Kaleidoscopic-Nod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$233

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-28 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$4

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+5	$4	95¢	$5	+$0	06-12 00:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 19:30
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$31	20	15	+5	open	—	05-17 19:43
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 19:30
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 02:04
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 23:17
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-12 00:15
Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-12 01:20
Independiente Santa Fe vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 00:29
Spread: FK Mladá Boleslav (-2.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 01:20
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-27 16:41
Spread: Deportivo Saprissa (-2.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 22:14
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 02:02
Spread: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 01:20
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 13:41
Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-27 23:36
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$4	5	0	+5	T1	+$0	05-13 00:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 05:41
Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)	1	$4	5	0	+5	Kyōto Sanga FC	+$0	05-13 00:54
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 00:34
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-13 00:33
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5	1	$4	5	0	+5	Over	+$0	05-13 00:34
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 11:58
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)	1	$4	5	0	+5	CF Montréal	+$0	05-12 01:23
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 23:55
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-28 04:31
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 12:09
Will Secret Whales qualify for EWC 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 09:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 22:00
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-27 21:55
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 04:31:25	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xed04b6…
06-27 21:55:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x795df0…
06-25 13:01:52	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x72d436…
06-12 00:15:46	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xac7d88…
05-31 13:41:56	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb2fa25…
05-28 22:00:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1c9883…
05-28 05:41:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x64d0c5…
05-27 23:36:52	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbc12de…
05-27 16:41:20	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6437fc…
05-23 11:30:31	Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2a03ff…
05-18 09:45:22	Will Secret Whales qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x46c2b2…
05-17 19:43:11	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x45a88b…
05-17 19:30:54	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xb976e3…
05-17 19:30:53	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x0e82d4…
05-17 19:29:08	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xfacdda…
05-17 19:29:08	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x34ed2f…
05-17 19:25:15	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x60066e…
05-17 19:19:27	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd4aa6f…
05-17 19:19:27	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd0baff…
05-17 19:19:25	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2b36fc…
05-17 17:01:54	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x731a4e…
05-17 17:00:52	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd7cb11…
05-17 16:27:39	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xee1a7b…
05-17 16:11:28	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1885a6…
05-17 16:09:18	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x06fcf1…
05-17 16:00:19	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x110a8b…
05-17 15:46:37	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x090eeb…
05-17 13:32:43	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0ddee0…
05-17 13:23:45	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3c3a6d…
05-16 20:12:43	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x204024…
05-14 23:55:27	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa934ff…
05-14 23:17:55	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4841fc…
05-14 12:22:12	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x65cf8e…
05-14 12:09:18	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0172e2…
05-14 11:58:01	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaea223…
05-14 02:04:04	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc2faa1…
05-14 02:02:56	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)	CF Cruz Azul	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6ea101…
05-13 22:24:47	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1ea32f…
05-13 22:16:39	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x56b0ba…
05-13 22:14:05	Spread: Deportivo Saprissa (-2.5)	CS Herediano	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc1e691…
05-13 11:48:59	Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x98e209…
05-13 11:48:59	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x354ab2…
05-13 00:54:03	Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)	Kyōto Sanga FC	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd4f16f…
05-13 00:34:25	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x823e2e…
05-13 00:34:15	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x854713…
05-13 00:34:13	FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc15782…
05-13 00:33:31	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfba656…
05-13 00:29:21	Independiente Santa Fe vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x517081…
05-12 01:24:20	Spread: Wadi Degla SC (-2.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x2d30cc…
05-12 01:23:12	Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)	CF Montréal	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe0a06e…
05-12 01:20:52	Spread: FK Mladá Boleslav (-2.5)	FK Dukla Praha	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x637c0d…
05-12 01:20:41	Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x29212c…
05-12 01:20:22	Spread: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5)	ZED FC	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb54f1e…
05-11 01:46:19	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x690c93…
05-11 01:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4fcc06…