Valid-Musicbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-02 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 31% $-48

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$103	64	64	+0	open	—	05-01 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$102	63	63	+0	open	—	05-01 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$96	114	114	+0	open	—	05-01 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$94	115	108	+7	open	—	05-01 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$93	53	53	+0	open	—	05-01 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$91	51	51	+0	open	—	05-01 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$85	109	109	+0	open	—	05-01 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$75	128	128	+0	open	—	05-01 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$73	68	68	+0	open	—	05-01 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$72	72	72	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$72	108	108	+0	open	—	04-30 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$64	86	86	+0	open	—	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$60	127	0	+127	open	—	05-01 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$60	113	0	+113	open	—	05-01 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$60	83	83	+0	open	—	05-01 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-01 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$58	89	71	+17	open	—	05-01 06:34
btc updown 5m 1776178200	4	$55	56	53	+3	open	—	04-14 14:54
btc updown 5m 1776974400	5	$46	130	39	+90	open	—	04-23 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$42	54	54	+0	open	—	05-01 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$42	45	45	+0	open	—	04-30 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$38	23	23	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$34	62	62	+0	open	—	04-30 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	05-02 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	88	0	+88	Down	$-30	05-06 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$30	32	32	+0	open	—	05-26 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$30	73	69	+4	open	—	04-28 06:19
btc updown 5m 1776195000	3	$28	542	39	+503	open	—	04-14 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$27	108	62	+45	open	—	04-30 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x111efd…
06-01 22:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xccd78c…
05-26 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5dcffd…
05-26 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0xd1d5f7…
05-26 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xf47f90…
05-06 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x102b44…
05-06 22:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x80e58f…
05-06 22:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5181ad…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf351cc…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf1db2f…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xe3c257…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9b13a6…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x74b0e1…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x628731…
05-06 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x035c0d…
05-06 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xd08a5f…
05-06 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4d4f33…
05-06 21:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc93e23…
05-06 21:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xae1a71…
05-06 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x35bddc…
05-06 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x324ee1…
05-06 21:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0x560d86…
05-06 21:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc29098…
05-06 21:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x125027…
05-06 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x58d66a…
05-05 08:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2eccba…
05-05 08:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xa3a590…
05-05 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xd1be0c…
05-05 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x3cc248…
05-05 08:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x27eba2…
05-05 08:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc2d871…
05-05 08:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbc1f0e…
05-05 08:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x371084…
05-05 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	43¢	$12	0x99fb64…
05-05 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x2ba29e…
05-05 08:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf723f7…
05-05 08:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x919d08…
05-05 08:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe7ac8d…
05-02 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	78	15¢	$12	0x590f46…
05-02 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	81	9¢	$8	0xabc959…
05-02 12:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x43925e…
05-02 12:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8c896b…
05-02 12:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x37529a…
05-02 12:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xcff464…
05-02 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x63dacd…
05-02 00:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x58f93f…
05-02 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x389d06…
05-02 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6775e2…
05-02 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xbfa6c3…
05-02 00:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35c515…
05-01 23:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	8¢	$14	0x81c04a…
05-01 23:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	127	47¢	$60	0xa53523…
05-01 23:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	109	23¢	$25	0xa277b3…
05-01 23:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xffff9d…
05-01 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x21b2a4…
05-01 23:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x63325b…
05-01 23:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xa1a875…
05-01 23:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x6f8c83…
05-01 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x7c9d4a…
05-01 22:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x68bcb1…
05-01 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x107266…
05-01 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0xff4baa…
05-01 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x22383b…
05-01 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x463ff0…
05-01 22:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xcdb328…
05-01 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x6bb6d5…
05-01 22:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x3b38f0…
05-01 08:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x5487e2…
05-01 08:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x338724…
05-01 08:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb6b38b…
05-01 08:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x7d9e3f…
05-01 08:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x42dba2…
05-01 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	38	17¢	$6	0x78a438…
05-01 08:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xdc79ec…
05-01 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x17c3d2…
05-01 08:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	128	27¢	$35	0x83f570…
05-01 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	128	31¢	$40	0x80843f…
05-01 08:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x9a5c94…
05-01 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1f496e…
05-01 08:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x800be9…
05-01 07:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	68	71¢	$48	0x744c57…
05-01 07:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x7ba36e…
05-01 07:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc38ff6…
05-01 07:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xe9c012…
05-01 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x65d944…
05-01 07:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	34	67¢	$22	0x6c66c6…
05-01 07:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x5df1f7…
05-01 07:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb44d1e…
05-01 07:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4be45b…
05-01 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	108	45¢	$49	0x5fb18f…
05-01 07:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x5dcd49…
05-01 07:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x4a0dc9…
05-01 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	114	49¢	$56	0x99b624…
05-01 07:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x9992f1…
05-01 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0xb1f3f7…
05-01 06:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdf4acd…
05-01 06:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	51¢	$27	0x4e4d65…
05-01 06:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x3038d7…
05-01 06:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfcd353…
05-01 06:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	88	5¢	$4	0xaed5f3…