Plain-Giraffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-13 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 50% $-20

Other

26% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 npcsir ic 2026 02 02	5	$55	60	30	+30	open	—	02-02 20:45
eth updown 15m 1770381900	7	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	02-06 12:55
eth updown 15m 1770290100	11	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	02-05 11:18
dota2 ty og 2026 02 03	9	$40	100	20	+80	open	—	02-03 19:22
dota2 wb ill 2026 02 04	3	$39	40	20	+20	open	—	02-04 14:48
cs2 wb1 ntr 2026 02 03	3	$37	40	20	+20	open	—	02-03 14:23
dota2 vg nem 2026 01 29	14	$37	28	27	+1	open	—	01-29 13:07
eth updown 15m 1770384600	9	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	02-06 13:40
dota2 ess ivo 2026 02 03	5	$31	44	24	+20	open	—	02-03 12:46
eth updown 15m 1770576300	8	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	02-08 18:57
eth updown 15m 1770552900	6	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 12:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	$-30	05-09 19:44
eth updown 15m 1770215400	4	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	02-04 14:42
eth updown 15m 1770406200	9	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	02-06 19:43
eth updown 15m 1770372900	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	02-06 10:18
eth updown 15m 1770401700	7	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	02-06 18:22
eth updown 15m 1770565500	6	$21	20	10	+10	open	—	02-08 15:55
cs2 sin2 g1 2026 02 03	4	$20	30	30	+0	open	—	02-03 14:47
bitcoin up or down february 4 2am et	4	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	02-04 09:20
dota2 vpp re 2026 02 02	4	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	02-02 17:41
eth updown 15m 1770541200	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	02-08 09:05
dota2 strong ill 2026 02 02	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 15:18
dota2 ts8 ty 2026 02 01	4	$18	15	10	+5	open	—	02-01 13:47
dota2 xtreme yb1 2026 02 01	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-01 13:18
eth updown 15m 1770399000	5	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	02-06 17:37
eth updown 15m 1770543900	4	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	02-08 09:52
eth updown 15m 1770374700	2	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	02-06 10:51
eth updown 15m 1770373800	2	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	02-06 10:39
eth updown 15m 1770292800	5	$14	11	16	-5	open	—	02-05 12:01
dota2 og liquid 2026 02 03	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	02-03 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 03:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x73a26c…
05-13 02:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x751346…
05-12 21:56:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdca3d9…
05-12 21:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe328af…
05-12 21:47:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe803fc…
05-12 21:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x04c36d…
05-12 21:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x699058…
05-12 21:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x5aed5b…
05-12 21:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x9c75f9…
05-12 21:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf6659a…
05-12 20:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa1965d…
05-12 20:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x182b4f…
05-12 20:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xd20688…
05-12 20:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x208271…
05-12 20:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb5946e…
05-12 20:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x535674…
05-12 20:24:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa05c1f…
05-12 20:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4c5f6f…
05-12 19:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xaefbba…
05-12 19:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x768816…
05-12 18:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x303d28…
05-12 18:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6f7142…
05-12 18:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb9d77c…
05-12 18:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8695aa…
05-12 18:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x915627…
05-12 17:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xef21c1…
05-12 17:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x2c9a69…
05-12 17:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x063b6c…
05-12 17:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xd11a05…
05-12 17:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x00799d…
05-12 17:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa3c3ac…
05-12 17:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6988e5…
05-12 17:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x387764…
05-12 16:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5225ae…
05-12 16:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc4bf9d…
05-12 16:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb48344…
05-09 19:44:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x17c618…
05-06 02:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6be37f…
05-05 21:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2c8c87…
05-05 21:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x28ad29…
05-04 00:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf571e0…
05-04 00:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf9f0c7…
05-04 00:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x487e83…
05-04 00:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc60ba1…
05-04 00:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x87ff2d…
05-04 00:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa8592d…
05-04 00:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcee062…
05-03 23:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdea395…
05-03 23:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x043c74…
05-03 22:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8a85f0…
05-03 22:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x32a203…
05-03 22:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x33af9f…
05-03 22:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1eaeca…
05-03 22:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6a8bc4…
05-03 22:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x62b1cd…
05-03 22:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12abef…
05-03 21:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x91f05a…
05-03 21:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x651405…
05-03 21:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x707d1b…
05-03 21:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7ba4a6…
05-03 20:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0e812c…
05-03 20:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x41f154…
05-03 20:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x91de3b…
05-03 20:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xdb79cf…
05-03 20:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xedf5a2…
05-03 20:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x52ac22…
05-03 16:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x10047b…
05-03 16:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x208c4c…
05-03 15:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x81cf88…
05-03 15:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x872635…
05-03 15:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c44c6…
05-03 14:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x851050…
05-03 14:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x508242…
05-03 14:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8c1a13…
05-03 14:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0005de…
05-03 14:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xab8304…
05-02 21:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x052817…
05-02 21:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f9cfa…
05-02 21:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6c955e…
05-02 21:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfb108b…
05-02 21:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x85b658…
05-02 21:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd6ab1f…
05-02 21:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5ab94…
05-02 21:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe98146…
05-02 21:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9cba12…
05-02 21:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8418d1…
05-02 20:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x86224f…
05-02 20:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x70392f…
05-02 20:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc08bf8…
05-02 20:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x93caa3…
05-01 00:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x93a5bc…
05-01 00:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x22ce30…
05-01 00:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa57795…
05-01 00:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x9dfb58…
05-01 00:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x45d111…
05-01 00:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x776f9b…
04-28 19:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x66c033…
04-28 19:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x20fdb8…
04-28 19:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0c01b8…
04-28 18:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2e8dd1…