Unlawful-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$694

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-10 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 7am et	3	$39	34	34	+0	open	—	03-02 12:25
bitcoin up or down march 7 11pm et	5	$38	52	37	+15	open	—	03-08 04:38
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11pm et	4	$33	25	24	+0	open	—	03-21 03:26
bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	4	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	03-04 12:57
btc updown 4h 1772514000	4	$31	32	32	+0	open	—	03-03 06:17
btc updown 15m 1774080000	6	$22	24	24	+0	open	—	03-21 08:13
bitcoin up or down march 2 6am et	3	$22	23	11	+11	open	—	03-02 11:58
bitcoin up or down february 15 11pm et	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	02-16 03:43
bitcoin up or down march 2 4am et	5	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	03-02 09:59
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 2am et	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	03-19 06:36
bitcoin up or down march 4 8am et	3	$15	120	10	+110	open	—	03-04 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 15 9pm et	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 03:07
btc updown 15m 1771330500	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-17 12:22
bitcoin up or down march 2 5am et	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-02 10:59
bitcoin up or down february 15 10pm et	2	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	02-16 03:24
bitcoin up or down march 2 10pm et	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-03 03:50
btc updown 15m 1774080900	3	$12	14	9	+5	open	—	03-21 08:20
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 3am et	3	$12	15	11	+3	open	—	03-21 07:45
btc updown 15m 1774172700	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 09:53
btc updown 15m 1772704800	3	$10	12	8	+4	open	—	03-05 10:07
bitcoin up or down february 16 3am et	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	02-16 07:31
bitcoin up or down march 4 9am et	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-04 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 8 12am et	2	$10	156	0	+156	open	—	03-08 05:24
bitcoin up or down february 16 2am et	2	$9	24	24	+0	open	—	02-16 07:30
bitcoin up or down february 23 10am et	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 15:01
bitcoin up or down march 3 5am et	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 10:09
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 09:19
btc updown 15m 1774578600	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-27 02:44
btc updown 15m 1774515600	6	$7	15	10	+5	open	—	03-26 09:14
btc updown 15m 1774579500	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 03:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x334af6…
05-10 03:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x62f67f…
05-10 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3ec001…
05-10 02:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0xfdcf9a…
05-10 02:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x54dc88…
05-10 02:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x352fb1…
05-08 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3596a6…
05-05 01:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x49531a…
05-05 01:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5ef462…
05-05 01:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x87f0ef…
05-01 02:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7cfea5…
04-30 07:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x06a246…
03-30 09:35:12	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x282200…
03-29 01:13:56	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4d3cfc…
03-29 00:16:58	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1305e3…
03-27 05:59:41	btc updown 15m 1774590300	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x46821b…
03-27 05:23:31	btc updown 15m 1774588500	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x243217…
03-27 05:11:01	btc updown 15m 1774587600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x063c01…
03-27 04:58:43	btc updown 15m 1774586700	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf445b2…
03-27 04:55:57	btc updown 15m 1774586700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34eb25…
03-27 04:44:07	btc updown 15m 1774585800	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa0a39b…
03-27 04:05:23	btc updown 15m 1774584000	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x77c505…
03-27 03:25:41	btc updown 15m 1774581300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdc8629…
03-27 03:25:03	btc updown 15m 1774581300	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xb36292…
03-27 03:17:19	btc updown 15m 1774581300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9c3603…
03-27 03:09:29	btc updown 15m 1774580400	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xaa4a0e…
03-27 02:58:51	btc updown 15m 1774579500	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x181e6b…
03-27 02:52:53	btc updown 15m 1774579500	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x85a5cd…
03-27 02:47:39	btc updown 15m 1774579500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x31dc7a…
03-27 02:44:37	btc updown 15m 1774578600	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc1e70…
03-27 02:34:13	btc updown 15m 1774578600	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdc70b4…
03-27 02:02:09	btc updown 5m 1774576800	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xf1c3b0…
03-27 02:01:23	btc updown 5m 1774576800	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x38d130…
03-27 01:36:19	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x73b1bd…
03-27 01:27:13	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x49853d…
03-27 01:22:59	btc updown 5m 1774574400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8fc479…
03-27 01:22:27	btc updown 5m 1774574400	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xae8f86…
03-27 01:21:39	btc updown 5m 1774574400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x07df8c…
03-26 09:58:09	btc updown 15m 1774518300	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf67c7a…
03-26 09:40:55	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc4e65c…
03-26 09:36:41	btc updown 15m 1774517400	Up	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x5f06af…
03-26 09:31:55	btc updown 15m 1774517400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5e8596…
03-26 09:30:39	btc updown 15m 1774517400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x693340…
03-26 09:27:45	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x51151d…
03-26 09:24:55	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6dd47c…
03-26 09:20:09	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x7246b7…
03-26 09:18:13	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a189c…
03-26 09:14:57	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc84f33…
03-26 09:09:53	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xa64ef3…
03-26 09:09:29	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x159b3c…
03-26 09:07:03	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa113d4…
03-26 09:06:03	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa35892…
03-26 09:04:07	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x64b38d…
03-26 08:57:45	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x0105f6…
03-26 08:56:07	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0xa3bcb0…
03-26 08:53:51	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x932e43…
03-26 08:50:27	btc updown 15m 1774514700	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x3446c7…
03-26 08:47:07	btc updown 15m 1774514700	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xab763a…
03-26 08:44:03	btc updown 15m 1774513800	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbf9717…
03-26 02:00:29	btc updown 15m 1774489500	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0d7b0c…
03-26 01:51:25	btc updown 15m 1774489500	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4a5030…
03-26 01:08:01	btc updown 15m 1774486800	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xcfe5cf…
03-26 01:01:17	btc updown 15m 1774486800	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb73398…
03-26 00:54:25	btc updown 15m 1774485900	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x8e58f1…
03-26 00:45:49	btc updown 15m 1774485900	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfb44d4…
03-26 00:43:11	btc updown 15m 1774485000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa2dd48…
03-26 00:42:27	btc updown 15m 1774485000	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x312e36…
03-26 00:37:43	btc updown 15m 1774485000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfe766d…
03-25 09:19:05	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xea7155…
03-25 09:11:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x763928…
03-25 04:27:45	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x501f22…
03-25 04:27:21	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb71aef…
03-23 10:05:23	btc updown 15m 1774260000	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2fcd75…
03-23 09:50:29	btc updown 15m 1774259100	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x1da78f…
03-23 09:43:17	btc updown 15m 1774258200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb7194e…
03-23 08:42:45	btc updown 15m 1774254600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe62f82…
03-23 08:17:35	btc updown 15m 1774253700	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc0d76c…
03-23 08:07:37	btc updown 15m 1774252800	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9c6a9d…
03-23 04:07:35	btc updown 15m 1774238400	Down	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x631a38…
03-23 04:06:49	btc updown 15m 1774238400	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x302488…
03-23 04:06:19	btc updown 15m 1774238400	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47b727…
03-22 09:53:39	btc updown 15m 1774172700	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xc460dd…
03-22 09:41:35	btc updown 15m 1774172700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x811a5c…
03-22 09:30:53	btc updown 15m 1774171800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9d4daf…
03-21 08:20:11	btc updown 15m 1774080900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbcbf2c…
03-21 08:17:33	btc updown 15m 1774080900	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x42be67…
03-21 08:16:23	btc updown 15m 1774080900	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x97fcf6…
03-21 08:13:19	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x7bf25f…
03-21 08:12:21	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xac19b5…
03-21 08:11:55	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x09df3b…
03-21 08:08:49	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x93c68b…
03-21 08:06:35	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe5d858…
03-21 07:46:33	btc updown 15m 1774080000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59d4af…
03-21 07:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x59700e…
03-21 07:36:29	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x6950d1…
03-21 07:23:37	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x935626…
03-21 03:26:21	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x7f7fc3…
03-21 03:25:35	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xcf6b34…
03-21 03:05:27	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6cbe0b…
03-21 02:59:49	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5021fd…