Worse-Bump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$126

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-11 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$15	33	33	+0	open	—	03-31 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$4	8	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-08 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-09 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 04:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-11 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 04:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2479f…
05-11 04:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x983101…
05-11 04:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x294788…
05-11 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xde1c67…
05-11 04:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3056dd…
05-11 04:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8f048…
05-11 04:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9c5433…
05-10 14:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7f1c98…
05-10 13:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xea6144…
05-10 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x4a627b…
05-10 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x27990a…
05-10 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2106…
05-10 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5c6607…
05-09 03:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x021716…
05-09 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x900dd8…
05-08 09:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6bea13…
05-08 09:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01704d…
05-08 09:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xc79978…
05-08 09:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xa2d4ac…
05-08 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe7c4e0…
05-08 08:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8faec3…
05-08 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x59a68c…
05-08 08:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x10e9ac…
05-08 08:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc8c517…
05-08 08:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6aab34…
05-08 08:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb6878f…
05-08 08:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x86e0c7…
05-08 08:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x47ca3d…
05-08 08:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbe83bd…
05-08 08:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcae524…
05-08 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3d993e…
05-08 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xef7f16…
05-08 08:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb3ba90…
05-08 07:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fcdc6…
05-08 07:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x654764…
04-27 06:07:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7a0c0a…
04-23 15:19:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2e8f0f…
03-31 12:53:23	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	5¢	$2	0x6e3945…
03-31 06:22:19	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x222adb…
03-31 06:21:55	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa13c2e…
03-31 06:06:19	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xfc6e22…
03-29 08:33:10	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd67547…