Stupendous-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$420

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$8

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$2.1K	2,098	0	+2,098	No	+$4	05-08 02:22
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	1	$2.1K	2,094	0	+2,094	Yes	+$4	05-07 07:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,089	0	+2,089	No	+$4	05-07 02:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	No	+$4	05-06 02:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-17 02:38
ethereum above 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-16 02:49
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-15 04:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-14 03:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-13 03:27
ethereum above 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-12 03:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-11 02:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-10 03:29
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	01-09 09:15
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-20 08:30
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-09 08:22
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-06 07:37
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:48
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 14:05
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:35
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 02:26
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-07 13:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-17 03:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	5	$5	5,361	0	+5,361	open	—	01-04 03:05
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,089	0	+2,089	open	—	05-02 01:30
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	1	$4	2,087	0	+2,087	No	$-4	05-05 01:55
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	1	$4	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	04-22 01:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?	1	$4	2,077	0	+2,077	open	—	04-27 01:22
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?	1	$4	2,076	0	+2,076	No	$-4	05-13 02:39
trump out as president by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:22:13	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x355ea6…
05-20 08:30:46	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc35645…
05-13 02:39:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,076	0¢	$4	0xfd396c…
05-08 02:22:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,098	100¢	$2,094	0x42d184…
05-07 07:38:28	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2,094	100¢	$2,090	0x52ae28…
05-07 02:12:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,089	100¢	$2,085	0x6cbab9…
05-06 02:34:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,076	0x7e90ca…
05-05 01:55:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,087	0¢	$4	0x7003c5…
05-02 01:30:16	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,089	0¢	$4	0xf28175…
04-27 01:22:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,077	0¢	$4	0xb83d72…
04-22 01:10:50	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$4	0xfb2965…
04-17 03:05:46	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf1f10…
04-10 13:47:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x817932…
03-26 05:35:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc7eb50…
03-12 02:26:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa98fff…
03-07 13:46:35	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x6206a2…
02-25 02:03:40	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8519c…
02-11 03:26:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa2769d…
02-06 07:37:29	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x4b7788…
02-02 12:57:34	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c5d9b…
01-31 08:21:02	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0de60b…
01-30 09:33:16	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x884298…
01-30 03:45:48	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0x4ef53e…
01-27 09:48:33	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x045728…
01-26 12:33:13	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x08df80…
01-26 03:18:10	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x49ed0c…
01-23 03:14:52	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$1	0xfc3986…
01-21 14:05:20	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea26e3…
01-19 13:20:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x717fbb…
01-17 02:38:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x6252f9…
01-16 02:49:42	ethereum above 3000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x9e1f38…
01-15 04:01:42	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,066	0xc6e13d…
01-14 03:21:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x096f72…
01-13 03:27:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0xc0cf97…
01-12 03:12:00	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0x319571…
01-11 02:54:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,059	0x30a995…
01-10 03:29:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,058	0x5bbd8f…
01-09 09:15:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 9	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,057	0xdc15cf…
01-04 03:05:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0x513c7b…
01-04 03:03:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$1	0xd2989b…
01-04 03:01:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$1	0x0371bf…
01-04 02:59:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$1	0x553224…
01-04 02:58:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$1	0x1447c6…