Circular-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$8.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-21 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	6	$77	85	+85	open	—	05-17 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$72	223	+223	open	—	05-17 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$64	205	+205	open	—	05-16 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$60	74	+74	open	—	05-17 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$57	153	+153	open	—	05-17 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$57	244	+244	open	—	05-16 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$56	59	+59	open	—	05-17 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$56	61	+61	open	—	05-15 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$55	61	+61	open	—	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$55	100	+100	open	—	05-15 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$54	100	+100	open	—	05-17 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$53	83	+83	open	—	05-17 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$52	54	+54	open	—	05-16 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$52	53	+53	open	—	05-16 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$52	86	+86	open	—	05-15 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$52	94	+94	open	—	05-17 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$52	103	+103	open	—	05-15 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$51	55	+55	open	—	05-15 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	5	$51	88	+88	open	—	05-17 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$51	93	+93	open	—	05-15 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$50	111	+111	open	—	05-15 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$49	120	+120	open	—	05-15 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$49	67	+67	open	—	05-18 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$49	108	+108	open	—	05-17 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$48	93	+93	open	—	05-17 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$48	102	+102	open	—	05-16 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$48	87	+87	open	—	05-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$48	106	+106	open	—	05-16 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$48	97	+97	open	—	05-16 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$47	93	+93	open	—	05-16 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xac32f4…
05-21 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8d0a2f…
05-21 14:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb1e8ae…
05-21 12:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8f24d3…
05-21 00:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1555b9…
05-20 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdd4204…
05-20 10:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x943ded…
05-20 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x51bb24…
05-20 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb37743…
05-20 05:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe4fcd6…
05-20 01:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x18995e…
05-20 01:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x03b0c3…
05-20 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb14eda…
05-20 00:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1cefff…
05-20 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x895d2d…
05-19 23:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xb4b8bc…
05-19 20:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0x960116…
05-19 20:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xc40757…
05-19 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x1e6e95…
05-19 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x19b12a…
05-19 15:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0xdeae3a…
05-19 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc0298b…
05-19 14:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x490f95…
05-19 14:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x387f08…
05-19 14:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x11adc9…
05-19 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x443c2f…
05-19 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7c0326…
05-19 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4f9e96…
05-19 11:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x5f61b6…
05-19 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	91¢	$17	0x2b8fed…
05-19 10:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xb8e660…
05-19 09:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xdf001b…
05-19 09:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xa861ac…
05-19 08:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x33c6f4…
05-19 06:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0x4a4e79…
05-19 06:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xd9ea7d…
05-19 06:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6ffc5f…
05-19 06:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x46b7f9…
05-19 05:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	93	33¢	$31	0x89d222…
05-19 05:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x446493…
05-19 05:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0xe859f7…
05-19 05:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0ee171…
05-19 04:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x876bf5…
05-19 04:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xdc145f…
05-19 04:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x41f375…
05-19 04:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc10c6c…
05-19 03:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x3f154a…
05-19 03:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x785ac3…
05-19 03:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xc5eacf…
05-19 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x91f1d6…
05-19 02:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x05e46d…
05-19 02:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x43f92f…
05-19 02:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x186c58…
05-19 02:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0x18fb6e…
05-19 01:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x6a34f4…
05-19 01:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x51f952…
05-19 01:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xabc07b…
05-19 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf291c3…
05-19 00:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	40¢	$15	0x902393…
05-18 22:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x87fae7…
05-18 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xc304ee…
05-18 22:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0x0cf58f…
05-18 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xda1ba9…
05-18 19:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x16e5ec…
05-18 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x4e175a…
05-18 18:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$15	0x31ba59…
05-18 18:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x870753…
05-18 18:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x80bcdd…
05-18 15:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x226ef9…
05-18 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x26f9f5…
05-18 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x7e5866…
05-18 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x967bf4…
05-18 14:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x4abd67…
05-18 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xeeba75…
05-18 13:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0x21b4ee…
05-18 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xffcdda…
05-18 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf48a26…
05-18 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xd5f077…
05-18 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x8f7819…
05-18 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x03e94b…
05-18 13:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xe72c5a…
05-18 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xd0f564…
05-18 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x9d6122…
05-18 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x9494d3…
05-18 12:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xd10890…
05-18 12:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x5732c1…
05-18 12:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x55475e…
05-18 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x770a40…
05-18 12:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x7ae184…
05-18 11:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	40¢	$25	0x68a799…
05-18 11:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xf42022…
05-18 11:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xb1d041…
05-18 11:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xe0bf28…
05-18 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x1084be…
05-18 10:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x8c6841…
05-18 09:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	39¢	$29	0x6baf66…
05-18 09:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x815a5f…
05-18 08:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xc6fbe6…
05-18 08:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x7e3bac…
05-18 08:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x91b71f…