Lazy-Hurdle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-06 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 100% +$0

Other

16% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	02-03 12:19
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-31 12:20
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-29 11:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-22 07:51
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-18 03:24
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	02-26 08:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	03-06 10:52
bitcoin above 88k on january 11	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-11 13:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	03-03 06:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	05-02 02:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-25 12:56
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-20 11:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	06-06 08:00
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-02 07:23
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-17 08:52
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-29 10:51
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-12 11:24
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-15 12:47
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 9	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-08 11:06
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-12 12:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-22 02:05
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 19	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-19 07:13
ethereum above 2000 on march 24	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-24 13:01
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	03-09 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	05-17 03:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	01-07 07:19
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	01-06 12:11
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$41	41	+41	open	—	01-06 12:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-11 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 08:00:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa9f388…
05-17 03:25:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x812757…
05-17 03:23:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773efb…
05-11 11:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x441dde…
05-11 11:01:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e9bd3…
05-06 12:56:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe67a74…
05-02 02:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8f675f…
04-25 12:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd610ef…
04-20 11:51:46	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcae8f7…
04-17 08:52:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x8d1003…
04-12 11:24:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4bdffe…
04-08 11:06:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 9	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x353328…
04-02 07:23:35	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x91ac67…
03-29 10:51:22	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3e99ed…
03-24 13:01:45	ethereum above 2000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x133f86…
03-22 02:05:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4c0307…
03-19 07:13:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 19	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc67be4…
03-15 12:47:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9977a4…
03-12 12:21:31	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x71f0c8…
03-09 11:37:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0bc255…
03-09 11:36:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0x758571…
03-06 10:52:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf084bf…
03-03 06:22:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x499c6f…
03-03 06:22:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	Yes	BUY	360	0¢	$1	0x45ac9f…
02-26 08:52:20	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x6a617e…
02-03 12:19:20	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x600a69…
01-31 12:20:38	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8048dc…
01-29 11:13:52	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb1df45…
01-22 07:51:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x811276…
01-18 03:24:12	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xcd1f2e…
01-11 13:27:52	bitcoin above 88k on january 11	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x068e28…
01-07 07:19:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x947a19…
01-06 12:11:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xafcaf3…
01-06 12:11:43	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf7585…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	22	$3.04K	1,634	04-16 05:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$27.1K	571	06-05 14:08
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	17	$58.5K	370	05-17 10:16
Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c	17	$10.1K	368	05-15 19:12
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	17	$8.43K	148	05-16 13:33
(anonymous) 0x25af…bcaf	17	$1.30K	487	03-24 03:41
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	16	$1.84K	617	05-16 07:30
Conventional-Essential 0xd78e…442b	15	$1.37K	15	05-17 03:25