Merry-Photograph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-09 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$3

Other

21% — —

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

2% 22% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$265	190	200	-10	open	—	04-23 12:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$181	107	107	+0	open	—	04-30 14:39
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	1	$100	208	0	+208	open	—	04-08 10:49
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	12	$82	466	462	+4	open	—	04-30 19:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$3	05-06 10:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$60	90	0	+90	open	—	04-08 17:03
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$58	119	119	+0	open	—	05-09 13:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	4	$52	150	150	+0	open	—	05-06 10:32
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-14 11:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$34	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-23 19:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$31	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 09:44
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	6	$28	69	69	+0	open	—	04-30 19:11
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	2	$26	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 15:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	11	$23	18,650	0	+18,650	open	—	04-20 23:25
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	7	$23	437	437	+0	open	—	04-30 19:12
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	3	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 09:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$8	2,510	2,510	+0	open	—	04-28 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-09 10:54
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 21:52
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$3	77	77	+0	open	—	04-18 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$2	103	0	+103	Up	$-2	05-09 11:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-04 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-09 13:13
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	16	0	+16	Down	$-1	05-09 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-05 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-09 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 13:33:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	119	7¢	$8	0xb90c1c…
05-09 13:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xef3480…
05-09 13:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x47db54…
05-09 13:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5e8898…
05-09 11:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe148f4…
05-09 11:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x69ccb1…
05-09 11:33:29	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xedf324…
05-09 10:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa4f572…
05-06 10:38:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x18065b…
05-06 10:32:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	140	16¢	$23	0xfe53c5…
05-06 09:30:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf7914b…
05-06 09:29:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x4f2059…
05-06 09:05:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x4e0e89…
05-05 23:22:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x80d9bd…
05-05 23:22:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x56a126…
05-05 22:47:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x445c86…
05-05 17:22:14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	95	43¢	$41	0xe40bdb…
05-05 16:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2ecfd5…
05-05 09:41:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x4eda57…
05-04 21:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf508b7…
05-04 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdfb54a…
05-04 21:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaa7b1f…
05-03 09:55:48	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x3435b3…
04-30 19:34:12	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa73c26…
04-30 19:28:18	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x5ebc7a…
04-30 19:12:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	462	0¢	$1	0x88cc9e…
04-30 19:12:08	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	437	0¢	$1	0x5753b0…
04-30 19:11:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	1¢	$0	0xa3ff13…
04-30 15:24:36	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0xde1609…
04-30 15:08:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd0b737…
04-30 15:08:14	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xcd38a2…
04-30 15:08:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x340f63…
04-30 14:59:08	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4ad7bd…
04-30 14:56:14	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe1cef5…
04-30 14:54:44	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0x5ce239…
04-30 14:49:36	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6bd55c…
04-30 14:48:34	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0xc8c08f…
04-30 14:46:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x6169ce…
04-30 14:42:58	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc7ddb6…
04-30 14:42:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x94fbc0…
04-30 14:40:08	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x2421d0…
04-30 14:39:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x786eef…
04-30 10:35:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x87993d…
04-29 21:17:02	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xb9d0c7…
04-29 16:07:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x5584c6…
04-29 07:38:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x3c7f8d…
04-29 07:32:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0xf3de1f…
04-29 07:29:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x41373e…
04-28 13:29:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,510	0¢	$3	0x882b9a…
04-28 10:38:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2,010	0¢	$4	0x29e1b5…
04-28 07:13:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdecad5…
04-25 09:44:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0x6642d7…
04-25 09:43:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd0240f…
04-24 15:25:32	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xed2623…
04-24 15:17:04	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x485d83…
04-23 19:32:42	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x7e94f7…
04-23 19:15:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$18	0x03a2ad…
04-23 19:14:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0x07b347…
04-23 12:42:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x86386e…
04-23 05:49:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf31e75…
04-22 13:02:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf130c1…
04-21 19:16:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	27	64¢	$18	0xba360a…
04-21 19:16:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xba1882…
04-21 06:59:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0cd1d9…
04-20 23:25:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,900	0¢	$2	0x4fa650…
04-20 22:30:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf02007…
04-20 22:20:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd503be…
04-20 17:10:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd00856…
04-19 21:47:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6abf5d…
04-19 20:36:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x817473…
04-19 16:53:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x8b0f75…
04-19 11:14:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5a5187…
04-19 09:43:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x50337a…
04-19 08:15:28	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x6486b8…
04-19 08:12:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe3d1d8…
04-18 22:48:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xd2d9bf…
04-17 11:38:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x5247ce…
04-17 11:17:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xef7518…
04-17 09:51:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3d0da8…
04-17 07:41:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xd839b6…
04-17 07:03:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x36c5f3…
04-17 06:57:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa8d44b…
04-16 22:25:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5e719e…
04-16 07:46:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x595b65…
04-15 13:35:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x5e449a…
04-14 11:48:27	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x1ad620…
04-08 17:03:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x3feff3…
04-08 10:49:01	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xd5f749…