 01:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	3	$255	130	130	+0	open	—	05-12 14:59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$249	126	126	+0	open	—	04-17 19:44
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	3	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	02-24 01:30
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$236	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 21:02
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	03-20 05:08
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$212	110	110	+0	open	—	03-12 20:58
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 03:49
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 23:58
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	02-10 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 06:27:58	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x7764c6…
05-26 06:03:59	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa2d0d2…
05-26 04:52:16	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xb035f9…
05-17 00:40:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$135	0xaa9243…
05-13 08:10:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$299	0xeca29f…
05-12 14:59:31	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x453059…
05-09 04:38:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$90	0xc202b8…
05-09 04:23:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x8348c1…
05-09 01:48:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	303	98¢	$298	0xec9aa5…
05-08 06:54:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	123	97¢	$119	0x8c14b8…
05-08 06:49:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x6e3d7e…
05-08 06:45:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x3257c0…
05-08 02:15:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x4f79b1…
05-08 02:14:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x7eed55…
04-30 03:55:28	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x475db6…
04-30 03:13:12	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xd9a5c8…
04-24 21:02:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x6e55b2…
04-22 11:32:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xfed5ee…
04-19 08:22:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x73b346…
04-19 08:21:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x8be3ff…
04-19 08:21:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x617dab…
04-17 19:44:04	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x2d47b7…
04-13 21:41:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	668	99¢	$664	0xbcf43e…
04-08 02:36:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	668	98¢	$658	0x637cc8…
04-07 23:20:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	527	97¢	$511	0x914620…
04-07 23:20:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x8f7268…
04-04 22:29:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x9ad659…
04-03 02:11:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x734438…
04-03 02:10:47	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x8ae277…
03-31 16:02:09	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xb96929…
03-31 11:58:33	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0bc550…
03-31 11:52:09	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xafa60f…
03-28 08:15:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xa5738b…
03-27 11:08:47	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0xec2a2e…
03-26 02:39:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x9635da…
03-26 02:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	530	92¢	$488	0x895776…
03-24 10:31:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x5de62c…
03-24 10:30:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaf1184…
03-24 10:26:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x98b5ca…
03-24 10:26:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x28bf53…
03-24 10:23:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x6db749…
03-24 01:41:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x7a6742…
03-24 01:40:41	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$505	0xa40914…
03-21 20:42:05	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0xd4dd1c…
03-20 05:08:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x8eae2a…
03-20 05:08:11	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x9ff002…
03-18 23:58:05	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0c40b0…
03-18 14:18:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x61b3f7…
03-16 12:30:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xbdb4bf…
03-16 12:30:25	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x60e5d0…
03-16 12:30:05	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa95f47…
03-13 11:59:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x659ca3…
03-13 04:59:25	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xaf0bc9…
03-12 20:58:23	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0xca4a2a…
03-12 13:01:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xfb7523…
03-12 13:01:23	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe40636…
03-12 13:00:43	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x293812…
03-12 12:59:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xb3fc6a…
03-12 03:49:09	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x84289a…
03-10 08:27:21	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1ff4b7…
03-10 08:27:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9a1ed6…
03-10 08:27:15	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcc18e8…
03-10 08:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x430a3f…
03-10 08:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x30751d…
03-10 08:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xa44031…
03-10 08:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x9e95a3…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0xe7e5d8…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe33bb1…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe0db29…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0xdf4d4d…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0xbc7a96…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xb7da1b…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa0cefa…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9a15cf…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e8116…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x547220…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x434eb1…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x3b4498…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x25ddc1…
03-10 08:27:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x206ed9…
03-09 11:34:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x063a3b…
03-09 03:48:05	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x3e100e…
03-09 03:43:49	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x08e8a5…
03-07 06:15:33	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xbbdf45…
03-07 01:56:19	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x366983…
03-05 07:14:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7e75a5…
03-04 08:02:37	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x4a6343…
03-04 02:02:51	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x6b8bd6…
03-04 02:01:49	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x515a33…
03-03 02:55:17	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xa3134b…
03-02 13:45:21	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x559b96…
03-02 13:27:23	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xfccea7…
03-02 02:32:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x730b47…
03-02 01:58:13	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xc209dd…
03-02 01:57:23	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x93f730…
03-02 01:56:59	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb2abfc…
03-02 01:56:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x45f5c0…
03-02 01:55:53	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xdc754e…
03-01 05:11:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xf05474…
03-01 01:57:39	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x7337c1…