Wobbly-Sociology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,511

lifetime

Volume

$6.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-28 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$75	52	52	+0	open	—	05-16 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	05-16 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	05-16 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$46	34	34	+0	open	—	05-19 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	6	$40	76	76	+0	open	—	05-19 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	7	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-16 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$34	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	8	$29	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	05-16 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-19 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	5	$23	29	29	+0	open	—	05-19 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$21	34	29	+5	open	—	05-19 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 16:36
btc updown 15m 1767461400	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	01-03 17:37
btc updown 15m 1767473100	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	01-03 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 02:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x66e68e…
05-28 02:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xeacab2…
05-28 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8a286e…
05-28 02:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xf3d92c…
05-28 01:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x992d90…
05-28 01:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x7fabad…
05-28 01:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xed62d7…
05-28 01:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x723507…
05-28 01:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x20ec5e…
05-28 01:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x60b121…
05-28 01:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xfda4fa…
05-28 00:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x56b433…
05-28 00:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x79e627…
05-28 00:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x98b52b…
05-28 00:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xfd1d81…
05-28 00:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x661253…
05-28 00:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x344af7…
05-28 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf65f20…
05-27 23:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x413067…
05-27 23:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x14027b…
05-27 23:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xacc257…
05-27 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x079f1d…
05-27 22:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd5a5bd…
05-27 22:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd5b955…
05-27 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x510259…
05-27 21:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb62c35…
05-27 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe9128c…
05-27 21:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x2bb1d5…
05-27 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x3f5fe1…
05-27 21:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x69639b…
05-27 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xc5c629…
05-27 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x31e634…
05-27 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc39baf…
05-27 20:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xe3b263…
05-27 20:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x826352…
05-27 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0c9087…
05-27 19:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xbb1817…
05-27 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x403dab…
05-27 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1c9811…
05-27 19:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xfa0d11…
05-27 19:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x657dae…
05-27 19:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2bbff…
05-27 19:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x5cef2a…
05-27 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x73b853…
05-27 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0xd7f65e…
05-27 18:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc739b6…
05-27 18:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x380f90…
05-27 18:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x797ce8…
05-27 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5688c1…
05-27 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x6ebabf…
05-27 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe52726…
05-27 17:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x2faffd…
05-27 17:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x627155…
05-27 17:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x8892d0…
05-27 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x88a41a…
05-27 17:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xd198a0…
05-27 16:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x845ded…
05-27 16:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x81d602…
05-27 16:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0e3ac9…
05-27 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb63e66…
05-27 15:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x6967c0…
05-27 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa8d88c…
05-27 15:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x03673e…
05-27 15:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x83bb68…
05-27 15:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2b4b98…
05-27 15:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x47350f…
05-27 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x30ba51…
05-27 15:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x1acf68…
05-27 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x522201…
05-27 14:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xb3d2f2…
05-27 14:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x91acf6…
05-27 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x3563d9…
05-27 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xb29d85…
05-27 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9ee820…
05-27 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xe60b9d…
05-27 14:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x735094…
05-27 13:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd7b1b3…
05-27 13:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x52f6a3…
05-27 13:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x49f6e6…
05-27 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8034a9…
05-27 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x864890…
05-27 13:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x09a2fe…
05-27 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x2bd90e…
05-27 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x6af726…
05-27 13:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x62798e…
05-27 12:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x248c66…
05-27 12:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x49835f…
05-27 12:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x3f4471…
05-27 12:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x425e4a…
05-27 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x196754…
05-27 12:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x43a4e3…
05-27 12:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0x557ae3…
05-27 12:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xe44942…
05-27 12:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x3ef636…
05-27 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7ac545…
05-27 11:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6a0756…
05-27 11:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x9bd6d6…
05-27 11:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xc8024f…
05-27 11:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x432a28…
05-27 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x02cbf9…