Rewarding-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-20 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% — —

Other

38% 0% $-1

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$1.4K	716	716	+0	open	—	02-25 13:23
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$1.1K	577	577	+0	open	—	04-16 06:07
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$950	475	475	+0	open	—	03-14 04:49
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$884	443	443	+0	No	$-0	04-18 19:46
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$808	405	405	+0	open	—	03-14 11:04
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$800	401	401	+0	open	—	04-05 10:23
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$696	349	349	+0	open	—	03-18 23:18
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$594	298	298	+0	open	—	02-12 15:48
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$582	292	292	+0	open	—	02-16 00:23
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$538	269	269	+0	open	—	02-18 00:12
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$532	267	267	+0	open	—	04-06 13:13
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	04-10 11:38
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$492	246	246	+0	open	—	02-11 20:13
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$492	246	246	+0	open	—	03-07 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	04-20 05:46
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$464	233	233	+0	open	—	04-15 00:43
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	02-14 14:27
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$442	222	222	+0	No	$-0	04-02 16:55
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	03-29 07:18
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	04-06 20:26
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	04-03 13:02
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$374	188	188	+0	open	—	04-17 11:10
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$-0	04-04 21:11
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	03-29 15:46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$336	168	168	+0	open	—	04-15 06:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$334	168	168	+0	open	—	03-13 16:23
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	03-11 20:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$262	131	131	+0	open	—	03-03 08:28
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$222	223	0	+223	open	—	02-18 00:12
ethereum above 2100 on february 28	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	02-28 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 12:58:46	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd6ebe5…
04-20 05:46:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xe284c4…
04-19 02:11:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x8cb457…
04-18 19:46:06	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x4fa350…
04-18 18:01:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x7d80b7…
04-17 11:10:20	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$187	0xc26444…
04-17 05:36:02	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$187	0xc0006c…
04-16 06:07:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x9855d4…
04-16 02:32:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x39fb8d…
04-15 11:06:06	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0x1994e7…
04-15 06:24:58	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0x200186…
04-15 06:24:38	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x1fba74…
04-15 02:11:46	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xd580f9…
04-15 00:43:50	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0x1b2169…
04-14 10:10:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0xfb3654…
04-10 11:38:27	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$258	0x155a37…
04-10 09:52:47	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4b421e…
04-08 20:52:31	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$258	0x8dd41d…
04-06 22:41:03	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x1dd08a…
04-06 20:27:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xd2f38a…
04-06 20:26:53	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x3a5e76…
04-06 15:10:43	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x2c6a96…
04-06 13:13:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xdd1fc2…
04-06 06:30:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x15f570…
04-05 10:23:25	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0xd2730a…
04-05 06:45:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0xcde9ee…
04-04 21:11:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x8acf44…
04-04 06:57:03	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x666701…
04-03 13:02:53	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x8150c0…
04-03 10:45:17	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x2b97ad…
04-02 20:01:41	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	267	99¢	$266	0xb41fc3…
04-02 16:55:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x32aa9a…
04-02 16:55:05	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0xea218c…
04-02 10:31:33	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xa68628…
04-01 00:11:37	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0x80e719…
03-31 19:55:11	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x115dd6…
03-31 10:51:41	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb11da8…
03-29 15:46:10	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x0a76b6…
03-29 11:31:22	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x096dff…
03-29 07:18:24	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$218	0x756ac9…
03-29 03:07:40	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xa6cd16…
03-18 23:18:21	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x4b32ee…
03-18 16:53:31	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x92d39d…
03-15 18:29:15	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0xd98cc7…
03-15 12:14:07	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x9c1187…
03-14 11:04:13	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x8c87c6…
03-14 04:50:11	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xa70491…
03-14 04:49:53	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xbb36aa…
03-13 22:36:37	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xd3e338…
03-13 16:23:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xa7cd1c…
03-13 08:52:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x0e4928…
03-13 00:59:29	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0xef402c…
03-13 00:58:59	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	53	18¢	$9	0xd3f4b9…
03-11 20:07:33	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x69d10e…
03-11 13:51:15	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x639448…
03-10 20:53:35	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x8c2234…
03-10 20:53:07	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Timberwolves	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xbe96ec…
03-08 23:04:55	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 2 8	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa331a0…
03-07 10:39:45	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x9727bd…
03-07 10:39:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x5bed72…
03-06 06:58:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x3830a6…
03-03 22:32:11	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x55c078…
03-03 22:31:43	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	53	26¢	$14	0x1973c2…
03-03 22:31:11	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xa50dd4…
03-03 13:22:09	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xbc9ee8…
03-03 08:29:25	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x698541…
03-03 08:28:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x92ae9d…
03-01 21:50:27	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x568dcb…
03-01 15:08:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x66d33c…
02-28 08:44:51	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x778e7c…
02-28 08:44:25	will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe0d968…
02-28 08:44:01	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x8ed9a7…
02-27 01:37:50	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x6ceb94…
02-26 19:08:32	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x5d1b0f…
02-25 13:23:18	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x7677bc…
02-25 01:09:16	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x84eace…
02-25 01:08:54	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0xe9148f…
02-25 00:17:08	nba orl lal 2026 02 24	Magic	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb2ccb6…
02-24 09:43:46	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xa8f6e9…
02-22 17:45:26	bitcoin above 74k on february 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2616f7…
02-22 17:45:04	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x82f55d…
02-22 17:44:46	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5fed6b…
02-18 00:12:25	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0xb296e4…
02-18 00:12:09	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x45af72…
02-16 00:23:31	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x4a33b9…
02-16 00:23:15	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xc51f21…
02-15 01:21:31	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xb1cda5…
02-14 14:27:49	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x308e49…
02-13 21:03:27	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x0bfc9d…
02-13 21:03:11	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0xcc75ee…
02-13 15:58:55	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xe2b003…
02-13 15:58:39	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x965597…
02-12 17:55:55	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x95b1f4…
02-12 15:48:07	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0x5468b1…
02-11 20:42:35	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x0efb12…
02-11 20:13:39	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0xc18b92…
02-11 08:23:23	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xcc4af0…
02-09 12:11:51	nba det cha 2026 02 09	Pistons	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5793f3…