Assured-Identity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-30 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 49% $-12

Other

21% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$13	53	53	+0	open	—	04-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-10 21:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$8	245	245	+0	open	—	04-14 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$7	60	0	+60	Up	$-7	05-11 13:08
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-10 19:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 19:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$4	376	0	+376	open	—	05-11 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$4	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-10 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-10 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-10 21:11
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-0	05-10 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-3	05-10 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-10 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-10 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-10 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	05-10 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	+$5	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-11 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-10 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-10 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-30 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-20 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 20:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe2c592…
05-30 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b7458…
05-30 19:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3e7ab9…
05-30 19:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xad6c56…
05-20 19:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0b7c57…
05-20 19:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xea7dc1…
05-20 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x62c0b8…
05-20 19:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xae3489…
05-20 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x45ac78…
05-20 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc27e0e…
05-20 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe01ec8…
05-20 19:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x042b19…
05-20 18:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcf159b…
05-11 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1d5eb5…
05-11 13:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfb5ff…
05-11 13:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd16c8e…
05-11 12:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcab9d6…
05-11 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x41cbfd…
05-11 12:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7aa9f1…
05-11 12:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0d33db…
05-11 12:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21cad9…
05-11 10:24:15	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x7a371d…
05-11 07:28:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xdd44a5…
05-11 07:26:52	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6dd3a0…
05-11 04:55:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x3d7bf8…
05-11 04:54:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x103d82…
05-10 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc7c6c1…
05-10 21:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaf4ff7…
05-10 21:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7cf5f8…
05-10 21:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfd4e5e…
05-10 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb27e4f…
05-10 21:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe777e7…
05-10 21:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0f172c…
05-10 21:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa9824f…
05-10 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0b5fc0…
05-10 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x255b02…
05-10 21:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x527f36…
05-10 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xffed8e…
05-10 21:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7eb5f9…
05-10 21:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xff2a35…
05-10 21:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e0813…
05-10 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1dc037…
05-10 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x52913c…
05-10 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5f7160…
05-10 20:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeb0e3f…
05-10 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc28f24…
05-10 20:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6b700a…
05-10 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x77e553…
05-10 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d7443…
05-10 20:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x954e50…
05-10 20:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa17e01…
05-10 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf9c6d6…
05-10 19:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf36f5d…
05-10 19:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfbf600…
05-10 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd84a92…
05-10 19:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x586948…
05-10 19:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9e12b1…
05-10 19:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b889b…
05-10 19:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe71390…
05-10 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x93545f…
05-10 19:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xab28d3…
05-10 19:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x21914c…
05-10 19:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9b9148…
05-10 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc453eb…
05-10 19:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb813bb…
05-10 19:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf3d80b…
05-10 19:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf44c08…
05-10 19:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbbe2b3…
05-10 19:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd9924a…
05-10 19:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7d927f…
05-10 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbbd342…
05-10 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf88bb7…
05-10 18:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdaee85…
05-10 18:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfe24f0…
05-10 18:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4b5431…
05-10 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x577b02…
05-10 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7427fb…
05-10 18:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2dabf4…
05-10 18:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x04e22c…
05-10 18:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1c73c…
05-10 18:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3da846…
05-10 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7fb404…
05-10 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a9690…
05-10 17:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9fc98f…
05-10 17:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00009c…
05-10 17:00:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x601be6…
05-10 16:59:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe4e2c2…
05-10 16:57:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3f37b4…
04-14 19:57:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x65046a…
04-14 19:51:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$1	0x2cee53…
04-12 19:08:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x65e0aa…
04-12 19:05:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x830bb7…
04-12 19:04:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x161e48…
04-12 19:03:43	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xcd2796…
04-12 18:57:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xde6a1b…
04-12 18:50:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	149	3¢	$4	0x28dfb1…
04-12 18:49:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5cbde8…
04-12 18:42:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x160853…
04-12 18:23:47	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d9d41…
04-12 18:16:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0x3de4c4…