Embellished-Illusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-07 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	9	$90	159	59	+100	Up	$-12	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	8	$85	83	83	+0	Up	+$25	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$79	109	89	+20	Up	+$9	05-05 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	9	$78	188	88	+100	Down	+$6	05-06 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$78	79	79	+0	Down	+$18	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	7	$73	83	65	+18	Down	+$1	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$58	65	31	+34	Down	$-22	05-05 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$51	40	40	+0	Down	+$11	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$51	46	46	+0	open	—	05-03 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$45	52	52	+0	open	—	05-04 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	9	$42	60	60	+0	open	—	05-03 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$39	71	38	+33	Down	$-11	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	9	$39	43	39	+4	open	—	05-03 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$38	51	51	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$34	66	43	+23	open	—	05-03 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$34	26	26	+1	open	—	04-27 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$33	35	34	+0	open	—	05-03 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$31	180	25	+156	open	—	05-04 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	8	$27	35	35	+0	open	—	05-03 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$27	34	19	+15	open	—	05-03 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	7	$26	36	25	+11	Up	+$2	05-05 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	5	$25	113	26	+88	open	—	05-04 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	7	$25	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$24	61	18	+43	open	—	05-04 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$23	19	18	+1	open	—	04-27 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$22	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$22	43	14	+29	open	—	05-03 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$20	24	24	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$20	118	11	+106	Down	$-20	05-07 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9e9037…
05-07 00:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x4437a1…
05-07 00:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x982235…
05-07 00:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0xdd9bd0…
05-07 00:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9719f4…
05-07 00:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x3cd4fa…
05-07 00:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x377dec…
05-07 00:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x407060…
05-07 00:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xcf029a…
05-07 00:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd08a29…
05-07 00:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x40a8af…
05-07 00:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7bbdbc…
05-07 00:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0xd17f9d…
05-07 00:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc3a474…
05-07 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x46dccd…
05-07 00:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1db86b…
05-07 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x3c8e2e…
05-07 00:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb5e0f4…
05-06 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xd62e04…
05-06 22:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x8a627c…
05-06 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x312c14…
05-06 22:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x0ae93a…
05-06 22:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xfe7b85…
05-06 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	59¢	$13	0xc9c8a9…
05-06 22:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x21744c…
05-06 22:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0bfa3…
05-06 22:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x53a319…
05-06 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfab901…
05-06 22:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xf933d6…
05-06 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x524bdd…
05-06 22:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0x9d696c…
05-06 22:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0faf24…
05-06 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0xad815a…
05-06 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x19cbc4…
05-06 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x2115cf…
05-06 22:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8b528e…
05-06 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0xcdc26d…
05-06 22:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x34e189…
05-06 22:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xbbcd71…
05-06 22:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xb7b280…
05-06 22:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3ffde2…
05-06 22:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5d86cf…
05-06 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8f6f6f…
05-06 22:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x256127…
05-06 22:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8d0d8c…
05-06 22:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xeea0fe…
05-06 22:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa4b413…
05-06 22:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6beb6f…
05-06 19:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9edca9…
05-06 19:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x62b831…
05-06 19:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x1ed55a…
05-05 02:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x3efd52…
05-05 02:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd6f3c5…
05-05 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xb2fc39…
05-05 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xa26aab…
05-05 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x966e38…
05-05 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x9284c2…
05-05 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x757937…
05-05 02:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xa63904…
05-05 02:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x6ae978…
05-05 02:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x5e91bf…
05-05 02:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa4adba…
05-05 02:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x60aaac…
05-05 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8d98c1…
05-05 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xe046a5…
05-05 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0x9c5be0…
05-05 02:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7576c7…
05-05 02:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x64052b…
05-05 02:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0x08e971…
05-05 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x351481…
05-05 02:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x2afd4a…
05-05 02:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x855070…
05-05 02:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0xf78fb6…
05-05 02:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb4afee…
05-05 02:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x5ef51e…
05-05 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x795078…
05-05 02:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x12cd4b…
05-05 02:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4ba223…
05-05 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x7b8fe7…
05-05 02:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x427d0c…
05-05 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x935a29…
05-05 02:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb14912…
05-05 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xa1f784…
05-05 02:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd44dcf…
05-05 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x8c3925…
05-05 02:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd31714…
05-05 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x4f7e8b…
05-05 02:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc040c0…
05-05 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcdcaea…
05-05 02:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xc1ecb0…
05-05 02:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x7b3f69…
05-05 02:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x56b404…
05-05 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xb5f943…
05-05 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x729203…
05-05 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x521b63…
05-05 02:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x0ba38c…
05-05 02:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2caa22…
05-05 02:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x9ad996…
05-05 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x064081…
05-05 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x2ac466…