Misguided-Engineering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-11 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% — —

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-26 13:33
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 14:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-05 16:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-03 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	03-30 14:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$25	76	76	+0	open	—	04-13 13:09
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-29 06:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 10:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 05:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 07:47
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	5	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 06:59
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-10 15:01
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 15:08
will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	06-08 16:41
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-29 06:19
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-21 06:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 06:45
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-20 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 06:44
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 07:47
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 08:17
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-07 16:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-11 20:37
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-02 21:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 19:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-01 13:55
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-04 14:30
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-02 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-17 13:51
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-29 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:37:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x824497…
06-08 16:41:57	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2231ae…
05-27 17:32:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xccc931…
05-16 19:24:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4163f4…
05-09 13:42:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4045b2…
05-07 20:02:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x428670…
05-05 10:27:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb2434b…
04-29 11:24:40	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3bf33b…
04-27 06:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x2c086f…
04-26 11:04:58	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x54c6f4…
04-24 14:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfb59d2…
04-24 14:32:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1b046a…
04-22 15:42:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb99818…
04-20 08:17:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x31bde6…
04-17 13:51:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x885497…
04-16 08:10:48	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16	Gen.G	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x124ec3…
04-13 13:10:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7f9614…
04-13 13:09:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	18¢	$9	0x530642…
04-12 13:56:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0xddc833…
04-11 08:36:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0a4044…
04-08 05:53:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x6fbdc2…
04-08 05:48:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc997b7…
04-08 05:48:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2ef4a8…
04-05 16:19:43	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe84224…
04-03 15:42:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd7f640…
04-03 15:42:07	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5570f1…
04-02 01:50:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe85fa0…
04-01 13:55:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44eb05…
03-30 14:09:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1bafdd…
03-30 14:09:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf8157e…
03-29 06:19:22	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xb8550f…
03-29 06:18:42	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xec3d9c…
03-28 01:37:29	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x4479d4…
03-26 13:33:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1a469d…
03-26 13:33:21	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdde824…
03-25 07:47:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x70651d…
03-25 07:47:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa30d13…
03-21 06:47:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xeeb7ef…
03-21 06:45:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe1d391…
03-16 08:17:51	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d05da…
03-15 06:59:07	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x678b14…
03-15 06:48:25	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x192166…
03-15 06:45:07	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf1efe7…
03-15 05:57:51	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95a0fd…
03-14 12:15:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbec340…
03-12 08:27:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdf443c…
03-12 08:27:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc38947…
03-12 08:27:07	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x77ba8c…
03-10 15:01:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe839e0…
03-10 15:01:33	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55bf4b…
03-08 14:16:21	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12d46c…
03-07 16:36:09	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd588fd…
03-06 15:25:49	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe6852…
03-06 15:08:07	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3207b…
03-04 14:30:49	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9b9610…
03-04 14:30:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2f88e…
03-02 21:39:47	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1cba1a…
03-02 21:39:25	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x438ebc…
03-02 21:38:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x489452…