Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 04-27 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% — —

Other

19% 20% $-21

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$114	145	145	+0	open	—	02-28 08:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$84	88	88	+0	open	—	03-07 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$70	72	72	+0	open	—	03-01 12:22
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	6	$56	86	86	+0	open	—	03-11 12:01
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$35	538	0	+538	open	—	02-28 17:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 21:53
us forces enter iran by march 7	5	$31	166	83	+82	open	—	03-05 12:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$30	56	56	+0	open	—	03-08 21:55
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$28	101	101	+0	open	—	03-08 21:55
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	8	$28	272	272	+0	open	—	02-28 07:07
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$26	592	592	+0	open	—	02-18 15:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$25	41	41	+0	open	—	03-12 17:48
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$24	2,132	2,132	+0	open	—	03-08 19:50
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	6	$21	296	296	+0	open	—	03-30 07:31
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 08:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	03-02 18:26
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$18	377	377	+0	open	—	03-08 19:50
hezbollah strike on israel by february 28	3	$17	29	29	+0	open	—	02-28 19:14
will israel or the us target tehran 812	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	02-28 08:54
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$16	61	61	+0	open	—	03-14 07:35
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$16	365	13	+352	open	—	03-14 10:29
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	02-06 09:49
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$15	59	59	+0	open	—	02-28 14:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$14	83	83	+0	open	—	03-18 17:19
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$13	67	67	+0	open	—	04-08 21:03
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$12	349	349	+0	open	—	03-15 15:41
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	3	$12	3,019	0	+3,019	No	$-12	03-08 22:34
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	3	$12	206	80	+126	open	—	03-31 14:25
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	4	$12	591	591	+0	open	—	02-28 19:52
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-04 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 20:23:38	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb3e8b9…
04-27 20:23:24	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	1¢	$2	0xa74994…
04-25 11:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0ea76d…
04-25 09:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x99b1c2…
04-25 09:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4e602b…
04-25 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd1eab1…
04-25 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8a009c…
04-20 12:17:00	btc updown 5m 1776687300	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9b1826…
04-20 09:39:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x439781…
04-16 05:34:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x181c00…
04-15 10:18:56	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x79ecb0…
04-15 10:18:14	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x149746…
04-15 10:17:20	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x6881a5…
04-15 10:17:12	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	380	0¢	$1	0xcb6288…
04-15 10:16:56	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$2	0x8cbe62…
04-15 10:16:40	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	856	1¢	$4	0xcc28e6…
04-12 11:31:25	Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6888f8…
04-12 11:31:11	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x18fdb0…
04-12 11:30:45	Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	717	0¢	$1	0xe104f3…
04-12 11:30:25	Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcb94f…
04-12 11:30:03	Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x731fd2…
04-12 11:29:55	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	724	0¢	$1	0xf96a3c…
04-12 11:29:47	Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	943	0¢	$1	0x767e05…
04-12 11:29:41	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa21e58…
04-12 11:29:33	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe19b1a…
04-11 19:57:05	btc updown 5m 1775937300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x27b727…
04-11 07:24:31	btc updown 5m 1775892000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x25ffb0…
04-11 07:23:55	btc updown 5m 1775892000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x74edc1…
04-11 07:23:35	btc updown 5m 1775892000	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa42b65…
04-08 21:03:01	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x38ef9a…
04-02 18:38:49	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	668	1¢	$6	0xc73b4c…
04-02 18:23:05	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x807d71…
04-02 18:16:15	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xdb3e68…
04-01 05:10:55	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5ffd68…
03-31 14:25:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x5ce384…
03-31 08:34:21	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x2aa8cd…
03-31 08:18:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2de195…
03-31 05:22:25	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x6cfcf7…
03-30 07:39:48	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x207681…
03-30 07:32:26	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x0d3c99…
03-30 07:32:12	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xec7e2b…
03-30 07:31:46	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xcaae6c…
03-30 07:31:38	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x4745b2…
03-30 07:31:30	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x95be7a…
03-30 07:31:22	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x26b433…
03-30 07:31:16	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x1bf45d…
03-30 07:31:00	will oman strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x26ec3c…
03-30 07:30:54	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0xbcdb26…
03-30 07:30:46	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x540e10…
03-30 07:30:40	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x4a2ad7…
03-24 17:17:43	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xc277d9…
03-18 22:08:35	will northern iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x72fc58…
03-18 22:07:57	will northern iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x74eece…
03-18 22:06:25	will kansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9277cc…
03-18 17:25:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbd24c2…
03-18 17:21:17	will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xde59be…
03-18 17:20:53	will powell say refund during march press conference	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x19b0c6…
03-18 17:20:23	will powell say volatile during march press conference	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0811ad…
03-18 17:20:09	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x00c6db…
03-18 17:19:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0x89b211…
03-17 11:30:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xcfdccb…
03-16 15:12:17	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x72c780…
03-15 21:58:33	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0x6e37dd…
03-15 21:16:15	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x9b4cb2…
03-15 19:22:39	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xe1df4c…
03-15 15:41:53	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xa34cbf…
03-15 15:41:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$2	0xe64a0a…
03-15 15:41:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0xf575bc…
03-15 14:12:39	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0x89deaf…
03-15 08:15:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x627ce5…
03-15 07:20:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xf7efed…
03-14 10:29:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb4f400…
03-14 10:29:19	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	0¢	$1	0x9b8163…
03-14 07:35:51	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xd842af…
03-14 07:35:39	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcb0a95…
03-14 07:35:33	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74e4cd…
03-14 07:07:09	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7320ef…
03-12 17:50:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xea1d0a…
03-12 17:48:27	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	160	2¢	$3	0x745fb5…
03-12 17:48:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x6d1a17…
03-11 21:06:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x800b1c…
03-11 21:05:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xf454d4…
03-11 20:38:19	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x06cddd…
03-11 17:55:23	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5319b2…
03-11 15:21:17	will oman strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf2c105…
03-11 15:08:07	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x4f94c2…
03-11 15:07:43	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb6887d…
03-11 15:04:47	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x07e139…
03-11 13:36:51	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xacbdf7…
03-11 13:36:23	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0efdb4…
03-11 13:36:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd2f3b3…
03-11 13:35:59	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xa5e870…
03-11 12:01:55	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x126b62…
03-11 11:00:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x159697…
03-09 17:39:29	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xebe40d…
03-09 15:31:05	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xc772b1…
03-09 14:34:17	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7b0db3…
03-09 14:34:07	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb1197a…
03-09 14:33:31	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6d3b14…
03-09 05:28:27	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x5e22ad…